Italy - Serie A
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by Kennedy Kechula in Serie A Predictions
Napoli will be keen to keep Inter Milan within touching distance in Serie A when they host Empoli on Monday. Heading into matchday 32, Napoli trail leaders Inter Milan by three points while Empoli start the weekend in 18th. Read on for our prediction.
It is neck and neck at the top of the Serie A standings, and Napoli will feel the need to win here. They play after Inter Milan and will be keen not to fall too far behind in this race.
Matches against Empoli have been tricky at times, but Napoli steps in this as favorites, having won the reverse fixture 1-0. The hosts, coming from a 1-1 draw with Bologna, lost three times in the last five meetings with Empoli.
The last time Empoli visited Napoli, they won 1-0. A repeat of that could lift them off the bottom three, being two points below safety. However, Empoli have a poor record against the current top five this season.
This will be the 11th time they face one of the teams in those positions, and they haven't won any, losing seven of the 10 played. Additionally, they are winless in the last 16 league matches.
The visitors lost 11 of those 16 matches. Failure to score in six of their last eight matches makes things more complicated for them.
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The Best Betting Odds for Napoli v Empoli Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.45 | 4.33 | 7.5 |
|
|
1.4 | 4.5 | 9 |
|
|
1.7 | 2.75 | 6 |
|
|
1.39 | 4.5 | 8 |
|
|
1.47 | 4.43 | 7.98 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Napoli and Empoli?
Our prediction for the Napoli vs Empoli match is: Napoli to win and under 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/04/2025 between Napoli and Empoli in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 58.66% for a win of Napoli against Empoli with odds of 1.7 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Napoli vs Empoli is 33.93% with odds of 4.96 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 7.41% chance ⭐ for a win of Empoli vs Napoli with odds of 10 at Melbet.
Napoli - Empoli Prediction and Best Odds:
| Napoli Empoli Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Napoli wins | 58.66% | 1.7 at Ladbrokes |
| Under 2.5 | 61.59% | 2.01 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 60.42% | 2.3 at Betway |
| Half-time / Full-time : Napoli/Napoli | 21.67% | 2.25 at Bet365 |
Napoli vs Empoli Form
Napoli and Empoli's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
74 | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 29 |
|
19
|
25 | 34 | 4 | 13 | 17 | -27 |
Napoli and Empoli Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Apr 2025 - Serie A
30 Mar 2025 - Serie A
16 Mar 2025 - Serie A
9 Mar 2025 - Serie A
1 Mar 2025 - Serie A
23 Feb 2025 - Serie A
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Mar 2025 - Serie A
9 Mar 2025 - Serie A
1 Mar 2025 - Serie A
9 Feb 2025 - Serie A
25 Jan 2025 - Serie A
12 Jan 2025 - Serie A
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Apr 2025 - Serie A
16 Mar 2025 - Serie A
23 Feb 2025 - Serie A
15 Feb 2025 - Serie A
2 Feb 2025 - Serie A
18 Jan 2025 - Serie A
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Apr 2025 - Serie A
1 Apr 2025 - Coppa Italia
29 Mar 2025 - Serie A
15 Mar 2025 - Serie A
9 Mar 2025 - Serie A
2 Mar 2025 - Serie A
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Apr 2025 - Serie A
1 Apr 2025 - Coppa Italia
9 Mar 2025 - Serie A
23 Feb 2025 - Serie A
8 Feb 2025 - Serie A
25 Jan 2025 - Serie A
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Mar 2025 - Serie A
15 Mar 2025 - Serie A
2 Mar 2025 - Serie A
26 Feb 2025 - Coppa Italia
16 Feb 2025 - Serie A
2 Feb 2025 - Serie A
Napoli vs Empoli Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
0 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
20 Oct 2024 - Serie A
20 Apr 2024 - Serie A
12 Nov 2023 - Serie A
25 Feb 2023 - Serie A
8 Nov 2022 - Serie A
24 Apr 2022 - Serie A
Players list
A. Meret
DefenderL. Spinazzola
A. Rrahmani
R. Marin
M. Olivera
MidfielderP. Billing
S. Lobotka
S. Mctominay
ForwardC. Ngonge
G. Raspadori
D. Neres
D. Vasquez
DefenderS. Goglichidze
L. Marianucci
T. Ebuehi
G. Pezzella
J. Sambia
MidfielderA. Grassi
V. Kovalenko
L. Colombo
ForwardE. Gyasi
S. Esposito
Substitutes
S. Scuffet
C. Turi
DefenderL. Spinazzola
R. Marin
L. Hasa
P. Billing
N. Okafor
C. Ngonge
G. Simeone
G. Raspadori
F. Brancolini
M. Silvestri
J. Seghetti
DefenderT. Ebuehi
J. Sambia
L. Tosto
M. De Sciglio
MidfielderJ. Bacci
V. Kovalenko
T. Campaniello
I. Konate
L. Colombo
Missing players
N. Contini
DefenderG. Di Lorenzo
A. Buongiorno
MidfielderF. Anguissa
S. Sazonov
A. Ismajli
MidfielderN. Haas
T. Anjorin
Y. Maleh
S. Zurkowski
ForwardP. Pellegri
C. Kouame
Most goals and assists
Napoli
Empoli
R. Lukaku
(12 Goals)
S. Esposito
(8 Goals)
R. Lukaku
(10 Assists)
G. Pezzella
(4 Assists)
, 
L. Henderson
(4 Assists)
Napoli - Empoli Key Points
- Napoli won nine of their last 16 league matches.
- All of Empoli’s last five league matches had under 2.5 goals.
- The last five meetings between these teams produced under 2.5 goals.
- Four times this season, Napoli faced bottom-three sides and won three.
- Empoli have played the top 5 teams 10 times this season and won none.
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Our Napoli vs Empoli Prediction
For our Napoli v Empoli prediction, we have Napoli to win and under 2.5 goals. By the time Napoli take to the pitch, they could be trailing Inter Milan by six points. That is why they should take this as a must-win encounter.
Fortunately for the hosts, they have an impressive record against teams in the bottom three this season. Also, on the flipside, Empoli haven't recorded great results against those teams in the top-five; among them is Napoli. While Empoli have struggled against top opposition, they haven't been conceding a lot.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Napoli Empoli
| Napoli vs Empoli | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli wins | 1.29 | 1.45 | +12.4% |
| Draw | 5.5 | 4.33 | -21.3% |
| Empoli wins | 9.5 | 7.5 | -21.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Napoli is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 12.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 77.5% and is now 69.0% (-8.6%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Napoli vs. Empoli game!
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Try your luck on this year's Serie A! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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