Corentin Moutet vs Tommy Paul Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Lyon Open
ATP - ATP Lyon Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions
Can unseeded Frenchman Corentin Moutet reach the semi-finals of the 2026 Grand Prix Auvergne-Rhone Alpes in Lyon? He has a tough task in the quarter-finals of this indoor hard court tournament against fourth seed Tommy Paul. His opponent has won their two previous matches. Our prediction is Paul wins in straight sets.
The winner will face either second seed Taylor Fritz or unseeded Daniel Altmaier in the last four.
Corentin Moutet is the world number 94 and that has him 79 places adrift of his American opponent.
Moutet has had a difficult year and had lost 20 of his 30 matches played this year before this tournament got underway. His only previous ATP Tour quarter-final in 2026 had been on the clay in Marrakech. This week has produced wins over Ugo Humbert (in three sets, two going to a tie-break) and Felix Balshaw.
The second of Paul's wins over Moutet was earlier this year with a three-set win in Delray Beach.
Tommy Paul recently reached the quarter-finals of the outdoor hard court Shanghai Masters. He is attempting to reach his sixth ATP Tour semi-final of the year.
This is his first indoor hard court tournament of the year. He's so far beaten Benjamin Bonzi in three sets.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Corentin Moutet v Tommy Paul Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus |
|---|---|---|---|
|
3.65 | 1.26 |
|
|
3.69 | 1.28 |
|
|
3.68 | 1.28 |
|
|
3.76 | 1.27 |
|
|
3.68 | 1.28 |
|
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Who will win the Corentin Moutet vs Tommy Paul Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Corentin Moutet vs Tommy Paul match is: Tommy Paul wins in straight sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Corentin Moutet vs Tommy Paul game on 23/10/2026 of the current ATP Lyon Open season:
- Corentin Moutet has a 25.29% chance to win against Tommy Paul according to Betwinner ⭐ with the odds of 3.76.
- Tommy Paul has a 74.71% probability of winning facing Corentin Moutet ⭐ with odds of 1.29 at Bet365.
Corentin Moutet vs Tommy Paul Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Corentin Moutet has a 25.29 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Corentin Moutet | 25.29 % |
| Tommy Paul | 74.71 % |
Corentin Moutet vs Tommy Paul Form
Corentin Moutet and Tommy Paul Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
21 Oct 2026 - ATP Lyon Open
20 Oct 2026 - ATP Lyon Open
5 Aug 2026 - ATP National Bank Open
3 Aug 2026 - ATP National Bank Open
28 Jul 2026 - ATP Los Cabos Open
30 Jun 2026 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
21 Oct 2026 - ATP Lyon Open
16 Oct 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
14 Oct 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
12 Oct 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
10 Oct 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
30 Sept 2026 - ATP Japan Open
Corentin Moutet vs Tommy Paul Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
100 %
17 Feb 2026 - ATP Delray Beach Open
31 Jul 2024 - Olympic Tournament
Corentin Moutet - Tommy Paul Key Points
- Paul is 79 places above his opponent in the rankings.
- Only 11 players have earned more ranking points this year than Paul.
- Moutet has only reached one other ATP Tour quarter-final this year and that was on clay.
- Paul has won both of his previous matches against Moutet, one in straight sets.
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Our Corentin Moutet vs Tommy Paul Prediction
Tommy Paul still has an outside chance of making it into the ATP Tour Finals. Winning this indoor hard court tournament would certainly boost his chances of doing so. Recent form has been good and he battled hard to win his opening match in this tournament.
Corentin Moutet has had his struggles this year with his best results coming on the Challenger Tour and on clay. A side bet on a tie-break being played in this match could be profitable. Our Corentin Moutet v Tommy Paul prediction is Tommy Paul wins in straight sets.
Get a retirement guarantee for the Corentin Moutet vs. Tommy Paul game!
When you place a bet on the match between Corentin Moutet and Tommy Paul you can get a retirement guarantee with bet365. This means that your bet will be paid out as a winner if your opponent retires.
It does not matter whether you bet on Corentin Moutet or Tommy Paul, if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
