Corentin Moutet vs Alexander Bublik Prediction & Betting Tips - Rolex Paris Masters

ATP - Rolex Paris Masters

ATP 35 France
Corentin Moutet
29/10/2025 14:00
ATP 11 Kazachstan
Alexander Bublik

Prediction :

 

More than 20.5 games

 
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 by Steve Ashfield | in Rolex Paris Masters Predictions

16th seed Alexander Bublik has only reached the third round of the Paris Masters. He hopes to make it two by defeating unseeded Corentin Moutet in round two of this indoor hard court tournament. Read our match prediction below.

Bublik made it to round three in Paris two years ago but lost to Holger Rune at this stage in 2024. The 28-year-old beat Alexei Popyrin in straight sets in round one. That's taken his 2025 hard court record to 17-14 and to a career-high 15th in the live rankings.

He won the hard court tournament played in Hangzhou in September. Last week saw him get to the quarter-finals in Vienna, He's played Moutet three times (all on hard courts) and is yet to lose to the Frenchman.

Corentin Moutet is also in good form at present. A couple of weeks ago he was the runner-up to Daniil Medvedev in Almaty. He got revenge on Medvedev last week in Vienna but lost to Lorenzo Musetti in the last eight.

Moutet beat lucky loser Reilly Opelka in three sets in round one, despite losing the first set. Only in 2022 has Moutet reached round three of this Masters tournament. We go for over 20.5 games to be played.

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The Best Betting Odds for Corentin Moutet v Alexander Bublik Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
William Hill
2.3 1.62
Unibet
2.23 1.66
Betway
2.3 1.6
Ladbrokes
2.25 1.57
NetBet
2.2 1.5
Check all Corentin Moutet vs Alexander Bublik odds

Who will win the Corentin Moutet vs Alexander Bublik Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Corentin Moutet vs Alexander Bublik match is: more than 20.5 games.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Corentin Moutet vs Alexander Bublik game on 29/10/2025 of the current Rolex Paris Masters season:

  • Corentin Moutet has a 38.4% chance to win against Alexander Bublik according to Tonybet ⭐ with the odds of 2.39.
  • Alexander Bublik has a 61.6% probability of winning facing Corentin Moutet ⭐ with odds of 1.66 at Unibet.

Corentin Moutet vs Alexander Bublik Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Corentin Moutet has a 38.4 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Corentin Moutet38.4 %
Alexander Bublik61.6 %

Corentin Moutet vs Alexander Bublik Form

Corentin Moutet and Alexander Bublik Last Matches

Corentin Moutet Last matches
L W W W W L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

28 Oct 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters

Corentin Moutet
2 :  1
Reilly Opelka

24 Oct 2025 - ATP Vienna

Corentin Moutet
0 :  2
Lorenzo Musetti

23 Oct 2025 - ATP Vienna

Daniil Medvedev
0 :  2
Corentin Moutet

22 Oct 2025 - ATP Vienna

Damir Dzumhur
0 :  2
Corentin Moutet

19 Oct 2025 - Almaty Open

Corentin Moutet
1 :  2
Daniil Medvedev

18 Oct 2025 - Almaty Open

Corentin Moutet
2 :  0
Alex Michelsen
Alexander Bublik Last matches
W W W L L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

27 Oct 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters

Alexei Popyrin
0 :  2
Alexander Bublik

24 Oct 2025 - ATP Vienna

Jannik Sinner
2 :  0
Alexander Bublik

23 Oct 2025 - ATP Vienna

Francisco Cerundolo
0 :  2
Alexander Bublik

20 Oct 2025 - ATP Vienna

Alejandro Tabilo
0 :  2
Alexander Bublik

3 Oct 2025 - ATP Shanghai Masters

Alexander Bublik
1 :  2
Valentin Vacherot

26 Sept 2025 - ATP Beijing Open

Adrian Mannarino
2 :  0
Alexander Bublik

Corentin Moutet vs Alexander Bublik Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

14 Mar 2025 - Phoenix, USA, China, Qualifying

Corentin Moutet
1 :  2
Alexander Bublik

Corentin Moutet - Alexander Bublik Key Points

  1. More than 20.5 games have been played in the last two matches between these two players.
  2. Six of the last eight matches Moutet has played saw more than 20.5 games played.
  3. A 7-5 or 7-6 set would be great for our prediction. The last two matches between Moutet and Bublik have seen three played.
  4. Moutet has played a 7-5 or 7-6 set in seven of his last nine matches.
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Our Corentin Moutet vs Alexander Bublik Prediction

Corentin Moutet is in good form at present but had to go to three sets to get past Reilly Opelka in round one. He's reached at least the quarter-finals in his last two tournaments and was the losing finalist in Almaty. 

He's lost all three of his matches to Bublik but the last two saw more than 20.5 games played and the first meeting was eight years ago.  Bublik is also going well at present and this could well be a long match. Our Corentin Moutet v Alexander Bublik prediction is more than 20.5 games.

Prediction :

 

More than 20.5 games

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Corentin Moutet vs Alexander Bublik Prediction