Morocco vs Tanzania Prediction & Betting Tips - AFCON
Africa - AFCON
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Joseph King | in AFCON Predictions
Morocco kick off the knockout rounds of the 2025 African Cup of Nations with a round of 16 matchup against Tanzania on Sunday. The Atlas Lions come in as heavy favourites to win, but will the Taifa Stars be able to spring what would be a historic upset? Check out our match prediction!
There’s a lot of pressure on host nation Morocco, with many expecting them to finally put an end to a near 50-year drought in their quest for AFCON glory. They’re understandably the favourites to be crowned champions, not only because they are on home soil but also down to their (recently snapped) record winning run. Morocco topped Group A with seven points to advance to this stage.
Tanzania wrote their names in the history books in the group stage. They became the first team to advance from the groups in the current structure with just two points. Tanzania also qualified for the knockout stages for the first time in their nation’s history. They’ll now have their work cut out for them.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
The Best Betting Odds for Morocco v Tanzania Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.13 | 8 | 21 |
|
|
1.14 | 7 | 19 |
|
|
1.12 | 8 | 23 |
|
|
1.13 | 7.5 | 21 |
|
|
1.17 | 6.5 | 17 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Morocco and Tanzania?
Our prediction for the Morocco vs Tanzania match is: Morocco to win to nil.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 04/01/2026 between Morocco and Tanzania in AFCON :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 68.56% for a win of Morocco against Tanzania with odds of 1.17 at Betway.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Morocco vs Tanzania is 25.71% with odds of 8.4 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 5.74% chance ⭐ for a win of Tanzania vs Morocco with odds of 28 at Shangrila.
Morocco - Tanzania Prediction and Best Odds:
| Morocco Tanzania Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Morocco wins | 68.56% | 1.17 at Betway |
| Under 2.5 | 63.51% | 2.2 at Betfred |
| Both Team To Score | 41.67% | 3.25 at Bet365 |
| Half-time / Full-time : Morocco/Morocco | 32.39% | 1.57 at Bet365 |
Morocco vs Tanzania Form
Morocco and Tanzania Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Dec 2025 - AFCON
26 Dec 2025 - AFCON
21 Dec 2025 - AFCON
18 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
15 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
11 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Dec 2025 - AFCON
21 Dec 2025 - AFCON
15 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
11 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
8 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
2 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Dec 2025 - AFCON
18 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
5 Dec 2025 - Arab Cup
8 Sept 2025 - World Cup
30 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
22 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Dec 2025 - AFCON
27 Dec 2025 - AFCON
23 Dec 2025 - AFCON
15 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
8 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Sept 2025 - World Cup
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Dec 2025 - AFCON
8 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Sept 2025 - World Cup
22 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
9 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
2 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Dec 2025 - AFCON
23 Dec 2025 - AFCON
15 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
5 Sept 2025 - World Cup
16 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
6 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
Morocco vs Tanzania Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
22 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
17 Jan 2024 - AFCON
21 Nov 2023 - World Cup
Morocco - Tanzania: Form Analysis
It’s been a brilliant last few years for Morocco, who finished fourth in the 2022 World Cup and would then go on to set a record or longest national team winning streak at 19 games.
After winning their opening fixture 2-0 against Comoros, Morocco’s 1-1 draw with Mali in Matchday 2 ultimately saw the winning streak come to an end. After the draw, Morocco responded in the perfect manner, cruising to a 3-0 win over Zambia.
The team has lost only twice since the 2022 World Cup, coincidentally against South Africa on both occasions. Bafana Bafana beat the Atlas Lions in 2023 AFCON qualifying, then would go on to knock Morocco out of the 2023 edition in the round of 16 with a 2-0 win.
Morocco will have a chance at revenge against South Africa in the quarter-finals should they both advance.
Tanzania’s two draws was enough to see them sneak into the fourth and final spot for the best third-placed teams. They lost the opening match against Nigeria 2-1, but recovered with a 1-1 draw with Uganda and a surprise 1-1 draw with Tunisia on the final day of matches.
The Taifa Stars are on a lengthy eight-match run without a victory, five of which ended in defeat. Their last win came back in July of 2025 when they beat Senegal 2-1 in a friendly.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Morocco against Tanzania Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Morocco & Tanzania Squad Analysis
The big news around the Morocco camp will be the status of team captain Achraf Hakimi. Hakimi came off the bench to play 26 minutes in the final group stage match against Zambia and will be pushing for a return here.
Whether or not manager Walid Regragui deems him fit enough to start the match remains to be seen. The only other injury concern for the hosts is that of defender Romain Saiss, who was forced off after 19 minutes in the tournament opener and hasn’t featured since.
Brahim Diaz and Ayoub El Kaabi, who are co-leading scorers in the tournament, have been tearing up the group stage for Morocco. Diaz, in particular, has been one of the standout players. The Real Madrid man has really been stamping his authority in Morocco’s matches, scoring in all three group stage fixtures.
Diaz has an excellent record for his national team, scoring 11 goals in 18 appearances.
As for Tanzania, we aren’t likely to see many changes to the team that drew with Tunisia in the final group stage match. Goztepe midfielder Novatus Miroshi has been the team’s best player so far, posting two assists and leading the team in chances created (4).
Leading the line will be former Aston Villa striker Mbwana Samatta. The experienced 33-year-old has made 78 appearances for the Taifa Stars, scoring 19 goals.
Most goals and assists
Morocco
Tanzania
B. Diaz
(4 Goals)
F. Salum
(1 Goals)
,
S. Msuva
(1 Goals)
,
C. M'Mombwa
(1 Goals)
A. Ounahi
(2 Assists)
N. Miroshi
(2 Assists)
Morocco - Tanzania Key Points
- Morocco have won all three meetings with Tanzania since 2023, scoring 7 and conceding 0.
- In their last 21 matches, Morocco have conceded only 5 goals.
- Morocco have won 20 of their last 21 senior team matches.
- Tanzania are winless in their last eight, losing five.
- Tanzania have conceded in their last nine straight games.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Our Morocco vs Tanzania Prediction
Tanzania have a mammoth task ahead of them if they are to stop this juggernaut Moroccan side. The host nation is in the middle of a golden generation and is coming off an unbelievable record-setting winning streak. They haven’t lost in nearly two years and it would be a historic upset if they were to lose here.
Equally as impressive during that run has been Morocco’s defensive record. They should be able to keep a clean sheet against a Tanzanian side that barely scraped through the group stage. Our Morocco vs Tanzania prediction: Morocco to win to nil.Morocco vs Tanzania - Other Interesting Predictions
Brahim Diaz anytime goalscorer
We highlighted the Real Madrid man before the tournament started and he’s been living up to the billing so far. Diaz is the co-leading scorer in the tournament, has found the net in all three of Morocco’s group stage games and also appears to be the team’s primary penalty taker. With 11 goals in 18 games for Morocco, there’s plenty of value in backing the 26-year-old at this price.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Morocco Tanzania
| Morocco vs Tanzania | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Morocco wins | 1.17 | 1.13 | -3.4% |
| Draw | 6.5 | 8 | +23.1% |
| Tanzania wins | 21 | 21 | 0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Morocco is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 3.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 85.5% and is now 88.5% (3.0%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Morocco vs. Tanzania game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Morocco and Tanzania? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's AFCON! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
