Morocco vs Lesotho Prediction & Betting Tips - AFCON

Africa - AFCON

Morocco
18/11/2024 14:00
Lesotho

Prediction :

 

Morocco win & over 3.5 goals

 
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 by Daniel Ngulu in AFCON Predictions

Morocco will seek to finish the 2025 AFCON qualification process on a high as they head to their home match against Lesotho. The Atlas Lions top Group B with 15 points, 11 more than Likuena’s tally. Read on for our prediction.

For the sake of staying sharp, Morocco have taken part in the qualifiers and here they’ll be gunning for a double against Lesotho. The AFCON 2025 hosts are coming from a 5-1 away win against Gabon.

It was the fourth time in five that they scored at least four goals. The only time they scored less, was in their 1-0 win against Lesotho.

As for Lesotho, despite a weak run in the qualifiers, go into the final round still in line for a place at the finals. Their fate isn’t in their hands anymore but their 1-0 win against Central African Republic put them in a good place.

They will hope to win here and that Gabon loses to the bottom placed side. That will be a tall order, both for their wishes and in reality. Their win in the last game lifted them from bottom to third on four points.

While this one is a match they must win, Lesotho come here without an away win in AFCON qualification.

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Morocco v Lesotho Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.04 12 40
1xbet
1.05 14.1 80
Melbet
1.03 13 74
Tonybet
1.05 10 40
LSbet
1.03 14 40

What is the prediction for the football match between Morocco and Lesotho?

Our prediction for the Morocco vs Lesotho match is: Morocco to win and over 3.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 18/11/2024 between Morocco and Lesotho in AFCON :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 71.76% for a win of Morocco against Lesotho with odds of 1.05 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Morocco vs Lesotho is 16.31% with odds of 14.5 at Betobet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 11.93% chance ⭐ for a win of Lesotho vs Morocco with odds of 80 at 1xbet.

Morocco - Lesotho Prediction and Best Odds:

Morocco Lesotho Prediction Probability Odds
Morocco wins 71.76% 1.05 at 1xbet
Under 2.5 52.69% 2.89 at Betobet
Both Team To Score: No 66.67% 1.25 at LSbet
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Morocco 34.56% 4.6 at LSbet

Morocco vs Lesotho Form

Morocco and Lesotho's standings in the AFCON

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1 Morocco
18 6 6 0 0 +24
3 Lesotho
4 6 1 1 4 -11

Morocco and Lesotho Last Matches

Morocco
Morocco Last matches
W W W W W W
Wins

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
4.17 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

15 Nov 2024 - AFCON

Gabon
1 :  5
Morocco

15 Oct 2024 - AFCON

Central African Republic
0 :  4
Morocco

12 Oct 2024 - AFCON

Morocco
5 :  0
Central African Republic

9 Sept 2024 - AFCON

Lesotho
0 :  1
Morocco

6 Sept 2024 - AFCON

Morocco
4 :  1
Gabon

11 Jun 2024 - World Cup

Congo Republic
0 :  6
Morocco
L W D W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
2 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

12 Oct 2024 - AFCON

Morocco
5 :  0
Central African Republic

6 Sept 2024 - AFCON

Morocco
4 :  1
Gabon

7 Jun 2024 - World Cup

Morocco
2 :  1
Zambia

26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies

Morocco
0 :  0
Mauritania

22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies

Morocco
1 :  0
Angola

30 Jan 2024 - AFCON

Morocco
0 :  2
South Africa
W W W W W W
Wins

6/6 (100%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
17% BTTS
3.17 Goals scored
0.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

15 Nov 2024 - AFCON

Gabon
1 :  5
Morocco

15 Oct 2024 - AFCON

Central African Republic
0 :  4
Morocco

9 Sept 2024 - AFCON

Lesotho
0 :  1
Morocco

11 Jun 2024 - World Cup

Congo Republic
0 :  6
Morocco

24 Jan 2024 - AFCON

Zambia
0 :  1
Morocco

21 Nov 2023 - World Cup

Tanzania
0 :  2
Morocco
Lesotho
Lesotho Last matches
L L L D L W
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

14 Nov 2024 - AFCON

Lesotho
1 :  0
Central African Republic

15 Oct 2024 - AFCON

Lesotho
0 :  2
Gabon

11 Oct 2024 - AFCON

Gabon
0 :  0
Lesotho

9 Sept 2024 - AFCON

Lesotho
0 :  1
Morocco

5 Sept 2024 - AFCON

Central African Republic
3 :  1
Lesotho

3 Jul 2024 - COSAFA Cup

Lesotho
1 :  3
Angola
L D L L L W
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

14 Nov 2024 - AFCON

Lesotho
1 :  0
Central African Republic

15 Oct 2024 - AFCON

Lesotho
0 :  2
Gabon

9 Sept 2024 - AFCON

Lesotho
0 :  1
Morocco

3 Jul 2024 - COSAFA Cup

Lesotho
1 :  3
Angola

28 Jun 2024 - COSAFA Cup

Lesotho
1 :  1
Seychelles

11 Jun 2024 - World Cup

Lesotho
0 :  1
Rwanda
D L W L L D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

11 Oct 2024 - AFCON

Gabon
0 :  0
Lesotho

5 Sept 2024 - AFCON

Central African Republic
3 :  1
Lesotho

1 Jul 2024 - COSAFA Cup

Namibia
2 :  1
Lesotho

7 Jun 2024 - World Cup

Zimbabwe
0 :  2
Lesotho

24 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies

Ethiopia
2 :  1
Lesotho

16 Nov 2023 - World Cup

Nigeria
1 :  1
Lesotho

Morocco vs Lesotho Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Morocco

100 %

Draw

0 %

Lesotho

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

1
Total goals
0%
BTTS
1
Goals scored
0
Goals conceded
0%
Over 2.5
100%
Under 2.5

9 Sept 2024 - AFCON

Lesotho
0 :  1
Morocco

Missing players

Morocco
Morocco
Defender

C. Riad

Lesotho
Lesotho

Morocco - Lesotho Key Points

  1. Morocco scored four or more in their last three matches.
  2. Morocco are unbeaten in the last nine matches, winning eight.
  3. In eight of 11 AFCON qualification matches, Lesotho lost.
  4. Lesotho have never won an away match in AFCON qualifiers.
  5. Two of Lesotho’s last four away AFCON qualification matches had over 3.5 goals.
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Our Morocco vs Lesotho Prediction

Morocco were always set to have their place at the AFCON 2025, being the hosts. They have done well in these qualifiers and will hope to finish with their current perfect run. Five wins in a row, and having scored 19 times shows their quality.

They did struggle to beat Lesotho the last time the two nations met but with their current momentum this should easily go their way. Lesotho have been poor, especially away from home in AFCON qualifiers. Our prediction for Morocco v Lesotho is for Morocco to win and over 3.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Morocco win & over 3.5 goals

 
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Morocco vs Lesotho Prediction