England - Championship
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by Nella Wagah | in Championship Predictions
Millwall are eyeing a prolonged stay in the top six when they welcome high-flying Stoke City to The Den. A recent rise has the Lions sitting sixth, ahead of facing third-placed Stoke. Let’s have a look at the prediction for this match.
Millwall’s season has been on and off, but here they come seeking a third straight win. Their last five matches have borne positive results; the hosts have only lost once in that period.
Upon returning from the international break, Millwall ended QPR’s six-match unbeaten run with a 2-1 win on Saturday. The search for a third straight win could be hampered by their home form, though. Each of Millwall’s three league defeats came at home.
Stoke City will be looking to tap on Millwall’s woes at home. The Potters are coming off a 1-0 win over visiting Wrexham. That halted their four-game winless streak, which included a loss to QPR.
The visitors are seeking to ramp up their push for an automatic promotion slot with a win here. They are currently three points off the top two, but the one challenge they have to deal with is their away form.
Mark Robins’ men haven't won any of their last three away matches. It is worse that they have struggled in recent matches against Millwall. In six matches against the Lions, Stoke are winless.
They also suffered straight defeats in the last four visits to Millwall.
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The Best Betting Odds for Millwall v Stoke Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
2.3 | 3.2 | 2.95 |
|
|
|
2.4 | 3.1 | 3.1 |
|
|
|
2.45 | 3.1 | 2.9 |
|
|
|
2.3 | 3.2 | 3 |
|
|
|
2.43 | 3.2 | 2.95 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Millwall and Stoke?
Our prediction for the Millwall vs Stoke match is: Millwall wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/10/2025 between Millwall and Stoke in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 34.71% for a win of Millwall against Stoke with odds of 2.45 at William Hill.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Millwall vs Stoke is 25.89% with odds of 3.25 at Bwin.
- Our prediction model gives a 39.4% chance ⭐ for a win of Stoke vs Millwall with odds of 3.14 at LSbet.
Millwall - Stoke Prediction and Best Odds:
| Millwall Stoke Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Stoke wins | 39.4% | 3.14 at LSbet |
| Under 2.5 | 53.4% | 1.88 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 36.46% | 1.95 at Ladbrokes |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Stoke | 18.64% | 7 at Unibet |
Millwall vs Stoke Form
Millwall and Stoke's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 5 |
|
4
|
20 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
Millwall and Stoke Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Oct 2025 - Championship
4 Oct 2025 - Championship
1 Oct 2025 - Championship
27 Sep 2025 - Championship
22 Sep 2025 - Championship
16 Sep 2025 - Carabao Cup
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Oct 2025 - Championship
1 Oct 2025 - Championship
22 Sep 2025 - Championship
30 Aug 2025 - Championship
26 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
16 Aug 2025 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Oct 2025 - Championship
27 Sep 2025 - Championship
16 Sep 2025 - Carabao Cup
13 Sep 2025 - Championship
23 Aug 2025 - Championship
12 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Oct 2025 - Championship
4 Oct 2025 - Championship
30 Sep 2025 - Championship
27 Sep 2025 - Championship
20 Sep 2025 - Championship
13 Sep 2025 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Oct 2025 - Championship
27 Sep 2025 - Championship
13 Sep 2025 - Championship
30 Aug 2025 - Championship
26 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
12 Aug 2025 - Carabao Cup
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Oct 2025 - Championship
30 Sep 2025 - Championship
20 Sep 2025 - Championship
23 Aug 2025 - Championship
16 Aug 2025 - Championship
23 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
Millwall vs Stoke Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
50 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
15 Mar 2025 - Championship
9 Nov 2024 - Championship
30 Jul 2022 - Championship
11 Jan 2020 - Championship
Millwall against Stoke Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
L. Jensen
S. Benda
DefenderD. McNamara
MidfielderB. Baker
M. Luongo
ForwardJ. Coburn
B. Lawal
B. Joon-ho
ForwardS. Gallagher
Most goals and assists
Millwall - Stoke Key Points
- Millwall posted three wins in their last five outings.
- Millwall has four straight home wins against Stoke City.
- Stoke City only managed two wins in their last eight outings.
- Stoke City have failed to win any of their last three away games.
- Stoke City won none of their last six matches against Millwall.
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Our Millwall vs Stoke Prediction
Stoke City’s early season momentum slowed down in their latest five matches, but they will hope to build on their win in the last outing. Their win over Wrexham returned the team to winning ways, but now they face a tougher outing. An away trip to Millwall hasn’t been a match to look forward to, having failed to win any of the last six.
Stoke actually lost the last four matches away at Millwall. This one finds Millwall in good shape, winning three of their last five outings. Our prediction for Millwall v Stoke City is that Millwall wins the match.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Millwall Stoke
| Millwall vs Stoke | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Millwall wins | 2.15 | 2.3 | +7.0% |
| Draw | 3.25 | 3.2 | -1.5% |
| Stoke wins | 3.3 | 2.95 | -10.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Stoke is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 10.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 30.3% and is now 33.9% (3.6%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Millwall vs. Stoke game!

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.