Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Prediction & Betting Tips - NBA
USA - NBA
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Devesh Jaganath | in NBA Predictions
The Miami Heat will play host to the Boston Celtics at the Kaseya Center in the NBA on Thursday night. The Heat (21-19) are eighth in the Eastern Conference standings, while the Celts (24-15) are third. Let’s get into the match prediction.
The Miami Heat have lost four of their last six games but managed to end their three-game losing streak on Tuesday night by edging the Phoenix Suns 127-121 on the road.
Despite ranking fourth in defensive rating this season, the Heat’s defence has not been at its best of late, having now conceded 120+ points in each of their last four games.
Miami have won four of their last five home games and are 14-6 at the Kaseya Center this season. However, they have lost eight of their last 10 games against their upcoming opponents.
Meanwhile, after winning four games in a row either side of the New Year, the Boston Celtics have now lost three of their last four following a shock 98-96 defeat to the Pacers on Monday.
What became evident in the loss to Indiana was the importance of Jaylen Brown to the C’s this season, as his absence was seriously felt. Payton Pritchard was the only player to score above 20 points for the Celts.
Brown is expected to return to the starting lineup for the visitors in this match. Jayson Tatum and Josh Minnott are ruled out through injury.
Limited Offer. Currently at Bet365
The Best Betting Odds for Miami Heat v Boston Celtics Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
|
2.25 | 1.67 |
|
|
|
2.18 | 1.69 |
|
|
|
2.22 | 1.7 |
|
|
|
2.2 | 1.67 |
|
|
|
2.12 | 1.62 |
|
Who will win the Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Basketball game?
Our prediction for the Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics match is: Boston Celtics -2.5.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics game on 15/01/2026 of the current NBA season:
- Miami Heat has a 38.85% chance to pick up the win against Boston Celtics according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 2.25.
- There is a probability of 61.15% ⭐ for Boston Celtics to win vs Miami Heat with odds of 1.7 at Tonybet.
Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Form
Miami Heat and Boston Celtics's standings in the NBA
| Teams | % | P | W | L | Series |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6
|
0.625 | 40 | 25 | 15 | 1 |
|
16
|
0.512 | 41 | 21 | 20 |
Miami Heat and Boston Celtics Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
13 Jan 2026 - NBA
11 Jan 2026 - NBA
10 Jan 2026 - NBA
6 Jan 2026 - NBA
4 Jan 2026 - NBA
3 Jan 2026 - NBA
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
13 Jan 2026 - NBA
4 Jan 2026 - NBA
3 Jan 2026 - NBA
29 Dec 2025 - NBA
27 Dec 2025 - NBA
23 Dec 2025 - NBA
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
11 Jan 2026 - NBA
10 Jan 2026 - NBA
6 Jan 2026 - NBA
1 Jan 2026 - NBA
26 Dec 2025 - NBA
21 Dec 2025 - NBA
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
12 Jan 2026 - NBA
10 Jan 2026 - NBA
9 Jan 2026 - NBA
7 Jan 2026 - NBA
5 Jan 2026 - NBA
3 Jan 2026 - NBA
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
10 Jan 2026 - NBA
9 Jan 2026 - NBA
7 Jan 2026 - NBA
5 Jan 2026 - NBA
22 Dec 2025 - NBA
19 Dec 2025 - NBA
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
12 Jan 2026 - NBA
3 Jan 2026 - NBA
1 Jan 2026 - NBA
30 Dec 2025 - NBA
28 Dec 2025 - NBA
26 Dec 2025 - NBA
Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
19 Dec 2025 - NBA
14 Jul 2025 - NBA Summer League
2 Apr 2025 - NBA
14 Mar 2025 - NBA
10 Feb 2025 - NBA
2 Dec 2024 - NBA
Miami Heat - Boston Celtics Key Points
- The Celtics have won three of their last four away games.
- The Celtics beat this opponent by 13 points last month.
- The Celtics are 8-2 SU and ATS against this opponent in their last 10 games.
- The Heat have lost three of their last four games.
- The Heat have allowed 120+ points in each of their last four games.
Limited Offer. Currently at Bet365
Our Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Prediction
The Miami Heat managed to claim a much-needed victory over the Suns last time out, but they have conceded 120+ points in each of their last four games and are likely to be missing Jaime Jaquez Jr for this one.
The Celtics have not been at their best of late either, but Jaylen Brown is expected to return for this match, which is a major boost for them. Boston are 8-2 SU and ATS against this opponent in their last 10 games, and we feel they will be able to get the cover on this thin line. Our Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics prediction is Boston Celtics -2.5.
If your team in the Miami Heat and Boston Celtics game takes a 20-point lead, you win!

If you want to place a bet on the moneyline in the Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics game, then bet365 is the place to do it. If the team that you have bet on takes a 20-point lead in the game, then bet365 will pay your bet out as a winner. If your team goes on to lose, you are still a winner.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.