Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Prediction & Betting Tips - NBA

USA - NBA

Miami Heat
15/01/2026 19:30
Boston Celtics

Prediction :

 

Boston Celtics -2.5

1.9
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 by Devesh Jaganath | in NBA Predictions

The Miami Heat will play host to the Boston Celtics at the Kaseya Center in the NBA on Thursday night. The Heat (21-19) are eighth in the Eastern Conference standings, while the Celts (24-15) are third. Let’s get into the match prediction.

The Miami Heat have lost four of their last six games but managed to end their three-game losing streak on Tuesday night by edging the Phoenix Suns 127-121 on the road. 

Despite ranking fourth in defensive rating this season, the Heat’s defence has not been at its best of late, having now conceded 120+ points in each of their last four games.

Miami have won four of their last five home games and are 14-6 at the Kaseya Center this season. However, they have lost eight of their last 10 games against their upcoming opponents. 

Meanwhile, after winning four games in a row either side of the New Year, the Boston Celtics have now lost three of their last four following a shock 98-96 defeat to the Pacers on Monday. 

What became evident in the loss to Indiana was the importance of Jaylen Brown to the C’s this season, as his absence was seriously felt. Payton Pritchard was the only player to score above 20 points for the Celts.

Brown is expected to return to the starting lineup for the visitors in this match. Jayson Tatum and Josh Minnott are ruled out through injury.

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The Best Betting Odds for Miami Heat v Boston Celtics Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
2.25 1.67
BC Game
2.18 1.69
Tonybet
2.22 1.7
Roobet
2.2 1.67
Shangrila
2.12 1.62
Check all Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics odds

Who will win the Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Basketball game?

Our prediction for the Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics match is: Boston Celtics -2.5.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics game on 15/01/2026 of the current NBA season:

  • Miami Heat has a 38.85% chance to pick up the win against Boston Celtics according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 2.25.
  • There is a probability of 61.15% ⭐ for Boston Celtics to win vs Miami Heat with odds of 1.7 at Tonybet.

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Form

Miami Heat and Boston Celtics's standings in the NBA

Teams % P W L Series
6
Boston Celtics
Boston Celtics
0.625 40 25 15 1
16
Miami Heat
Miami Heat
0.512 41 21 20

Miami Heat and Boston Celtics Last Matches

Miami Heat
Miami Heat Last matches
L W L L L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

13 Jan 2026 - NBA

Miami Heat
127 :  121
Phoenix Suns

11 Jan 2026 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
124 :  112
Miami Heat

10 Jan 2026 - NBA

Indiana Pacers
123 :  99
Miami Heat

6 Jan 2026 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
122 :  94
Miami Heat

4 Jan 2026 - NBA

Miami Heat
125 :  106
New Orleans Pelicans

3 Jan 2026 - NBA

Miami Heat
115 :  125
Minnesota Timberwolves
L W W L W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

13 Jan 2026 - NBA

Miami Heat
127 :  121
Phoenix Suns

4 Jan 2026 - NBA

Miami Heat
125 :  106
New Orleans Pelicans

3 Jan 2026 - NBA

Miami Heat
115 :  125
Minnesota Timberwolves

29 Dec 2025 - NBA

Miami Heat
147 :  123
Denver Nuggets

27 Dec 2025 - NBA

Miami Heat
142 :  116
Indiana Pacers

23 Dec 2025 - NBA

Miami Heat
91 :  112
Toronto Raptors
L W W L L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

11 Jan 2026 - NBA

Oklahoma City Thunder
124 :  112
Miami Heat

10 Jan 2026 - NBA

Indiana Pacers
123 :  99
Miami Heat

6 Jan 2026 - NBA

Minnesota Timberwolves
122 :  94
Miami Heat

1 Jan 2026 - NBA

Detroit Pistons
112 :  118
Miami Heat

26 Dec 2025 - NBA

Atlanta Hawks
111 :  126
Miami Heat

21 Dec 2025 - NBA

New York Knicks
132 :  125
Miami Heat
Boston Celtics
Boston Celtics Last matches
W W L W L L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

12 Jan 2026 - NBA

Indiana Pacers
98 :  96
Boston Celtics

10 Jan 2026 - NBA

Boston Celtics
95 :  100
San Antonio Spurs

9 Jan 2026 - NBA

Boston Celtics
125 :  117
Toronto Raptors

7 Jan 2026 - NBA

Boston Celtics
110 :  114
Denver Nuggets

5 Jan 2026 - NBA

Boston Celtics
115 :  101
Chicago Bulls

3 Jan 2026 - NBA

LA Clippers
115 :  146
Boston Celtics
W W W L W L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

10 Jan 2026 - NBA

Boston Celtics
95 :  100
San Antonio Spurs

9 Jan 2026 - NBA

Boston Celtics
125 :  117
Toronto Raptors

7 Jan 2026 - NBA

Boston Celtics
110 :  114
Denver Nuggets

5 Jan 2026 - NBA

Boston Celtics
115 :  101
Chicago Bulls

22 Dec 2025 - NBA

Boston Celtics
103 :  95
Indiana Pacers

19 Dec 2025 - NBA

Boston Celtics
129 :  116
Miami Heat
W L W W W L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

12 Jan 2026 - NBA

Indiana Pacers
98 :  96
Boston Celtics

3 Jan 2026 - NBA

LA Clippers
115 :  146
Boston Celtics

1 Jan 2026 - NBA

Sacramento Kings
106 :  120
Boston Celtics

30 Dec 2025 - NBA

Utah Jazz
119 :  129
Boston Celtics

28 Dec 2025 - NBA

Portland Trail Blazers
114 :  108
Boston Celtics

26 Dec 2025 - NBA

Indiana Pacers
122 :  140
Boston Celtics

Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Miami Heat

33 %

Boston Celtics

67 %

19 Dec 2025 - NBA

Boston Celtics
129 :  116
Miami Heat

14 Jul 2025 - NBA Summer League

Miami Heat
100 :  96
Boston Celtics

2 Apr 2025 - NBA

Boston Celtics
103 :  124
Miami Heat

14 Mar 2025 - NBA

Miami Heat
91 :  103
Boston Celtics

10 Feb 2025 - NBA

Miami Heat
85 :  103
Boston Celtics

2 Dec 2024 - NBA

Boston Celtics
108 :  89
Miami Heat

Miami Heat - Boston Celtics Key Points

  1. The Celtics have won three of their last four away games.
  2. The Celtics beat this opponent by 13 points last month.
  3. The Celtics are 8-2 SU and ATS against this opponent in their last 10 games.
  4. The Heat have lost three of their last four games.
  5. The Heat have allowed 120+ points in each of their last four games.
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Our Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Prediction

The Miami Heat managed to claim a much-needed victory over the Suns last time out, but they have conceded 120+ points in each of their last four games and are likely to be missing Jaime Jaquez Jr for this one. 

The Celtics have not been at their best of late either, but Jaylen Brown is expected to return for this match, which is a major boost for them. Boston are 8-2 SU and ATS against this opponent in their last 10 games, and we feel they will be able to get the cover on this thin line. Our Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics prediction is Boston Celtics -2.5. 

Prediction :

 

Boston Celtics -2.5

1.9
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Miami Heat vs Boston Celtics Prediction