Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix Prediction & Betting Tips - A-League
Australia - A-League
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by Sridhar Bhamidi in A-League Predictions
Melbourne Victory will look to continue their top-four push on Monday as they play Wellington Phoenix. This match between the ninth-placed Dark Blues and the eighth-placed Nix comes with our prediction of a Melbourne win and BTTS.
With 11 points from nine matches (W3, D2, L4), Victory are locked in a tight battle with teams from sixth to tenth separated by just two points. Phoenix also have 11 points from nine matches (W3, D2, L4) and are two points behind fifth-placed Melbourne City.
Victory won 1-0 against Melbourne City in a derby last weekend for their second win in a row. They are now unbeaten in three matches (W2, D1). That result marked the seventh time in nine league games that at least one team failed to score.
Home hasn’t been sweet for Victory in terms of results. They won 2-1 against Adelaide United in their last home league game but have one draw and one loss in the two games prior.
The Phoenix won 3-1 at home against the Central Coast Mariners, halting a two-game losing run. Going further back, the Phoenix have four losses from their six recent games.
Being on the road hasn’t helped the Phoenix, although they have been stubborn. They drew two and lost one of their three away league games this season and will be wary of Melbourne here.
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The Best Betting Odds for Melbourne Victory v Wellington Phoenix Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.42 | 4.75 | 6.25 |
|
|
1.44 | 4.2 | 5.5 |
|
|
1.44 | 4.5 | 5 |
|
|
1.53 | 4.3 | 5.3 |
|
|
1.45 | 4.75 | 5.75 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Melbourne Victory and Wellington Phoenix?
Our prediction for the Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix match is: Melbourne Victory wins and BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 29/12/2025 between Melbourne Victory and Wellington Phoenix in A-League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 36.13% for a win of Melbourne Victory against Wellington Phoenix with odds of 1.59 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix is 33.22% with odds of 4.76 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 30.65% chance ⭐ for a win of Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory with odds of 6.25 at Bet365.
Melbourne Victory - Wellington Phoenix Prediction and Best Odds:
| Melbourne Victory Wellington Phoenix Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Melbourne Victory wins | 36.13% | 1.59 at 888Starz |
| Under 2.5 | 55.02% | 2.42 at Shangrila |
| Both Team To Score | 48.75% | 1.7 at Bet365 |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Melbourne Victory | 15.27% | 4.6 at Ladbrokes |
Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix Form
Melbourne Victory and Wellington Phoenix's standings in the A-League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -1 |
|
10
|
11 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -6 |
Melbourne Victory and Wellington Phoenix Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Dec 2025 - A-League
13 Dec 2025 - A-League
5 Dec 2025 - A-League
28 Nov 2025 - A-League
22 Nov 2025 - A-League
8 Nov 2025 - A-League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Dec 2025 - A-League
8 Nov 2025 - A-League
18 Oct 2025 - A-League
11 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2025 - A-League
4 May 2025 - A-League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Dec 2025 - A-League
5 Dec 2025 - A-League
28 Nov 2025 - A-League
22 Nov 2025 - A-League
31 Oct 2025 - A-League
24 Oct 2025 - A-League
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Dec 2025 - A-League
13 Dec 2025 - A-League
5 Dec 2025 - A-League
28 Nov 2025 - A-League
21 Nov 2025 - A-League
7 Nov 2025 - A-League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Dec 2025 - A-League
13 Dec 2025 - A-League
28 Nov 2025 - A-League
21 Nov 2025 - A-League
7 Nov 2025 - A-League
25 Oct 2025 - A-League
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Dec 2025 - A-League
1 Nov 2025 - A-League
18 Oct 2025 - A-League
19 Aug 2025 - FFA Cup
9 Aug 2025 - FFA Cup
27 Jul 2025 - FFA Cup
Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
17 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
11 Apr 2025 - A-League
14 Feb 2025 - A-League
23 Nov 2024 - A-League
17 May 2024 - A-League
11 May 2024 - A-League
12 Apr 2024 - A-League
Melbourne Victory against Wellington Phoenix Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Most goals and assists
Melbourne Victory
Wellington Phoenix
N. Vergos
(5 Goals)
E. Ifeanyi
(4 Goals)
J. Rawlins
(2 Assists)
, 
J. Mata
(2 Assists)
,
M. Grimaldi
(2 Assists)
,
D. Genreau
(2 Assists)
C. Piper
(3 Assists)
, 
K. Nagasawa
(3 Assists)
Melbourne Victory - Wellington Phoenix Key Points
- Melbourne won their last two league games.
- Eight of Wellington’s last nine league games saw both teams score goals.
- Wellington lost four of their recent six league games.
- All three of Wellington’s away league games this season saw BTTS.
- Melbourne Victory won three of their last four matches against Wellington.
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Our Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix Prediction
Both teams are stacked together in the points tally, with only goal difference separating them. That’s the only common factor, as the teams bring contrasting forms into this clash. Melbourne have won their last two league games, while Wellington have lost two of their recent three matches. Wellington are yet to win on the road with only two points from three away league games this season.
Melbourne have also dominated this fixture in recent times, and our Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix prediction is Melbourne Victory wins and BTTS.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Melbourne Victory Wellington Phoenix
| Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Melbourne Victory wins | 1.53 | 1.42 | -7.2% |
| Draw | 3.9 | 4.75 | +21.8% |
| Wellington Phoenix wins | 5.5 | 6.25 | +13.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Melbourne Victory is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 7.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 65.4% and is now 70.4% (5.1%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Melbourne Victory vs. Wellington Phoenix game!
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
