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Melbourne Victory vs Newcastle United Jets Prediction & Betting Tips - A-League

Australia - A-League

Melbourne Victory
04/05/2025 03:00
Newcastle United Jets

Prediction :

 

Melbourne Victory wins the match

 
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 by Devesh Jaganath | in A-League Predictions

Melbourne Victory and the Newcastle Jets will face off in their final match of the season at AAMI Park on Sunday. The Big V are in fifth place in the league standings, while the Jets are ninth. Let’s get into the match prediction. 

Melbourne Victory have secured a spot in the final series and still have a chance to end the season as high as third place, depending on results from elsewhere this weekend. 

The Big V enter this match following a 2-1 win over Macarthur last week, which was their third win in four games. It was also the fifth time in the last six matches they scored two or more goals. 

The hosts have been solid at home this season, losing only two of 12 games to date. They have also scored two or more goals in seven of their last 10 at AAMI Park. 

Meanwhile, with 29 points in 25 games, the Newcastle Jets are slightly better off than they were last season but will still not feature in the final series. 

The Jets have not been in great form during the run-in and suffered a 1-0 loss to Western Sydney Wanderers in their last match, which was their third defeat in their last four games. 

Notably, the visitors have performed better on the road than at home this season, with 17 of their 29-point tally coming on their travels (W5 D2 L5).

The Best Betting Odds for Melbourne Victory v Newcastle United Jets Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.45 5 5.75
Betfred
1.4 4.6 6
Ladbrokes
1.44 5 5.75
NetBet
1.33 4.7 5.4
1xbet
1.45 5.15 5.95
Check all Melbourne Victory vs Newcastle United Jets odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Melbourne Victory and Newcastle United Jets?

Our prediction for the Melbourne Victory vs Newcastle United Jets match is: .Melbourne Victory wins the match.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 04/05/2025 between Melbourne Victory and Newcastle United Jets in A-League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 49.4% for a win of Melbourne Victory against Newcastle United Jets with odds of 1.45 at Bet365.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Melbourne Victory vs Newcastle United Jets is 22.27% with odds of 5.4 at Unibet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 28.33% chance ⭐ for a win of Newcastle United Jets vs Melbourne Victory with odds of 6.15 at Betwinner.

Melbourne Victory vs Newcastle United Jets Form

Melbourne Victory and Newcastle United Jets's standings in the A-League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
5
Melbourne Victory
Melbourne Victory
42 25 12 6 7 8
9
Newcastle United Jets
Newcastle United Jets
29 25 8 5 12 -1

Melbourne Victory and Newcastle United Jets Last Matches

Melbourne Victory
Melbourne Victory Last matches
W L W W L W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.5 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

25 Apr 2025 - A-League

Macarthur FC
1 :  2
Melbourne Victory

19 Apr 2025 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
0 :  2
Auckland FC

12 Apr 2025 - A-League

Wellington Phoenix
2 :  3
Melbourne Victory

29 Mar 2025 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
5 :  3
Adelaide United

15 Mar 2025 - A-League

Western Sydney Wanderers
4 :  2
Melbourne Victory

8 Mar 2025 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
3 :  0
Central Coast Mariners
W W D W W L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

19 Apr 2025 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
0 :  2
Auckland FC

29 Mar 2025 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
5 :  3
Adelaide United

8 Mar 2025 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
3 :  0
Central Coast Mariners

22 Feb 2025 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
2 :  2
Melbourne City

14 Feb 2025 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
1 :  0
Wellington Phoenix

24 Jan 2025 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
2 :  0
Sydney
W L D L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

25 Apr 2025 - A-League

Macarthur FC
1 :  2
Melbourne Victory

12 Apr 2025 - A-League

Wellington Phoenix
2 :  3
Melbourne Victory

15 Mar 2025 - A-League

Western Sydney Wanderers
4 :  2
Melbourne Victory

1 Mar 2025 - A-League

Brisbane Roar
1 :  1
Melbourne Victory

8 Feb 2025 - A-League

Newcastle United Jets
3 :  0
Melbourne Victory

1 Feb 2025 - A-League

Perth Glory
0 :  2
Melbourne Victory
Newcastle United Jets
Newcastle United Jets Last matches
L D L W L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
2.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

26 Apr 2025 - A-League

Newcastle United Jets
0 :  1
Western Sydney Wanderers

20 Apr 2025 - A-League

Sydney
3 :  2
Newcastle United Jets

12 Apr 2025 - A-League

Newcastle United Jets
6 :  0
Central Coast Mariners

6 Apr 2025 - A-League

Newcastle United Jets
1 :  2
Wellington Phoenix

28 Mar 2025 - A-League

Macarthur FC
3 :  3
Newcastle United Jets

16 Mar 2025 - A-League

Newcastle United Jets
2 :  6
Western United
W D L L W L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
67% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

26 Apr 2025 - A-League

Newcastle United Jets
0 :  1
Western Sydney Wanderers

12 Apr 2025 - A-League

Newcastle United Jets
6 :  0
Central Coast Mariners

6 Apr 2025 - A-League

Newcastle United Jets
1 :  2
Wellington Phoenix

16 Mar 2025 - A-League

Newcastle United Jets
2 :  6
Western United

9 Mar 2025 - A-League

Newcastle United Jets
1 :  1
Auckland FC

21 Feb 2025 - A-League

Newcastle United Jets
3 :  1
Brisbane Roar
L D W W D L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

20 Apr 2025 - A-League

Sydney
3 :  2
Newcastle United Jets

28 Mar 2025 - A-League

Macarthur FC
3 :  3
Newcastle United Jets

12 Mar 2025 - A-League

Melbourne City
0 :  1
Newcastle United Jets

15 Feb 2025 - A-League

Adelaide United
1 :  2
Newcastle United Jets

1 Feb 2025 - A-League

Central Coast Mariners
2 :  2
Newcastle United Jets

17 Jan 2025 - A-League

Western United
3 :  1
Newcastle United Jets

Melbourne Victory vs Newcastle United Jets Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Melbourne Victory

0 %

Draw

33 %

Newcastle United Jets

67 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.67
Total goals
67%
BTTS
0.67
Goals scored (Team 1)
2
Goals scored (Team 2)
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5

8 Feb 2025 - A-League

Newcastle United Jets
3 :  0
Melbourne Victory

3 Feb 2024 - A-League

Newcastle United Jets
1 :  1
Melbourne Victory

11 Feb 2023 - A-League

Newcastle United Jets
2 :  1
Melbourne Victory
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

Melbourne Victory vs Newcastle United Jets last Lineups

Melbourne Victory

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

25
J. Duncan
16
J. Inserra
21
R. Miranda
4
L. Jackson
28
K. Bos
14
J. Valadon
8
Z. Machach
7
D. Arzani
6
R. Teague
17
N. Velupillay
9
N. Vergos
9
L. Rose
13
C. Taylor
20
C. M'Mombwa
7
E. Adams
18
K. Mizunuma
19
C. Timmins
23
D. Wilmering
15
A. Susnjar
17
K. Grozos
39
T. Aquilina
1
R. Scott

Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1

Newcastle United Jets

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Melbourne Victory
CD Huachipato Newcastle United Jets
Top Goalscorer
Greece N. Vergos (7 Goals)
Australia N. Velupillay (7 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Australia E. Adams (9 Goals)
Best assists
France Z. Machach (5 Assists)
Australia D. Arzani (5 Assists)
Best assists
Australia T. Aquilina (6 Assists)
Australia C. Taylor (6 Assists)

Melbourne Victory - Newcastle United Jets Key Points

  1. Melbourne Victory have won three of their last four league games.
  2. Melbourne Victory have scored two or more goals in five of their last six matches.
  3. Melbourne Victory have only lost two home games this season.
  4. Melbourne Victory have scored two or more goals in seven of their last 10 home games.

Our Melbourne Victory vs Newcastle United Jets Prediction

The Newcastle Jets can end the season on a maximum of 32 points, which is a slight improvement on their 28-point tally from last season, but not enough for them to make the playoff series. 

Melbourne Victory, meanwhile, have clinched a spot in the postseason, but a win here could impact the standings, with second through fifth place separated by just three points. The hosts will want to win this and hope for a bit of luck elsewhere this weekend. Our Melbourne Victory vs Newcastle Jets prediction is Melbourne Victory wins the match.

Prediction :

 

Melbourne Victory wins the match

 
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Melbourne Victory vs Newcastle United Jets Prediction

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