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Melbourne Victory vs Auckland FC Prediction & Betting Tips - A-League

Australia - A-League

Melbourne Victory
17/05/2025 04:35
Auckland FC

Prediction :

 

Auckland draw no bet

 
$200 offered for betting!

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 by Devesh Jaganath in A-League Predictions

The second semi-final first-leg clash in the Finals series of the A-League will see Melbourne Victory taking on Auckland FC at AAMI Park on Saturday. The winner of this tie between the Big V and the Black Knights will face either Western United or Melbourne City in the Grand Final. Let’s get into the match prediction. 

Melbourne Victory are back in the semi-final for a second consecutive year and will be hoping to go one better, having lost to Central Coast Mariners in the final last season. 

Victory enter this match off the back of a 2-1 win against Western Sydney Wanderers in the Elimination-finals, thanks to goals in each half by Kasey Bos and Zinedine Machach.

That result took the hosts to three games unbeaten. However, they have failed to win their last two home games, one of which ended in a 2-0 defeat to their upcoming opponent. 

Meanwhile, it has been a dream first season in the top flight for Auckland, who proved too good for the rest and were crowned A-League Premiers with 53 points during the regular season. 

The Black Knights lost their final match of the season 4-2 on the roa to Western United, but they had already clinched the title by then. It was also the seventh match in 10 they scored two or more goals. 

Prior to the defeat to Western, the visitors had gone 14 games without defeat (W8 D6 L0). They have also scored two or more goals in each of their last four away games.

Up to $200 to bet on Melbourne Victory - Auckland FC! 

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The Best Betting Odds for Melbourne Victory v Auckland FC Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
2.63 3.25 2.7
Betfred
2.5 3.1 2.63
Betway
2.63 3.25 2.63
Ladbrokes
2.3 3.5 2.8
Unibet
2.55 3.3 2.6
Check all Melbourne Victory vs Auckland FC odds
Up to $200 to bet on Melbourne Victory - Auckland FC! 

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What is the prediction for the football match between Melbourne Victory and Auckland FC?

Our prediction for the Melbourne Victory vs Auckland FC match is: Auckland draw no bet.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/05/2025 between Melbourne Victory and Auckland FC in A-League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 33.02% for a win of Melbourne Victory against Auckland FC with odds of 2.63 at Bet365.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Melbourne Victory vs Auckland FC is 33.74% with odds of 3.5 at Ladbrokes.
  • Our prediction model gives a 33.24% chance ⭐ for a win of Auckland FC vs Melbourne Victory with odds of 2.9 at Stake.

Melbourne Victory - Auckland FC Prediction and Best Odds:

Melbourne Victory Auckland FC Prediction Probability Odds
Draw 33.74% 3.5 at Ladbrokes
Under 2.5 57.21% 2.47 at Stake
Both Team To Score 47.92% 1.7 at Bet365
Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw 16.89% 5.5 at Bet365

Melbourne Victory vs Auckland FC Form

Melbourne Victory and Auckland FC Last Matches

Melbourne Victory
Melbourne Victory Last matches
W W L W D W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

10 May 2025 - A-League

Western Sydney Wanderers
1 :  2
Melbourne Victory

4 May 2025 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
1 :  1
Newcastle United Jets

25 Apr 2025 - A-League

Macarthur FC
1 :  2
Melbourne Victory

19 Apr 2025 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
0 :  2
Auckland FC

12 Apr 2025 - A-League

Wellington Phoenix
2 :  3
Melbourne Victory

29 Mar 2025 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
5 :  3
Adelaide United
W D W W L D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

4 May 2025 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
1 :  1
Newcastle United Jets

19 Apr 2025 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
0 :  2
Auckland FC

29 Mar 2025 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
5 :  3
Adelaide United

8 Mar 2025 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
3 :  0
Central Coast Mariners

22 Feb 2025 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
2 :  2
Melbourne City

14 Feb 2025 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
1 :  0
Wellington Phoenix
L D L W W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

10 May 2025 - A-League

Western Sydney Wanderers
1 :  2
Melbourne Victory

25 Apr 2025 - A-League

Macarthur FC
1 :  2
Melbourne Victory

12 Apr 2025 - A-League

Wellington Phoenix
2 :  3
Melbourne Victory

15 Mar 2025 - A-League

Western Sydney Wanderers
4 :  2
Melbourne Victory

1 Mar 2025 - A-League

Brisbane Roar
1 :  1
Melbourne Victory

8 Feb 2025 - A-League

Newcastle United Jets
3 :  0
Melbourne Victory
Auckland FC
Auckland FC Last matches
W D D W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

3 May 2025 - A-League

Western United
4 :  2
Auckland FC

27 Apr 2025 - A-League

Auckland FC
1 :  0
Perth Glory

19 Apr 2025 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
0 :  2
Auckland FC

12 Apr 2025 - A-League

Sydney
2 :  2
Auckland FC

4 Apr 2025 - A-League

Auckland FC
1 :  1
Western Sydney Wanderers

30 Mar 2025 - A-League

Brisbane Roar
0 :  2
Auckland FC
W W D D D W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.67 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

27 Apr 2025 - A-League

Auckland FC
1 :  0
Perth Glory

4 Apr 2025 - A-League

Auckland FC
1 :  1
Western Sydney Wanderers

15 Mar 2025 - A-League

Auckland FC
2 :  2
Central Coast Mariners

28 Feb 2025 - A-League

Auckland FC
4 :  4
Adelaide United

21 Feb 2025 - A-League

Auckland FC
6 :  1
Wellington Phoenix

31 Jan 2025 - A-League

Auckland FC
2 :  1
Macarthur FC
W D W D W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

3 May 2025 - A-League

Western United
4 :  2
Auckland FC

19 Apr 2025 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
0 :  2
Auckland FC

12 Apr 2025 - A-League

Sydney
2 :  2
Auckland FC

30 Mar 2025 - A-League

Brisbane Roar
0 :  2
Auckland FC

9 Mar 2025 - A-League

Newcastle United Jets
1 :  1
Auckland FC

15 Feb 2025 - A-League

Western United
0 :  2
Auckland FC

Melbourne Victory vs Auckland FC Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Melbourne Victory

0 %

Draw

50 %

Auckland FC

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

1
Total goals
0%
BTTS
0
Goals scored (Team 1)
1
Goals scored (Team 2)
0%
Over 2.5
100%
Under 2.5

19 Apr 2025 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
0 :  2
Auckland FC

31 Dec 2024 - A-League

Auckland FC
0 :  0
Melbourne Victory
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Melbourne Victory
CD Huachipato Auckland FC
Top Goalscorer
Greece N. Vergos (7 Goals)
Australia N. Velupillay (7 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Uruguay G. May (9 Goals) Colombia N. Moreno (9 Goals)
Best assists
France Z. Machach (6 Assists)
Australia D. Arzani (6 Assists)
Best assists
New Zeland F. De Vries (7 Assists)

Melbourne Victory - Auckland FC Key Points

  1. Melbourne Victory have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last seven games.
  2. Melbourne Victory failed to beat this opponent at home or away during the regular season.
  3. Auckland only lost three of their 26 games this season.
  4. Auckland have scored two or more goals in each of their last four away games.
  5. Auckland kept clean sheets in both matches against this opponent this season.
Up to $200 to bet on Melbourne Victory - Auckland FC! 

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Our Melbourne Victory vs Auckland FC Prediction

Melbourne Victory did very well to keep the high-scoring Western Sydney Wanderers quiet in the last match, but they face a much tougher task here, against an opponent they were unable to score against during the regular season.

This has already been a historic season for Auckland, and given their performances against this opponent during the regular season, we feel they are the team to beat. However, with favourable odds available, we’ll opt for the safety of our money back in the event of a draw. Our Melbourne Victory vs Auckland prediction is Auckland draw no bet. 

Prediction :

 

Auckland draw no bet

 
Exclusive Offer
$200 offered for betting!

Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Melbourne Victory Auckland FC

Melbourne Victory vs Auckland FC Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Melbourne Victory wins 2.3 2.63 +14.3%
Draw 3.4 3.25 -4.4%
Auckland FC wins 3 2.7 -10.0%
Latest odds movements:

At 2 hours before kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • A draw is the most likely outcome
  • The odds for this bet have decreased by 4.4% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 29.4% and is now 30.8% (1.4%)

Use £/€50 free bets for the Melbourne Victory vs. Auckland FC game!

bet365 welcome offer

Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Melbourne Victory and Auckland FC? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Melbourne Victory vs Auckland FC Prediction
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