Australia - A-League
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by Devesh Jaganath in A-League Predictions
The second semi-final first-leg clash in the Finals series of the A-League will see Melbourne Victory taking on Auckland FC at AAMI Park on Saturday. The winner of this tie between the Big V and the Black Knights will face either Western United or Melbourne City in the Grand Final. Let’s get into the match prediction.
Melbourne Victory are back in the semi-final for a second consecutive year and will be hoping to go one better, having lost to Central Coast Mariners in the final last season.
Victory enter this match off the back of a 2-1 win against Western Sydney Wanderers in the Elimination-finals, thanks to goals in each half by Kasey Bos and Zinedine Machach.
That result took the hosts to three games unbeaten. However, they have failed to win their last two home games, one of which ended in a 2-0 defeat to their upcoming opponent.
Meanwhile, it has been a dream first season in the top flight for Auckland, who proved too good for the rest and were crowned A-League Premiers with 53 points during the regular season.
The Black Knights lost their final match of the season 4-2 on the roa to Western United, but they had already clinched the title by then. It was also the seventh match in 10 they scored two or more goals.
Prior to the defeat to Western, the visitors had gone 14 games without defeat (W8 D6 L0). They have also scored two or more goals in each of their last four away games.
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The Best Betting Odds for Melbourne Victory v Auckland FC Match
Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
---|---|---|---|---|
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2.63 | 3.25 | 2.7 |
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2.5 | 3.1 | 2.63 |
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2.63 | 3.25 | 2.63 |
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2.3 | 3.5 | 2.8 |
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2.55 | 3.3 | 2.6 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Melbourne Victory and Auckland FC?
Our prediction for the Melbourne Victory vs Auckland FC match is: Auckland draw no bet.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/05/2025 between Melbourne Victory and Auckland FC in A-League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 33.02% for a win of Melbourne Victory against Auckland FC with odds of 2.63 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Melbourne Victory vs Auckland FC is 33.74% with odds of 3.5 at Ladbrokes.
- Our prediction model gives a 33.24% chance ⭐ for a win of Auckland FC vs Melbourne Victory with odds of 2.9 at Stake.
Melbourne Victory - Auckland FC Prediction and Best Odds:
Melbourne Victory Auckland FC Prediction | Probability | Odds |
---|---|---|
Draw | 33.74% | 3.5 at Ladbrokes |
Under 2.5 | 57.21% | 2.47 at Stake |
Both Team To Score | 47.92% | 1.7 at Bet365 |
Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw | 16.89% | 5.5 at Bet365 |
Melbourne Victory vs Auckland FC Form
Melbourne Victory and Auckland FC Last Matches

4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 May 2025 - A-League
4 May 2025 - A-League
25 Apr 2025 - A-League
19 Apr 2025 - A-League
12 Apr 2025 - A-League
29 Mar 2025 - A-League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 May 2025 - A-League
19 Apr 2025 - A-League
29 Mar 2025 - A-League
8 Mar 2025 - A-League
22 Feb 2025 - A-League
14 Feb 2025 - A-League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 May 2025 - A-League
25 Apr 2025 - A-League
12 Apr 2025 - A-League
15 Mar 2025 - A-League
1 Mar 2025 - A-League
8 Feb 2025 - A-League

3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 May 2025 - A-League
27 Apr 2025 - A-League
19 Apr 2025 - A-League
12 Apr 2025 - A-League
4 Apr 2025 - A-League
30 Mar 2025 - A-League
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Apr 2025 - A-League
4 Apr 2025 - A-League
15 Mar 2025 - A-League
28 Feb 2025 - A-League
21 Feb 2025 - A-League
31 Jan 2025 - A-League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 May 2025 - A-League
19 Apr 2025 - A-League
12 Apr 2025 - A-League
30 Mar 2025 - A-League
9 Mar 2025 - A-League
15 Feb 2025 - A-League
Melbourne Victory vs Auckland FC Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
50 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
19 Apr 2025 - A-League
31 Dec 2024 - A-League
Most goals and assists









Melbourne Victory - Auckland FC Key Points
- Melbourne Victory have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last seven games.
- Melbourne Victory failed to beat this opponent at home or away during the regular season.
- Auckland only lost three of their 26 games this season.
- Auckland have scored two or more goals in each of their last four away games.
- Auckland kept clean sheets in both matches against this opponent this season.
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Our Melbourne Victory vs Auckland FC Prediction
Melbourne Victory did very well to keep the high-scoring Western Sydney Wanderers quiet in the last match, but they face a much tougher task here, against an opponent they were unable to score against during the regular season.
This has already been a historic season for Auckland, and given their performances against this opponent during the regular season, we feel they are the team to beat. However, with favourable odds available, we’ll opt for the safety of our money back in the event of a draw. Our Melbourne Victory vs Auckland prediction is Auckland draw no bet.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Melbourne Victory Auckland FC
Melbourne Victory vs Auckland FC | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
---|---|---|---|
Melbourne Victory wins | 2.3 | 2.63 | +14.3% |
Draw | 3.4 | 3.25 | -4.4% |
Auckland FC wins | 3 | 2.7 | -10.0% |
At 2 hours before kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 4.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 29.4% and is now 30.8% (1.4%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Melbourne Victory vs. Auckland FC game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Melbourne Victory and Auckland FC? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's A-League! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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