Burkina Faso vs Equatorial Guinea Prediction & Betting Tips - AFCON
Africa - AFCON
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by Daniel Ngulu | in AFCON Predictions
Burkina Faso and Equatorial Guinea go head-to-head in their opening match at the 2025 African Cup of Nations in Morocco. The Group E match, to be hosted in Casablanca at the Mohamed V Stadium, will mark the second meeting between the two at the AFCON stage. Overall it will be their fourth meeting, and below we have a prediction for the game.
Two of the said three matchups between these nations were friendly matches, and Burkina Faso won one. Their AFCON meeting ended in a goalless draw 10 years ago when Equatorial Guinea and Gabon co-hosted. Still unbeaten against Equatorial Guinea, Burkina Faso, on their 14th AFCON appearance, will go into this game feeling like favorites.
Their best run at the competition was a runners-up finish in 2013. Equatorial Guinea have never even scored a goal in this fixture. As they make their fifth AFCON appearance, that will be another stat they’ll be looking to address, apart from getting a first win against Burkina Faso.
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Burkina Faso v Equatorial Guinea Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.89 | 3 | 5 |
|
|
1.88 | 3.02 | 5.3 |
|
|
1.89 | 3 | 5.25 |
|
|
1.91 | 3 | 5 |
|
|
1.79 | 3 | 5.4 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Burkina Faso and Equatorial Guinea?
Our prediction for the Burkina Faso vs Equatorial Guinea match is: Burkina Faso wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 24/12/2025 between Burkina Faso and Equatorial Guinea in AFCON :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 52.49% for a win of Burkina Faso against Equatorial Guinea with odds of 1.95 at Betway.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Burkina Faso vs Equatorial Guinea is 19.6% with odds of 3.15 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 27.91% chance ⭐ for a win of Equatorial Guinea vs Burkina Faso with odds of 5.9 at Shangrila.
Burkina Faso - Equatorial Guinea Prediction and Best Odds:
| Burkina Faso Equatorial Guinea Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Burkina Faso wins | 52.49% | 1.95 at Betway |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55.33% | 2.42 at 888Starz |
| Both Team To Score | 52.38% | 2.6 at LSbet |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Burkina Faso | 25.12% | 4.5 at Bet365 |
Burkina Faso vs Equatorial Guinea Form
Burkina Faso and Equatorial Guinea's standings in the AFCON
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +2 |
|
4
|
0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -4 |
Burkina Faso and Equatorial Guinea Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
14 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
12 Oct 2025 - World Cup
8 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Sept 2025 - World Cup
5 Sept 2025 - World Cup
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
14 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
12 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Sept 2025 - World Cup
16 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
6 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Oct 2025 - World Cup
5 Sept 2025 - World Cup
13 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
2 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
2 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
24 Mar 2025 - World Cup
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
14 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
13 Oct 2025 - World Cup
8 Sept 2025 - World Cup
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
9 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
13 Oct 2025 - World Cup
8 Sept 2025 - World Cup
9 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
6 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
4 Sept 2025 - World Cup
24 Mar 2025 - World Cup
17 Nov 2024 - AFCON
14 Oct 2024 - AFCON
5 Sept 2024 - AFCON
Burkina Faso - Equatorial Guinea: Form Analysis
Burkina Faso are one of the tournament’s dark horses, most of the time failing at the crucial moments. The best example of that was in their 2013 run to the final.
They will be tapping on both their experience and a little bit of fortune. On that luck part, in each of Equatorial Guinea’s earlier four AFCON appearances, they met a finalist at the group stages.
Burkina Faso will hope to be the ones this time. The only time they faced Equatorial Guinea at AFCON, though, they failed to make it past the group stage. Their recent form should address that, though, being unbeaten in the last six matches, with five wins.
Equatorial Guinea scored nine at AFCON 2023, their highest-scoring venture at an AFCON edition.
Equatorial Guinea are targeting a first-ever win against Burkina Faso. This ambition will not be really supported by their recent form. They come here with just three wins in the last 10 matches and have suffered three defeats in the last five.
The fact that they failed to win their last three AFCON opening matches worsens their prospects. Nzalang Nacional have faced three eventual champions in their first four appearances and will hope this time the pendulum swings in their favor.
The best they’ve ever achieved was in 2015, finishing fourth as hosts.
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Burkina Faso against Equatorial Guinea Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Substitutes
F. Ouedraogo
K. Nikiema
DefenderI. Kabore
A. Nagalo
N. Djiga
A. Ayinde
MidfielderC. Badolo
Z. Mohamed
S. Simpore
S. Aziz Ki
C. Irie
L. Traore
O. Bouda
G. Minoungou
M. Sapunga Mbara
A. Embela
DefenderM. Anieboh
N. Senra
M. JAVIER
C. Ondo
G. Esono
S. Eneme
J. Buyla
A. Martin Masogo
P. Obiang
A. Bandeira
ForwardD. Hanza
J. Ondo
E. Nsue
Burkina Faso & Equatorial Guinea Squad Analysis
Burkina Faso are on a strong run ahead of the 2025 AFCON and will hope to carry on. They have been letting in a few goals though, and coach Brama Traore will want to address that. With top Europe-based defenders coming in, that will soon be a small concern.
Abdoul Ayinde of Genk is set for his first AFCON experience, as is Lorient’s Arsene Kouassi. These rookies will benefit from experience offered by the likes of Edmond Tapsoba of Bayer Leverkusen, Rangers’ Yacouba Djiga, and PSV’s Adamo Nagalo.
Equatorial Guinea’s Nsue scored five goals in the last AFCON edition.
One of the most notable call-ups to the Equatorial Guinea squad was Emilio Nsue. The Skipper has been one of the best performers in the previous editions but got into crosshairs with FIFA earlier this year.
The lead scorer at the last AFCON edition, Nsue was handed a six-month ban by FIFA for not following the due process for nationality change. He initially played for Spain at the junior levels and has six goals in 14 AFCON games.
Across the last three AFCON appearances, Equatorial Guinea’s strength lay in their defence. They will be hoping for the same this time too, with Torino defender Saul Coco headlining the backline. Esteban Orozco and Nestor Senra will also make returns.
Most goals and assists
Burkina Faso
Equatorial Guinea
E. Tapsoba
(1 Goals)
,
G. Minoungou
(1 Goals)
,
L. Traore
(1 Goals)
,
A. Kouassi
(1 Goals)
M. Anieboh
(1 Goals)
,
E. Nsue
(1 Goals)
D. Ouattara
(2 Assists)
C. Akapo
(1 Assists)
,
A. Bandeira
(1 Assists)
Burkina Faso - Equatorial Guinea Key Points
- Burkina Faso won each of their last four matches.
- In their last six games Burkina Faso are unbeaten.
- Equatorial Guinea lost three times in the last five matches.
- In their last 10 away matches, Equatorial Guinea lost six times.
- Against Equatorial Guinea, Burkina are undefeated, winning one of three meetings.
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Our Burkina Faso vs Equatorial Guinea Prediction
Burkina Faso have a better pedigree at AFCON compared to Equatorial Guinea. This matches them with the favorites, and they will want to make the most of that. The Stallions arrive for this match unbeaten in their last six outings, winning five.
They’ve also been on a good scoring run, netting 3+ in four of those six matches. This form means Equatorial Guinea have a tough task ahead, having lost three of their last five games. In those five matches Equatorial Guinea failed to score more than once and could be low in confidence. Our prediction for Burkina Faso v Equatorial Guinea is that Burkina Faso wins.
Burkina Faso vs Equatorial Guinea Alternative Predictions
BTTS: No
Equatorial Guinea have not only been on a poor run of form, but they are also struggling in attack. Three times in their last five matches, they failed to score as they suffered defeat.
Here they face a Burkina Faso side with four clean sheets in the last six matches, which they are unbeaten in. Our second prediction follows in that line, and we are backing a BTTS: No.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Burkina Faso Equatorial Guinea
| Burkina Faso vs Equatorial Guinea | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Burkina Faso wins | 2.15 | 1.95 | -9.3% |
| Draw | 3.1 | 3.15 | +1.6% |
| Equatorial Guinea wins | 3.3 | 5.9 | +78.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Burkina Faso is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 9.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 46.5% and is now 51.3% (4.8%)
Burkina Faso vs Equatorial Guinea - FAQs
The Burkina Faso v Equatorial Guinea match will be played on Wednesday, 24 December.
The Burkina Faso v Equatorial Guinea match will be played at the Mohamed V Stadium.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
