Melbourne City vs Macarthur FC Prediction & Betting Tips - A-League

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Australia - A-League

Melbourne City
23/12/2025 03:15
Macarthur FC

Prediction :

 

Less than 2.5 goals

 
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 by Sridhar Bhamidi | in A-League Predictions

In a rescheduled matchday eight of the 2025-26 A-League competition, Melbourne City host Macarthur FC, with both teams targeting a move up the table. This match on Tuesday in Melbourne between the fourth-placed City Blues and eighth-placed Bulls comes with our prediction of less than 2.5 goals.

With 12 points (W3, D3, L2), City are three points behind third, while Macarthur’s 11 points (W3, D2, L3) put them three points above the bottom and one point behind their hosts.

A 1-0 home defeat at the hands of derby rivals Melbourne Victory at the weekend was City’s second loss in their last four league games (W1, D2). With only three wins in the season so far, consistency has eluded the Blues.

The defeat to Victory came after three competitive wins in a row, so the home fans will hope they can rebound. Two of those victories came with a clean sheet, and City are likely to fall back on their defensive strengths.

Macarthur defeated Brisbane 2-1 at home last matchday to make it two wins from their last four league games (D1, L1). They are yet to post consecutive league wins this season, which they can do here.

If they manage to win, it would also mark consecutive away victories after defeating Wellington 1-0 in their last trip.

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Melbourne City v Macarthur FC Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
1.53 4.2 5.4
Melbet
1.53 4.5 5.7
Betwinner
1.5 4.5 6
Bet365
1.46 4.5 6
Roobet
1.51 4.2 5.6
Check all Melbourne City vs Macarthur FC odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Melbourne City and Macarthur FC?

Our prediction for the Melbourne City vs Macarthur FC match is: less than 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 23/12/2025 between Melbourne City and Macarthur FC in A-League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 53.88% for a win of Melbourne City against Macarthur FC with odds of 1.62 at LSbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Melbourne City vs Macarthur FC is 16.79% with odds of 4.5 at Melbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 29.34% chance ⭐ for a win of Macarthur FC vs Melbourne City with odds of 6 at Betwinner.

Melbourne City - Macarthur FC Prediction and Best Odds:

Melbourne City Macarthur FC Prediction Probability Odds
Melbourne City wins 53.88% 1.62 at LSbet
Under 2.5 66.28% 3.2 at Stake
Both Team To Score: No 65.83% 2 at LSbet
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Melbourne City 26.17% 4.4 at LSbet

Melbourne City vs Macarthur FC Form

Melbourne City and Macarthur FC's standings in the A-League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
6 Melbourne City
38 26 10 8 8 0
7 Macarthur FC
34 26 9 7 10 -7

Melbourne City and Macarthur FC Last Matches

Melbourne City
Melbourne City Last matches
L W D W D L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

20 Dec 2025 - A-League

Melbourne City
0 :  1
Melbourne Victory

10 Dec 2025 - AFC Champions League

FC Seoul
1 :  1
Melbourne City

6 Dec 2025 - A-League

Newcastle United Jets
0 :  1
Melbourne City

29 Nov 2025 - A-League

Central Coast Mariners
0 :  0
Melbourne City

25 Nov 2025 - AFC Champions League

Melbourne City
2 :  0
Johor Darul Takzim

21 Nov 2025 - A-League

Adelaide United
4 :  1
Melbourne City
W L W W W L
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
17% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

20 Dec 2025 - A-League

Melbourne City
0 :  1
Melbourne Victory

25 Nov 2025 - AFC Champions League

Melbourne City
2 :  0
Johor Darul Takzim

25 Oct 2025 - A-League

Melbourne City
4 :  0
Perth Glory

21 Oct 2025 - AFC Champions League

Melbourne City
2 :  1
Buriram United

16 Sept 2025 - AFC Champions League

Melbourne City
0 :  2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima

31 May 2025 - A-League

Melbourne City
1 :  0
Melbourne Victory
W W L D W D
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

10 Dec 2025 - AFC Champions League

FC Seoul
1 :  1
Melbourne City

6 Dec 2025 - A-League

Newcastle United Jets
0 :  1
Melbourne City

29 Nov 2025 - A-League

Central Coast Mariners
0 :  0
Melbourne City

21 Nov 2025 - A-League

Adelaide United
4 :  1
Melbourne City

8 Nov 2025 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
0 :  2
Melbourne City

4 Nov 2025 - AFC Champions League

Machida Zelvia
1 :  2
Melbourne City
Macarthur FC
Macarthur FC Last matches
W W L D W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

19 Dec 2025 - A-League

Macarthur FC
2 :  1
Brisbane Roar

11 Dec 2025 - AFC Cup, Group A

Beijing Guoan
1 :  2
Macarthur FC

5 Dec 2025 - A-League

Macarthur FC
0 :  0
Melbourne Victory

30 Nov 2025 - A-League

Macarthur FC
0 :  2
Perth Glory

27 Nov 2025 - AFC Cup, Group A

Macarthur FC
2 :  1
Tai Po FC

21 Nov 2025 - A-League

Wellington Phoenix
0 :  1
Macarthur FC
D W W L D W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

19 Dec 2025 - A-League

Macarthur FC
2 :  1
Brisbane Roar

5 Dec 2025 - A-League

Macarthur FC
0 :  0
Melbourne Victory

30 Nov 2025 - A-League

Macarthur FC
0 :  2
Perth Glory

27 Nov 2025 - AFC Cup, Group A

Macarthur FC
2 :  1
Tai Po FC

6 Nov 2025 - AFC Cup, Group A

Macarthur FC
2 :  1
CONG AN HA NOI FC

1 Nov 2025 - A-League

Macarthur FC
1 :  1
Western Sydney Wanderers
L L D L W W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

11 Dec 2025 - AFC Cup, Group A

Beijing Guoan
1 :  2
Macarthur FC

21 Nov 2025 - A-League

Wellington Phoenix
0 :  1
Macarthur FC

8 Nov 2025 - A-League

Sydney
2 :  0
Macarthur FC

23 Oct 2025 - AFC Cup, Group A

CONG AN HA NOI FC
1 :  1
Macarthur FC

17 Oct 2025 - A-League

Brisbane Roar
1 :  0
Macarthur FC

18 Sept 2025 - AFC Cup, Group A

Tai Po FC
2 :  1
Macarthur FC

Melbourne City vs Macarthur FC Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Melbourne City

40 %

Draw

20 %

Macarthur FC

40 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.8
Total goals
40%
BTTS
1.8
Goals scored
1
Goals conceded
20%
Over 2.5
80%
Under 2.5

7 Mar 2025 - A-League

Melbourne City
2 :  0
Macarthur FC

25 Jan 2025 - A-League

Macarthur FC
1 :  0
Melbourne City

1 Mar 2024 - A-League

Macarthur FC
2 :  0
Melbourne City

19 Mar 2023 - A-League

Macarthur FC
1 :  1
Melbourne City

4 Feb 2023 - A-League

Melbourne City
6 :  1
Macarthur FC

Melbourne City against Macarthur FC Lineups: Starting 11

Melbourne City

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

1
P. Beach
22
G. Ferreyra
4
L. Bonetig
16
A. Behich
13
N. Atkinson
27
K. Trewin
39
E. Durakovic
11
E. Rashani
10
T. Kanamori
30
A. Kuen
17
M. Caputo
24
D. Bosnjak
33
J. Dong Won
8
L. Vickery
26
L. Brattan
23
F. Deli
13
R. Duran Martinez
19
H. Politidis
3
D. Da Silva
14
K. Popovic
25
C. Talbot
12
F. Kurto

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

Macarthur FC

Substitutes

Melbourne City
Melbourne City
Goalkeeper

D. Ochsenham

Defender

P. Antoniou

B. Kutleshi

L. Bonetig 89'

Midfielder

Z. Schreiber

E. Durakovic 60'

B. Baker

T. Kanamori 75'

Forward

A. Nabbout

M. Caputo 60'

M. Memeti

E. Rashani 60'

Macarthur FC
Macarthur FC
Goalkeeper

A. Robinson

Defender

W. McKay

M. Jurman

D. Da Silva 71'

Midfielder

B. Oliveira

R. Duran Martinez 68'

L. Rose

F. Deli 46'

Forward

H. Sawyer

J. Dong Won 27'

Z. Helweh

L. Vickery 68'

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Melbourne City
CD Huachipato Macarthur FC
Top Goalscorer
Australia M. Caputo (8 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Australia H. Sawyer (6 Goals)
Best assists
Austria A. Kuen (4 Assists)
Best assists
Australia C. Talbot (6 Assists)

Melbourne City - Macarthur FC Key Points

  1. Macarthur’s matches averaged 1.75 goals per game and only Brisbane Roar had a fewer average.
  2. Melbourne City’s matches averaged 1.88 goals per game this season.
  3. Melbourne’s last five competitive games saw fewer than three goals scored.
  4. Only Brisbane Roar have a better defensive record than Melbourne City (five conceded).
  5. Five of Macarthur’s last six league games saw two or fewer goals scored.
  6. Macarthur’s three away league games this season saw under 2.5 goals scored.
  7. The last three league games between these sides produced fewer than three goals.
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Our Melbourne City vs Macarthur FC Prediction

Melbourne City can upstage Brisbane and move into third place with a win in this game, while Macarthur can move above City and to one point within third if they manage to win three points. City will be aiming to get back to winning ways after losing the derby to Melbourne Victory last matchday. That was their second win across four league games, while Macarthur have two wins from their last four league fixtures.

Both teams have been frugal in goal output, and our Melbourne City vs Macarthur FC prediction is less than 2.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

Less than 2.5 goals

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Melbourne City Macarthur FC

Melbourne City vs Macarthur FC Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Melbourne City wins 1.7 1.62 -4.7%
Draw 3.9 4.5 +15.4%
Macarthur FC wins 4.9 6 +22.4%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Melbourne City is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have decreased by 4.7% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 58.8% and is now 61.7% (2.9%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Melbourne City vs Macarthur FC Prediction