ATP - Toronto, Canada
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by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions
It's been a long wait for Mattia Bellucci to get revenge on fellow unseeded player Hugo Gaston. The pair meet in the first round of the outdoor hard court National Bank Open. Can Bellucci avenge his loss to Gaston six years ago? Read our match prediction.
Whoever wins this match will take on sixth seed Andrey Rublev in round two of this Masters tournament.
Bellucci is 72nd in the live rankings and has struggled in outdoor hard court matches this year with just two out of nine won. He had better success indoors with a run to the semi-finals in Rotterdam with wins over Stefanos Tsitsipas and Daniil Medvedev.
This is his first hard court tournament since Miami and he'll be hoping to end a run of five straight losses on this surface.
Hugo Gaston has slipped out of the top 100 and is 127th in the live list. That's because he's just lost the ranking points earned when winning the Kitzbuhel title last year. The Frenchman hasn't shown any form such as that this year and lost in round one of his defence last week.
Gaston is yet to get past round two of an ATP Tour event in 2025 with only three main draw wins. We tip Bellucci to win this.
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The Best Betting Odds for Mattia Bellucci v Hugo Gaston Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
1.57 | 2.38 |
|
|
1.53 | 2.5 |
|
|
1.45 | 2.75 |
|
|
1.53 | 2.4 |
|
|
1.54 | 2.5 |
|
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Who will win the Mattia Bellucci vs Hugo Gaston Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Mattia Bellucci vs Hugo Gaston match is: Mattia Bellucci to win.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Mattia Bellucci vs Hugo Gaston game on 28/07/2025 of the current Toronto, Canada season:
- Mattia Bellucci has a 61.05% chance to win against Hugo Gaston according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 1.57.
- Hugo Gaston has a 38.95% probability of winning facing Mattia Bellucci ⭐ with odds of 2.75 at Betway.
Mattia Bellucci vs Hugo Gaston Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Mattia Bellucci has a 61.05 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Mattia Bellucci | 61.05 % |
| Hugo Gaston | 38.95 % |
Mattia Bellucci vs Hugo Gaston Form
Mattia Bellucci and Hugo Gaston Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
4 Jul 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
2 Jul 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
30 Jun 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
25 Jun 2025 - ATP Eastbourne International
23 Jun 2025 - ATP Eastbourne International
22 Jun 2025 - ATP Eastbourne International
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
21 Jul 2025 - ATP Kitzbuhel Open
17 Jul 2025 - ATP Bastad Open
15 Jul 2025 - ATP Bastad Open
8 Jul 2025 - Iasi, Romania, Qualifying
1 Jul 2025 - ATP Wimbledon Championships
28 May 2025 - ATP French Open
Mattia Bellucci - Hugo Gaston Key Points
- Bellucci has only won three ATP Tour main draw hard court matches this year.
- Bellucci has lost five of his last six matches.
- Bellucci is 55 places ahead of his opponent in the live rankings.
- Bellucci will aim to recapture the form that saw him beat Daniil Medvedev and Stefanos Tsitsipas earlier this year.
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Our Mattia Bellucci vs Hugo Gaston Prediction
It's unlikely that either of these two unseeded players will have a deep run in Toronto. Neither are in great form at present and the winner takes on Andrey Rublev in round two. Hugo Gaston is on a poor run and hasn't made it to round three of an ATP Tour hard court event in 2025.
Mattia Bellucci has had his struggles too but did show some good form in March when reaching the quarter-finals of the Rotterdam indoor hard court tournament. Our Mattia Bellucci v Hugo Gaston prediction is Mattia Bellucci to win.
Use £/€50 free bets for the Mattia Bellucci vs. Hugo Gaston game!
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Try your luck on this year's Toronto, Canada! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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