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Matteo Arnaldi vs Hugo Gaston Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Geneva Open

ATP - ATP Geneva Open

ATP 37 Italy
Matteo Arnaldi
19/05/2025 07:10
ATP 78 France
Hugo Gaston

Prediction :

 

Arnaldi wins in straight sets

 
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 by Daniel Ngulu | in Tennis Predictions

Hugo Gaston and Matteo Arnaldi will be seeking some reprieve following early elimination at the Rome Masters. They will clash in the Geneva Open first round, with the winner getting to meet qualifier Sell Karue or Fabian Marozsan. Read on for our prediction.

These two are meeting for the first time ever, and Arnaldi will feel stronger, despite coming off back-to-back defeats. In his latest match, at the Rome Masters, he suffered a first-round, straight-set defeat against Roberto Bautista Agut.

Before that he had gone on a deep run in the Madrid Masters, only losing to in-form Jack Draper at the quarter-final stage.

Gaston was also eliminated early in Rome. He lost in straight sets against Nicolas Jarry in the opening round. That was his second defeat in the first stage of a main draw, having earlier fallen to Sebastian Ofner in Madrid.

The Frenchman has actually lost four times in his last five main draw matches. He is on a losing run, having compiled a 12-17 record for the year, and on clay surfaces Gaston has especially struggled.

In his 14 matches on such surfaces, he lost 10 times. Combining his Challenger and tour appearances, Gaston has suffered first-round defeats seven times.

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The Best Betting Odds for Matteo Arnaldi v Hugo Gaston Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.33 3.4
Betway
1.35 3.2
Ladbrokes
1.33 3.1
Unibet
1.33 3.3
Vbet
1.34 3
Check all Matteo Arnaldi vs Hugo Gaston odds
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Who will win the Matteo Arnaldi vs Hugo Gaston Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Matteo Arnaldi vs Hugo Gaston match is: Arnaldi wins in straight sets.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Matteo Arnaldi vs Hugo Gaston game on 19/05/2025 of the current ATP Geneva Open season:

  • Matteo Arnaldi has a 62.96% chance to win against Hugo Gaston according to Betwinner ⭐ with the odds of 1.36.
  • Hugo Gaston has a 37.04% probability of winning facing Matteo Arnaldi ⭐ with odds of 3.4 at Bet365.

Matteo Arnaldi vs Hugo Gaston Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Matteo Arnaldi has a 62.96 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Matteo Arnaldi62.96 %
Hugo Gaston37.04 %

Matteo Arnaldi vs Hugo Gaston Form

Matteo Arnaldi and Hugo Gaston Last Matches

Matteo Arnaldi Last matches
W W W W L L
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

8 May 2025 - ATP Italian Open

Matteo Arnaldi
0 :  2
Roberto Bautista-Agut

1 May 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Jack Draper
2 :  0
Matteo Arnaldi

30 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Frances Tiafoe
0 :  2
Matteo Arnaldi

28 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Damir Dzumhur
0 :  2
Matteo Arnaldi

26 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Matteo Arnaldi
2 :  0
Novak Djokovic

24 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Matteo Arnaldi
2 :  1
Borna Ćorić
Hugo Gaston Last matches
W L L L W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

15 May 2025 - Bordeaux, France

Terence Atmane
2 :  1
Hugo Gaston

14 May 2025 - Bordeaux, France

Sumit Nagal
0 :  2
Hugo Gaston

8 May 2025 - ATP Italian Open

Hugo Gaston
0 :  2
Nicolás Jarry

30 Apr 2025 - Aix en Provence, France

Borna Gojo
abort
Hugo Gaston

23 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Sebastian Ofner
2 :  0
Hugo Gaston

22 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open

Hugo Gaston
2 :  0
Luca Nardi
Compare Matteo Arnaldi and Hugo Gaston with our comparison tool.

Matteo Arnaldi - Hugo Gaston Key Points

  1. Gaston lost four of his last five outings.
  2. In his last 14 matches on clay, Gaston lost 10 times.
  3. In his last six matches, Arnaldi registered four wins, with three in straight sets.
  4. Arnaldi has won half of his last eight matches on clay.
  5. Gaston has suffered four defeats in his last five main draw matches.
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Our Matteo Arnaldi vs Hugo Gaston Prediction

Arnaldi is a slight favorite coming into this match. He has done much better on clay surfaces on the tour and in the main draw too. He will particularly look back at his performances at the Madrid Masters for inspiration. Going by his opponent’s returns, this is a match Arnaldi should be winning.

Gaston has struggled at main draw events, losing four of his last five matches at that level. His record on clay is also unimpressive. Our prediction for Matteo Arnaldi v Hugo Gaston is that Arnaldi wins in straight sets.

Prediction :

 

Arnaldi wins in straight sets

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Matteo Arnaldi vs Hugo Gaston Prediction
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