ATP - ATP Umag Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions
The main draw of the 2025 Croatia Open in Umag gets underway. Francesco Passaro takes on wild card Matej Dodig for a place in round two of this outdoor clay court tournament. Read our match prediction below.
Passaro is coming off a good display in the Swiss Open in Gstaad. He came through qualifying and then beat eighth-seeded Arthur Rinderknech before losing to Jerome Kym. The Argentine is up to 121st in the live rankings.
This year has seen him win 19 of his 29 clay court matches. Seven of his last ten matches on this surface have ended in victory. Four Challenger Tour quarter-finals have been reached and one last four appearance so far in 2025.
Matej Dodig is a career-high 242nd in the live rankings. Being Croatian, he was granted a wild card for this tournament so avoided having to qualify. The 20-year-old won the Challenger Tour event played in Trieste earlier this month.
Last week didn't go so well and he was beaten by Jan Choinski on the Bunschoten Challenger Tour. This is his first ATP Tour event of 2025. Last year, he made it to round two of this tournament.
We tip Francesco Passaro to win and in round two face third seed Camila Ugo Carabelli.
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The Best Betting Odds for Matej Dodig v Francesco Passaro Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
2.75 | 1.44 |
|
|
2.75 | 1.44 |
|
|
2.75 | 1.45 |
|
|
2.6 | 1.48 |
|
|
2.7 | 1.46 |
|
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Who will win the Matej Dodig vs Francesco Passaro Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Matej Dodig vs Francesco Passaro match is: Francesco Passaro to win in straight sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Matej Dodig vs Francesco Passaro game on 20/07/2025 of the current ATP Umag Open season:
- Matej Dodig has a 45.62% chance to win against Francesco Passaro according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 2.75.
- Francesco Passaro has a 54.38% probability of winning facing Matej Dodig ⭐ with odds of 1.48 at Ladbrokes.
Matej Dodig vs Francesco Passaro Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Matej Dodig has a 45.62 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Matej Dodig | 45.62 % |
| Francesco Passaro | 54.38 % |
Matej Dodig vs Francesco Passaro Form
Matej Dodig and Francesco Passaro Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
16 Jul 2025 - ATP Challenger Bunschoten, Netherlands Men Singles
15 Jul 2025 - ATP Challenger Bunschoten, Netherlands Men Singles
13 Jul 2025 - Trieste, Italy, Qualifying
12 Jul 2025 - Trieste, Italy, Qualifying
11 Jul 2025 - Trieste, Italy, Qualifying
10 Jul 2025 - Trieste, Italy, Qualifying
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
17 Jul 2025 - ATP Swiss Open Gstaad
15 Jul 2025 - ATP Swiss Open Gstaad
13 Jul 2025 - ATP Swiss Open Gstaad
12 Jul 2025 - ATP Swiss Open Gstaad
9 Jul 2025 - Braunschweig, Germany
8 Jul 2025 - Braunschweig, Germany
Matej Dodig - Francesco Passaro Key Points
- This is only Dodig's time in the main draw of an ATP Tour tournament.
- Dodig is 121 places below Passaro in the live rankings.
- Passaro has won seven of his last ten matches.
- Passaro beat a seeded player in last week's Swiss Open.
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Our Matej Dodig vs Francesco Passaro Prediction
20-year-old Matej Dodig has again been given a wild card to play in the Croatia Open main draw. It's the only ATP Tour event he's played in and last year reached round two, beating a qualifier at this stage. He has had recent success on the Challenger Tour.
Francesco Passaro is also in good form and last week beat a seeded player at the ATP Tour event played in Gstaad. He is well ahead of his opponent in the rankings and far more experienced. Our Matej Dodig v Francesco Passaro prediction is Francesco Passaro to win in straight sets.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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