England - Premier League
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Premier League Predictions
The top game on the opening weekend of the Premier League has to be Manchester United hosting Arsenal. The two old rivals face off at Old Trafford this Sunday looking to make a first statement of ambition for the season. In case you are looking to bet on this match, below we have the preview and a prediction well packaged.
Manchester United have a lot to play for this season after the disastrous 2024/25 campaign, when they finished 15th, with a measly 42 points. That was a massive 23 points below the closest European football slot. Arsenal finishing as runners-up in the same season was also considered an underachievement.
The Gunners have managed second place for three straight seasons, but in this latest one they were not as competitive as they’d have wished. They finished on 74 points, 10 adrift of champions Liverpool and 15 less than their previous tally. The Gunners are unbeaten in their last two visits to Old Trafford.
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The Best Betting Odds for Manchester United v Arsenal Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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3.7 | 3.6 | 1.95 |
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4 | 3.75 | 1.91 |
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4 | 3.5 | 1.91 |
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4 | 3.6 | 1.88 |
|
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3.3 | 3.4 | 2.15 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Manchester United and Arsenal?
Our prediction for the Manchester United vs Arsenal match is: Arsenal wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/08/2025 between Manchester United and Arsenal in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 30.32% for a win of Manchester United against Arsenal with odds of 4.1 at Unibet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Manchester United vs Arsenal is 34.33% with odds of 3.76 at Vbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 35.35% chance ⭐ for a win of Arsenal vs Manchester United with odds of 2.15 at Ladbrokes.
Manchester United vs Arsenal Form
Manchester United and Arsenal's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
|
2
|
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Manchester United and Arsenal Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
30 May 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
25 May 2025 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 May 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
28 May 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
21 May 2025 - Europa League
16 May 2025 - Premier League
4 May 2025 - Premier League
1 May 2025 - Europa League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Aug 2025 - Emirates Cup
6 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
23 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
25 May 2025 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Aug 2025 - Emirates Cup
6 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
23 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
18 May 2025 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 May 2025 - Premier League
11 May 2025 - Premier League
7 May 2025 - Champions League
20 Apr 2025 - Premier League
16 Apr 2025 - Champions League
5 Apr 2025 - Premier League
Manchester United vs Arsenal Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
33 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
9 Mar 2025 - Premier League
12 Jan 2025 - FA Cup
4 Dec 2024 - Premier League
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
12 May 2024 - Premier League
3 Sep 2023 - Premier League
Manchester United - Arsenal: Form Analysis
Manchester United are coming from their lowest ever finish in the Premier League era. They closed the 2024/25 season in 15th, having lost 18 times and won just 11 matches. At some point last season there was genuine fear United could get relegated.
Fortunately for the Red Devils, the teams below them were poorer. Later in the season it became clearer that they were focusing their energies on winning the Europa League. However, the same was the target for an even poorer Tottenham Hotspur.
In the end Spurs prevailed, leaving United in an even dire situation. This is a period to rebuild, and Ruben Amorim has led that charge with a huge investment in attacking players.
Arsenal won eight of their last 15 meetings with Manchester United in all competitions.
Arsenal have had near misses in the past few seasons, but their growth is undeniable. Now they can afford to approach such matches without fear. Their run of just three defeats to Manchester United in the last 15 meetings says it all.
In the last six meetings with United, Arsenal are unbeaten in regular time and also avoided defeat in their last two visits to Old Trafford. After conquering their fears, Arsenal’s next frontier is ending the two-decade wait for a Premier League title.
Their failures in the last three seasons were blamed on a lack of a natural forward, a traditional number nine. That has since been addressed, and now there shouldn't be many excuses.
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Missing players
A. Onana
DefenderL. Martinez
G. Jesus
Manchester United & Arsenal Squad Analysis
Manchester United have made deliberate moves to address their biggest shortcomings from last season. The Red Devils have invested close to 200 million pounds in bolstering their attack.
United scored 44 goals last season, while the three forwards brought in—Benjamin Sesko, Matheus Cunha, and Bryan Mbeumo—netted a total of 48 league goals. Amorim will hope the same is carried to the team.
The trio is sure to start in this game, and supplied by Bruno Fernandes, United’s best player last season, this should be a better showing for the Devils.
Manchester United’s three new signings scored more league goals than the team last season.
Arsenal will have all the answers for Manchester United. The Gunners have signed all round; in defence, midfield and attack. Kepa Arrizabalaga arrived from Chelsea, off the back of eight clean sheets while on loan at Bournemouth.
The Spaniard will be a top-quality backup for David Raya. The same applies to the highly rated Cristhian Mosquera, a defensive cover. The one signing that has to work for the Gunners is that of Viktor Gyokeres.
Scorer of 39 league goals at Sporting Lisbon last season, Mikel Arteta will hope the Swede hits the ground running. The striker by now understands the expectations, especially after being handed the iconic number 14 jersey.
Manchester United - Arsenal Key Points
- Arsenal are unbeaten against United in 90 minutes in their last six meetings.
- Manchester United won just three of their last 15 matches against Arsenal.
- Arsenal haven't lost an away league game in the last 14, winning seven.
- Manchester United lost six times in their last nine league matches.
- Arsenal are unbeaten in their last two visits to Old Trafford.
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Our Manchester United vs Arsenal Prediction
There has been some chopping and cutting at Manchester United but there is a feeling the three new forwards still lack chemistry. They may come good, but likely not in this fixture, especially facing a defence like Arsenal’s.
Meanwhile, Arsenal’s win in the Emirates Cup showed the Martin Zubimendi-Viktor Gyokeres coordination has picked up well. That won’t be great news for United, who have lately struggled in this fixture. Our prediction for Manchester United v Arsenal is that Arsenal wins the match.
Manchester United vs Arsenal - Other Interesting Predictions
Both teams to score
As both sides have bolstered in attack, there will be a sense among the forwards looking to prove their worth. While at their previous teams, United’s three new men scored more than their new club, and that is the threat they carry here.
On the other hand, Arsenal have added the jigsaw piece that has been missing, and that is the threat the visitors will also carry. With such, the likelihood we’ll have goals on both sides remains high. Our second prediction is for both teams to score.
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Manchester United vs Arsenal match : Frequently asked questions
The Manchester United v Arsenal match will be played at Old Trafford.
The Manchester United v Arsenal match will be played on Sunday, August 18th.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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