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Madison Keys vs Karolina Muchova Prediction & Betting Tips - WTA National Bank Open

WTA - WTA National Bank Open

WTA 8 USA
Madison Keys
03/08/2025 12:30
WTA 14 Czech Republic
Karolina Muchova

Prediction :

 

Madison Keys wins the match

 
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 by Daniel Ngulu | in Tennis Predictions

Sixth seed Madison Keys takes on 11th seed Karolina Muchova in the fourth round of the Canadian Open. The winner of their second career meeting will play Clara Tauson or Iga Swiatek in the quarter-finals. Below is our prediction for this match.

Madison Keys made the semi-finals in her only other appearance at the Rogers Cup. This was three years ago. Now she is two wins away from equaling that feat.

The American, who is having a dominant campaign on hard courts, overpowered compatriot Caty McNally to advance to this round. She won in three sets after dropping the opening set. Now up to seventh in the live ranking, Keys defeated Muchova in their only other meeting.

Karolina Muchova seems to have settled some nerves this week and will approach this match with renewed confidence.

The Czech athlete arrived in Montreal having not won back-to-back matches since March and three losses in five fixtures. Now on a two-match winning run, the world number 14 has made it to the second week here for the first time.

Muchova defeated former Rogers Cup champion Belinda Bencic 2-1 in the last round. The win allowed her to improve to 15-10 for the season, with 12 of those wins coming on hardcourts.

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The Best Betting Odds for Madison Keys v Karolina Muchova Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.62 2.3
William Hill
1.62 2.3
Betway
1.6 2.3
Ladbrokes
1.57 2.25
Unibet
1.6 2.35
Check all Madison Keys vs Karolina Muchova odds
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Who will win the Madison Keys vs Karolina Muchova Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Madison Keys vs Karolina Muchova match is: Madison Keys wins the match.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Madison Keys vs Karolina Muchova game on 03/08/2025 of the current WTA National Bank Open season:

  • Madison Keys has a 56.99% chance to win against Karolina Muchova according to Vbet ⭐ with the odds of 1.63.
  • Karolina Muchova has a 43.01% probability of winning facing Madison Keys ⭐ with odds of 2.35 at Unibet.

Madison Keys vs Karolina Muchova Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Madison Keys has a 56.99 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Madison Keys56.99 %
Karolina Muchova43.01 %

Madison Keys vs Karolina Muchova Form

Madison Keys and Karolina Muchova Last Matches

Madison Keys Last matches
L W W L W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

1 Aug 2025 - WTA National Bank Open

Madison Keys
2 :  1
Catherine McNally

30 Jul 2025 - WTA National Bank Open

Madison Keys
2 :  0
Laura Siegemund

4 Jul 2025 - WTA Wimbledon Championships

Laura Siegemund
2 :  0
Madison Keys

2 Jul 2025 - WTA Wimbledon Championships

Olga Danilovic
0 :  2
Madison Keys

30 Jun 2025 - WTA Wimbledon Championships

Elena-Gabriela Ruse
1 :  2
Madison Keys

17 Jun 2025 - WTA Berlin Open

Marketa Vondrousova
2 :  0
Madison Keys
Karolina Muchova Last matches
L W L L W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

1 Aug 2025 - WTA National Bank Open

Belinda Bencic
1 :  2
Karolina Muchova

30 Jul 2025 - WTA National Bank Open

Antonia Ruzic
0 :  2
Karolina Muchova

1 Jul 2025 - WTA Wimbledon Championships

Karolina Muchova
0 :  2
Xinyu Wang

11 Jun 2025 - WTA London - Queen's

Karolina Muchova
1 :  2
Tatjana María

9 Jun 2025 - WTA London - Queen's

Karolina Muchova
2 :  1
Maddison Inglis

27 May 2025 - WTA French Open

Karolina Muchova
1 :  2
Alycia Parks

Madison Keys vs Karolina Muchova Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

27 Jun 2024 - WTA Eastbourne International

Madison Keys
- :  -
Karolina Muchova
Compare Madison Keys and Karolina Muchova with our comparison tool.

Madison Keys - Karolina Muchova Key Points

  1. Muchova has lost half of her last 10 fixtures.
  2. Keys has claimed 21 victories in 24 hard-court outings this year.
  3. In her last five outings, Keys has won four times
  4. Muchova lost three of her four matches against top 10 players this season.
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Our Madison Keys vs Karolina Muchova Prediction

Our prediction for Madison Keys v Karolina Muchova is that Madison Keys wins the match. Keys is gradually finding her form after a shaky run during the grass season and is becoming a strong prospect for the title in Montreal.

She is a former semi-finalist here. Keys is having an exceptional campaign on hard courts, and only three times has she failed to win in 24 such fixtures. Muchova will put up a fight for sure, but seeing how she has struggled against top 10 opposition, invokes little faith in her victory.

Prediction :

 

Madison Keys wins the match

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Madison Keys vs Karolina Muchova Prediction
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