France - Ligue 1
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by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Ligue 1 Predictions
Game week 3 of the French Ligue 1 features a classic rivalry as Lyon takes on Marseille in what’s shaping up to be a blockbuster. Read on to discover our best Lyon vs Marseille match prediction.
Both teams enter this game flying sky high after their recent victories with three goal margins. Lyon just beat Metz 3-0 at home, while Marseille also thrashed Paris FC 5-2 at home. With that kind of confidence stemming from their scoring form, we see both teams netting a goal in this one.
Even outside of their form, their historical performances back this bet, as both teams have scored in four of their last five meetings at Lyon’s home ground. This trend continued into last season, where both teams scored in both of their matchups. Beyond their head-to-head, Marseille has shown a consistent ability to find the net on the road, with both teams scoring in four of their last six away league games. Likewise, Lyon's attack has been strong at home, with both teams scoring in eight of their last ten home league games.
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The Best Betting Odds for Lyon v Marseille Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.8 | 3.6 | 2.35 |
|
|
2.63 | 3.6 | 2.5 |
|
|
2.62 | 3.6 | 2.4 |
|
|
2.75 | 3.6 | 2.38 |
|
|
2.63 | 3.9 | 2.4 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Lyon and Marseille?
Our prediction for the Lyon vs Marseille match is: Both Teams To Score - Yes.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 31/08/2025 between Lyon and Marseille in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 37.25% for a win of Lyon against Marseille with odds of 2.83 at 22bet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Lyon vs Marseille is 21.81% with odds of 3.9 at Unibet.
- Our prediction model gives a 40.93% chance ⭐ for a win of Marseille vs Lyon with odds of 2.5 at Betfred.
Lyon vs Marseille Form
Lyon and Marseille's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
|
8
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
Lyon and Marseille Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
16 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
23 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2025 - Ligue 1
4 May 2025 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
10 May 2025 - Ligue 1
20 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
15 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
29 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
29 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2025 - Ligue 1
27 Apr 2025 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Aug 2025 - Ligue 1
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
21 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
10 May 2025 - Ligue 1
4 May 2025 - Ligue 1
Lyon vs Marseille Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
0 %
83 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
2 Feb 2025 - Ligue 1
22 Sep 2024 - Ligue 1
4 Feb 2024 - Ligue 1
6 Dec 2023 - Ligue 1
23 Apr 2023 - Ligue 1
6 Nov 2022 - Ligue 1
Lyon - Marseille: Form Analysis
Lyon enters this fixture off a 3-0 thrashing of Metz at home, a venue which has silently become a fortress where the home side is unbeaten in ten of their last 12.
Their home form has been particularly impressive, and they will feel confident in their ability to dictate the pace and create chances in front of their fans.
Lyon has now scored in 21 of their last 22 competitive games.
Marseille, on the other hand, should be unfazed after posting five goals in their most recent game. The victory was the perfect response for De Zerbi’s side after their 1-0 loss to Rennes on opening day.
However, Marseille’s away form in the league has been worrying, walking away with five losses in their last seven on the road.
Against a free-scoring Lyon in their seemingly impenetrable fortress, Marseille’s only hope of taking a point is by scoring one or more goals, further supporting our BTTS prediction.
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Lyon vs Marseille last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
O. Mangala
E. Nuamah
F. Medina
ForwardI. Paixao
Lyon & Marseille Squad Analysis
Although Lyon is missing Ernest Nuamah, who was instrumental for them last season, they enter this game with a fully fit squad that took two wins from their opening two games.
The likes of Malick Fofana, who scored a goal in their last game and dropped an assist in the match prior, are ones to watch, especially for the Marseille backline. But it's keeping out Mikautadze that might be the main priority.
Mikautadze is averaging almost 0.70 goals per 90 minutes in a Lyon shirt.
Marseille also enters with a mostly fit squad. However, Amine Harit is doubtful, and Adrien Rabiot, possibly Marseille’s best midfielder last season, is ruled out.
Still, Marseille is looking like the favorite on paper, with a stacked attack consisting of Timothy Weah, Amine Gouri, Mason Greenwood, and now, Aubameyang.
The latter two are already lighting up the scoreboard this season, and would be causing trouble for Lyon right from kick-off. Greenwood, last season's golden boot runner-up, has already scored one goal and dropped two assists. Meanwhile, Aubameyang has reannounced himself to Europe with two goals in his first start since returning from his Saudi Arabia stint.
Most goals and assists
Lyon
Marseille
G. Mikautadze
(1 Goals)
, 
C. Tolisso
(1 Goals)
, 
A. Karabec
(1 Goals)
, 
M. Fofana
(1 Goals)
P. Aubameyang
(2 Goals)
M. Fofana
(1 Assists)
, 
A. Maitland-Niles
(1 Assists)
,
P. Sulc
(1 Assists)
M. Greenwood
(2 Assists)
, 
B. Nadir
(2 Assists)
Lyon - Marseille Key Points
- Both teams have scored in four of their last five head-to-head matches at Lyon’s home.
- Both teams scored in both of their meetings last season.
- Both teams have scored in eight of Marseille’s last ten league games.
- Both teams have scored in four of Marseille’s last six league away games.
- Both teams have scored in eight of Lyon’s last ten home league games.
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Our Lyon vs Marseille Prediction
This highly anticipated game is set up perfectly for fireworks at both ends. Lyon's recent form and home advantage are likely to see them continue their goal-scoring streak, while Marseille’s motivation to recover from their recent setback will fuel their attack.
The deep-rooted history of high-scoring clashes between Lyon and Marseille, coupled with their individual scoring trends, makes it highly probable that neither side will keep a clean sheet. Therefore, we anticipate an open game with goals for both teams. Hence, our Lyon vs Marseille match prediction is Both Teams To Score - Yes.
Lyon vs Marseille - Other Interesting Predictions
Over 2.5 Goals.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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