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Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Finals

ATP - ATP Finals

ATP 9 Italy
Lorenzo Musetti
10/11/2025 07:00
ATP 6 USA
Taylor Fritz

Prediction :

 

Musetti wins a set

 
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 by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions

It looked as if Lorenzo Musetti would be missing out on playing in the ATP Finals. He earned a reprieve though and takes on Taylor Fritz in front of his home fans in Turin. Here's our match prediction.

This is a match in the Jimmy Connors group. Also to play are Carlos Alcaraz and Alex de Minaur. Alcaraz leads the group after he won his opening match against de Minaur on Sunday afternoon.

Saturday saw Musetti lose to Novak Djokovic in the Athens final. That left him ninth in the ATP Race and only an alternate. Then came the news that Djokovic had withdrawn and Musetti will be in the group stages of this indoor hard court tournament for the first time.

This year has seen the Italian reach two hard court finals.

Taylor Fritz leads his opponent 1-0 in indoor hard court matches but trails 3-2 overall. That was in the Davis Cup three years ago. Fritz has lost the last three meetings between the pair played on clay and grass.

Fritz has also not won a singles hard court tournament this year. He was part of the USA United Cup winning team. His form isn't great at present with three of his last five matches being lost. We tip Musetti to win a set.

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The Best Betting Odds for Lorenzo Musetti v Taylor Fritz Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
3 1.4
William Hill
2.9 1.4
Betway
2.75 1.44
Ladbrokes
2.75 1.4
Unibet
2.95 1.44
Check all Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz odds

Who will win the Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz match is: Musetti wins a set.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz game on 10/11/2025 of the current ATP Finals season:

  • Lorenzo Musetti has a 49.18% chance to win against Taylor Fritz according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 3.
  • Taylor Fritz has a 50.82% probability of winning facing Lorenzo Musetti ⭐ with odds of 1.44 at Betway.

Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Lorenzo Musetti has a 49.18 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Lorenzo Musetti49.18 %
Taylor Fritz50.82 %

Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz Form

Lorenzo Musetti and Taylor Fritz Last Matches

Lorenzo Musetti Last matches
L L W W W L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

8 Nov 2025 - ATP Athens Hellenic Championship

Novak Djokovic
2 :  1
Lorenzo Musetti

7 Nov 2025 - ATP Athens Hellenic Championship

Sebastian Korda
1 :  2
Lorenzo Musetti

6 Nov 2025 - ATP Athens Hellenic Championship

Alexandre Muller
0 :  2
Lorenzo Musetti

5 Nov 2025 - ATP Athens Hellenic Championship

Stan Wawrinka
1 :  2
Lorenzo Musetti

29 Oct 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters

Lorenzo Musetti
1 :  2
Lorenzo Sonego

25 Oct 2025 - ATP Vienna

Lorenzo Musetti
0 :  2
Alexander Zverev
Taylor Fritz Last matches
L W W L W L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

30 Oct 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters

Taylor Fritz
0 :  2
Alexander Bublik

28 Oct 2025 - Rolex Paris Masters

Taylor Fritz
2 :  0
Aleksandar Vukic

23 Oct 2025 - Swiss Indoors ATP Basel

Taylor Fritz
0 :  2
Ugo Humbert

22 Oct 2025 - Swiss Indoors ATP Basel

Taylor Fritz
2 :  1
Valentin Vacherot

18 Oct 2025 - Six King Slam

Taylor Fritz
abort
Novak Djokovic

16 Oct 2025 - Six King Slam

Carlos Alcaraz
2 :  0
Taylor Fritz

Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Lorenzo Musetti

75 %

Taylor Fritz

25 %

31 Jul 2024 - Olympic Tournament

Lorenzo Musetti
2 :  0
Taylor Fritz

10 Jul 2024 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Lorenzo Musetti
3 :  2
Taylor Fritz

7 Apr 2024 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters

Lorenzo Musetti
2 :  0
Taylor Fritz

28 Jun 2022 - ATP Wimbledon Championships

Lorenzo Musetti
0 :  3
Taylor Fritz
Compare Lorenzo Musetti and Taylor Fritz with our comparison tool.

Lorenzo Musetti - Taylor Fritz Key Points

  1. Musetti has won a set in eight of his last nine matches.
  2. Fritz has lost at least one set in six of his last seven matches.
  3. The last three matches between these two players have seen Musetti victorious.
  4. Fritz has lost at least one set in each of his last three matches in the ATP Finals.
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Our Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz Prediction

Just how will Lorenzo Musetti react to what happened on Saturday? It looked as if he wouldn't be in the group stages but then he was after Novak Djokovic withdrew. It'll be a big occasion for him with this tournament being played in his home nation and he's in good form too.

Taylor Fritz was the runner-up here last year but he doesn't seem to be in that kind of form at present. No quarter-finals have been reached by Fritz in his last three hard court tournaments. Our Lorenzo Musetti v Taylor Fritz prediction is Musetti wins a set.

Prediction :

 

Musetti wins a set

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz Prediction

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