Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoe Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Vienna
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by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions
Last weekend saw Lorenzo Musetti win the indoor hard court tournament played in Lyon. He will start his bid to win another title on that surface when he faces sixth seed Frances Tiafoe in round one of the Erste Bank Open. Looking at the recent stats and previous meetings, our prediction is more than 20.5 games.
In round two, the winner will be up against unseeded Arthur Fery.
Musetti had to win five matches to lift the title in Lyon. Two of his last three matches had more than 20.5 games and both needed a deciding set.
Eight of his last 14 matches played on this surface have seen at least 21 games played.
In previous meetings with Tiafoe, Musetti trails 5-4. This is their first indoor hard court match. In best-of-three-sets matches, there has been more than 20.5 games played in six of the last seven completed matches with five going to a deciding set.
Frances Tiafoe is playing only his third indoor hard court match of the year. The other two were played in Dallas eight months ago. One of them had more than 20.5 games played. On all surfaces, that stat has come up in five of his last seven best-of-three-sets matches.
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Lorenzo Musetti v Frances Tiafoe Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus |
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1.96 | 1.82 |
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2.03 | 1.82 |
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2.01 | 1.81 |
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2.01 | 1.81 |
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2.01 | 1.81 |
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Who will win the Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoe Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoe match is: more than 20.5 games.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoe game on 28/10/2026 of the current ATP Vienna season:
- Lorenzo Musetti has a 47.43% chance to win against Frances Tiafoe according to Betway ⭐ with the odds of 2.1.
- Frances Tiafoe has a 52.57% probability of winning facing Lorenzo Musetti ⭐ with odds of 1.82 at Stake.
Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoe Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Lorenzo Musetti has a 47.43 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Lorenzo Musetti | 47.43 % |
| Frances Tiafoe | 52.57 % |
Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoe Form
Lorenzo Musetti and Frances Tiafoe Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
25 Oct 2026 - ATP Lyon Open
24 Oct 2026 - ATP Lyon Open
23 Oct 2026 - ATP Lyon Open
21 Oct 2026 - ATP Lyon Open
19 Oct 2026 - ATP Lyon Open
9 Oct 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
11 Oct 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
9 Oct 2026 - ATP Shanghai Masters
2 Oct 2026 - ATP Japan Open
1 Oct 2026 - ATP Japan Open
11 Sept 2026 - ATP US Open
8 Sept 2026 - ATP US Open
Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoe Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
40 %
60 %
21 Aug 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open
3 Jun 2025 - ATP French Open
14 Aug 2024 - ATP Cincinnati Open
16 Jun 2023 - ATP Stuttgart Open
15 May 2023 - ATP Italian Open
Lorenzo Musetti - Frances Tiafoe Key Points
- Two of Musetti's last three indoor hard court matches have seen more than 20.5 games played.
- Ten of the last 11 indoor hard court matches played by Tiafoe have had at least 21 games played in them.
- Six of the last seven completed best-of-three-sets matches played between Tiafoe and Musetti have had more than 20.5 games played.
- Both players have won a set in six of the last eight completed matches between Tiafoe and Musetti.
- A 7-5 or 7-6 set would help our prediction. One has been played in four of the last five matches between these two players.
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Our Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoe Prediction
It would not be a surprise if this was a close match. Frances Tiafoe is the higher ranked player (ninth v 26th), but he has only played four indoor hard court matches in the past two years and just a couple in 2026. Previous matches with Musetti have been close affairs with several deciding sets.
Lorenzo Musetti won the Lyon title at the weekend and had wins over Cobolli and Fritz. After his glorious week in France, he will hope for another deep run in this tournament. Our Lorenzo Musetti v Frances Tiafoe prediction is more than 22.5 games.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.