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Lithuania vs Greece Prediction & Betting Tips - EuroBasket

Europe - EuroBasket

Lithuania
09/09/2025 12:00
Greece

Prediction :

 

Giannis Over 28.5 Points

 
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 by Geoffrey Ejiga | in EuroBasket Predictions

The FIBA Eurobasket quarter-finals will be home to a blockbuster clash between Lithuania and Greece, a matchup that is sure to have fans on the edge of their seats. While both teams have their sights set on a medal, all eyes will be on one man: Giannis Antetokounmpo. Find out his influence can decide this game in our Lithuania vs Greece match prediction.

Giannis has been a one-man wrecking crew for Greece, averaging a sensational 30.0 points in the four games he's played so far. While he’s cleared the 28.5-point line in two of those four games, it’s his Round of 16 performance that truly underscores his potential in this high-pressure matchup. The Greek god turned it on when it mattered most, making 37 points against Israel to single-handedly guide his team to victory.

Lithuania, meanwhile, is coming off a hard-fought 88-79 victory over Latvia. While the win was impressive, their defense showed some worrying cracks. They allowed Latvia's star forward-center, Kristaps Porzingis, to pour in 34 points. The stage is set for a repeat performance.

Giannis has proven he can deliver in the most crucial moments, and his scoring output against Israel was a clear warning to every opponent. With his average over the line and a history of scoring 29+ points in seven of his last ten games, the numbers paint a clear picture.

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The Best Betting Odds for Lithuania v Greece Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
3.4 1.33
William Hill
3.5 1.3
Betway
3.5 1.3
Ladbrokes
3.1 1.3
Unibet
3.75 1.27
Check all Lithuania vs Greece odds
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Who will win the Lithuania vs Greece Basketball game?

Our prediction for the Lithuania vs Greece match is: Giannis Over 28.5 Points.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Lithuania vs Greece game on 09/09/2025 of the current EuroBasket season:

  • Lithuania has a 59.19% chance to pick up the win against Greece according to Unibet ⭐ with the odds of 3.75.
  • There is a probability of 40.81% ⭐ for Greece to win vs Lithuania with odds of 1.34 at Bwin.

Lithuania vs Greece Form

Lithuania and Greece Last Matches

Lithuania
Lithuania Last matches
W W L W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

6 Sep 2025 - EuroBasket

Lithuania
88 :  79
Latvia

3 Sep 2025 - EuroBasket

Lithuania
74 :  71
Sweden

1 Sep 2025 - EuroBasket

Finland
78 :  81
Lithuania

30 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket

Lithuania
88 :  107
Germany

29 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket

Lithuania
94 :  67
Montenegro

27 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket

Great Britain
70 :  94
Lithuania
L W W L W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

6 Sep 2025 - EuroBasket

Lithuania
88 :  79
Latvia

3 Sep 2025 - EuroBasket

Lithuania
74 :  71
Sweden

30 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket

Lithuania
88 :  107
Germany

29 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket

Lithuania
94 :  67
Montenegro

22 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Lithuania
96 :  83
Iceland

20 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Lithuania
81 :  84
Turkiye
W W W W W W
Wins

6/6 (100%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

1 Sep 2025 - EuroBasket

Finland
78 :  81
Lithuania

27 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket

Great Britain
70 :  94
Lithuania

14 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Latvia
105 :  109
Lithuania

7 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Turkiye
70 :  91
Lithuania

21 Feb 2025 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Poland
48 :  82
Lithuania

21 Nov 2024 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

North Macedonia
67 :  82
Lithuania
Greece
Greece Last matches
W W W L W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

7 Sep 2025 - EuroBasket

Greece
84 :  79
Israel

4 Sep 2025 - EuroBasket

Spain
86 :  90
Greece

2 Sep 2025 - EuroBasket

Greece
77 :  80
Bosnia & Herzegovina

31 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket

Georgia
53 :  94
Greece

30 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket

Cyprus
69 :  96
Greece

28 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket

Greece
75 :  66
Italy
W W L W L W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

7 Sep 2025 - EuroBasket

Greece
84 :  79
Israel

2 Sep 2025 - EuroBasket

Greece
77 :  80
Bosnia & Herzegovina

28 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket

Greece
75 :  66
Italy

24 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Greece
77 :  92
France

22 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Greece
76 :  74
Italy

20 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Greece
104 :  86
Latvia
L L W W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

4 Sep 2025 - EuroBasket

Spain
86 :  90
Greece

31 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket

Georgia
53 :  94
Greece

30 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket

Cyprus
69 :  96
Greece

21 Feb 2025 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Czechia
89 :  93
Greece

21 Nov 2024 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Great Britain
73 :  72
Greece

6 Aug 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament

Germany
76 :  63
Greece

Lithuania vs Greece Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

1 Sep 2023 - Basketball World Cup

Lithuania
92 :  67
Greece

Lithuania - Greece Key Points

  1. Giannis is averaging 30.0 points in the tournament so far.
  2. Giannis cleared this line in two of the four games he’s played.
  3. Giannis scored 37 points in the Round of 16 against Israel.
  4. Giannis has scored 29+ points in seven of his last ten games.
  5. Lithuania allowed 34 points to Kristaps Porzingis in their most recent game.
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Our Lithuania vs Greece Prediction

Giannis Antetokounmpo's ability to take over a game is unmatched, and his incredible 37-point outing in the Round of 16 proves he is ready for the knockout stage. While Lithuania has been impressive, their recent defensive performance against Kristaps Porzingis showed a clear vulnerability that a player of Giannis's caliber can exploit. 

Given his tournament average and his track record of consistently surpassing the 28.5-point mark, the stage is set for a dominant offensive performance from the Greek superstar. We expect him to be the centerpiece of Greece's offense and carry his team on his back. Hence, our Lithuania vs Greece prediction is Giannis Over 28.5 Points.

Prediction :

 

Giannis Over 28.5 Points

 
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Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Lithuania and Greece? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Lithuania vs Greece Prediction
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