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by Geoffrey Ejiga | in EuroBasket Predictions
The FIBA Eurobasket quarter-finals will be home to a blockbuster clash between Lithuania and Greece, a matchup that is sure to have fans on the edge of their seats. While both teams have their sights set on a medal, all eyes will be on one man: Giannis Antetokounmpo. Find out his influence can decide this game in our Lithuania vs Greece match prediction.
Giannis has been a one-man wrecking crew for Greece, averaging a sensational 30.0 points in the four games he's played so far. While he’s cleared the 28.5-point line in two of those four games, it’s his Round of 16 performance that truly underscores his potential in this high-pressure matchup. The Greek god turned it on when it mattered most, making 37 points against Israel to single-handedly guide his team to victory.
Lithuania, meanwhile, is coming off a hard-fought 88-79 victory over Latvia. While the win was impressive, their defense showed some worrying cracks. They allowed Latvia's star forward-center, Kristaps Porzingis, to pour in 34 points. The stage is set for a repeat performance.
Giannis has proven he can deliver in the most crucial moments, and his scoring output against Israel was a clear warning to every opponent. With his average over the line and a history of scoring 29+ points in seven of his last ten games, the numbers paint a clear picture.
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The Best Betting Odds for Lithuania v Greece Match
Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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3.4 | 1.33 |
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3.5 | 1.3 |
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3.5 | 1.3 |
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3.1 | 1.3 |
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3.75 | 1.27 |
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Who will win the Lithuania vs Greece Basketball game?
Our prediction for the Lithuania vs Greece match is: Giannis Over 28.5 Points.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Lithuania vs Greece game on 09/09/2025 of the current EuroBasket season:
- Lithuania has a 59.19% chance to pick up the win against Greece according to Unibet ⭐ with the odds of 3.75.
- There is a probability of 40.81% ⭐ for Greece to win vs Lithuania with odds of 1.34 at Bwin.
Lithuania vs Greece Form
Lithuania and Greece Last Matches

5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
6 Sep 2025 - EuroBasket
3 Sep 2025 - EuroBasket
1 Sep 2025 - EuroBasket
30 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket
29 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket
27 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
6 Sep 2025 - EuroBasket
3 Sep 2025 - EuroBasket
30 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket
29 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket
22 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games
20 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
1 Sep 2025 - EuroBasket
27 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket
14 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games
7 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games
21 Feb 2025 - European Championship, Qualification Group G
21 Nov 2024 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
7 Sep 2025 - EuroBasket
4 Sep 2025 - EuroBasket
2 Sep 2025 - EuroBasket
31 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket
30 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket
28 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
7 Sep 2025 - EuroBasket
2 Sep 2025 - EuroBasket
28 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket
24 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games
22 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games
20 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
4 Sep 2025 - EuroBasket
31 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket
30 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket
21 Feb 2025 - European Championship, Qualification Group G
21 Nov 2024 - European Championship, Qualification Group G
6 Aug 2024 - Men's Olympic Tournament
Lithuania vs Greece Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
1 Sep 2023 - Basketball World Cup
Lithuania - Greece Key Points
- Giannis is averaging 30.0 points in the tournament so far.
- Giannis cleared this line in two of the four games he’s played.
- Giannis scored 37 points in the Round of 16 against Israel.
- Giannis has scored 29+ points in seven of his last ten games.
- Lithuania allowed 34 points to Kristaps Porzingis in their most recent game.
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Our Lithuania vs Greece Prediction
Giannis Antetokounmpo's ability to take over a game is unmatched, and his incredible 37-point outing in the Round of 16 proves he is ready for the knockout stage. While Lithuania has been impressive, their recent defensive performance against Kristaps Porzingis showed a clear vulnerability that a player of Giannis's caliber can exploit.
Given his tournament average and his track record of consistently surpassing the 28.5-point mark, the stage is set for a dominant offensive performance from the Greek superstar. We expect him to be the centerpiece of Greece's offense and carry his team on his back. Hence, our Lithuania vs Greece prediction is Giannis Over 28.5 Points.
Use £/€50 free bets for the Lithuania vs. Greece game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Lithuania and Greece? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's EuroBasket! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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