South America - Copa Libertadores
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Copa Libertadores Predictions
On Thursday night, local time, Ecuador's LDU Quito will host Palmeiras in the semi-final of the 2025 Copa Libertadores, with a first-leg lead top of the agenda. This match in Quito between the Whites and the ‘Big Green’ comes with our prediction of over 2.5 goals.
The winner of this two-legged semi will play either Racing or Flamengo in the final. Quito topped Group C with 11 points (W3, D2, L1), edging Flamengo on goal difference. They then got past Botafogo (2-1 aggregate) and Sao Paulo (3-0 aggregate) in the two knockout matches to reach the last four. Palmeiras topped Group G with six wins and then breezed past Universitario (4-0 aggregate) and River Plate (5-2 aggregate).
Quito won 3-0 at home against Barcelona SC last weekend in the Ecuador league to make it four wins and a draw in all competitions. All these matches bar one produced at least three goals, and that raises the prospect of another goal-laden game here.
Palmeiras lost 3-2 away at Flamengo at the weekend, halting their four-game winning streak. They continue to lead the Brazilian top flight and have been in prolific scoring form, scoring 17 goals in their last five matches.
Even in this competition, Palmeiras have consistently scored goals during both the group phase and the knockout stage.
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The Best Betting Odds for LDU Quito v Palmeiras Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.1 | 3 | 2.55 |
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3 | 2.88 | 2.5 |
|
|
2.9 | 2.9 | 2.5 |
|
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3 | 3 | 2.5 |
|
|
3.05 | 3.1 | 2.48 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between LDU Quito and Palmeiras?
Our prediction for the LDU Quito vs Palmeiras match is: more than 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 23/10/2025 between LDU Quito and Palmeiras in Copa Libertadores :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 38.42% for a win of LDU Quito against Palmeiras with odds of 3.1 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between LDU Quito vs Palmeiras is 25.43% with odds of 3.1 at Unibet.
- Our prediction model gives a 36.15% chance ⭐ for a win of Palmeiras vs LDU Quito with odds of 2.55 at Bet365.
LDU Quito vs Palmeiras Form
LDU Quito and Palmeiras Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Oct 2025 - Liga Pro
9 Oct 2025 - Copa Ecuador
4 Oct 2025 - Liga Pro
28 Sept 2025 - Liga Pro
25 Sept 2025 - Copa Libertadores
21 Sept 2025 - Liga Pro
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Oct 2025 - Liga Pro
21 Sept 2025 - Liga Pro
18 Sept 2025 - Copa Libertadores
30 Aug 2025 - Liga Pro
21 Aug 2025 - Copa Libertadores
17 Aug 2025 - Liga Pro
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Oct 2025 - Copa Ecuador
4 Oct 2025 - Liga Pro
28 Sept 2025 - Liga Pro
25 Sept 2025 - Copa Libertadores
12 Sept 2025 - Liga Pro
24 Aug 2025 - Liga Pro
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
15 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
11 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
5 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
1 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
28 Sept 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
11 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
1 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
24 Sept 2025 - Copa Libertadores
20 Sept 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
13 Sept 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
5 Oct 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
28 Sept 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
17 Sept 2025 - Copa Libertadores
31 Aug 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
17 Aug 2025 - Brasileirão Serie A
Most goals and assists
LDU Quito
Palmeiras
M. Estrada
(11 Goals)
V. Roque
(17 Goals)
B. Ramirez
(2 Assists)
Mauricio
(9 Assists)
LDU Quito and Palmeiras Stats in Copa Libertadores
LDU Quito - Palmeiras Key Points
- Four of Palmeiras' last five matches in this competition saw over 2.5 goals scored.
- Palmeiras saw at least three goals scored in each of their five recent fixtures.
- Palmeiras have scored 26 goals in ten matches of this year’s competition.
- Five of Quito’s last six matches including the latest four straight saw more than two goals scored.
- Quito’s last two home matches saw a total of nine goals.
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Our LDU Quito vs Palmeiras Prediction
Palmeiras have been the standout team from the group phases of this competition, as well as the knockouts, winning matches with ease and drawing only once. Quito may not have dominated their group phase games, but they have not conceded in three of their four knockout matches so far. All their knockout matches have come against Brazilian clubs, but Palmeiras could be a step too far.
The Brazilians have been thrilling fans with their matches, consistently producing high-scorers recently. That trend could continue, and our LDU Quito vs Palmeiras prediction is more than 2.5 goals.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
