Lens vs Lorient Prediction & Betting Tips - Ligue 1
France - Ligue 1
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by Nella Wagah | in Ligue 1 Predictions
Lens suffered a shock loss last time out in Ligue 1 and will be out to bounce back this Saturday, when they host winless Lorient. The visitors, 15th, are eight places behind Lens. Five wins in their last six home league games make Lens an easy pick in our prediction.
Lens suffered their first defeat of the season in rather shocking fashion. Facing an off-color Strasbourg, they conceded an 85th-minute goal to see their first-half lead wiped out. Les Sang et Or would go on to lose 2-1.
A confident Lens side had earlier beaten PSG in the season-opening Trophee des Champions, and then in Ligue 1 they thumped Auxerre 5-2.
The last time Lens lost back-to-back league matches was in March 2025, so they will be confident of rising again.
Lorient are in search of their first win of the season, and they bring that ambition to one of the toughest venues.
By now the visitors will be aware that Lens has a good home run, and it will be incumbent on them to go that extra mile for a win here. Les Merlus started their campaign with a 2-1 defeat at home against promoted Troyes.
They would then draw 0-0 with Nice and stand the risk of failing to win three straight season-opening league games. That last happened in 2016/17, which ended in relegation at the close of the season.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Lens v Lorient Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.56 | 4.60 | 5.80 |
|
|
1.54 | 4.44 | 6.41 |
|
|
1.54 | 4.34 | 5.75 |
|
|
1.54 | 4.34 | 5.75 |
|
|
1.51 | 4.34 | 6.25 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Lens and Lorient?
Our prediction for the Lens vs Lorient match is: Lens to win & BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 05/09/2026 between Lens and Lorient in Ligue 1 :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 53.81% for a win of Lens against Lorient with odds of 1.6 at 888Starz.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Lens vs Lorient is 16.25% with odds of 4.6 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 29.94% chance ⭐ for a win of Lorient vs Lens with odds of 6.41 at 1xbet.
Lens - Lorient Prediction and Best Odds:
| Lens Lorient Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Lens wins | 53.81% | 1.60 at 888Starz |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67.53% | 1.83 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 55% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Lens/Lens | 21.55% | 2.35 at Betsson |
Lens vs Lorient Form
Lens and Lorient's standings in the Ligue 1
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7
|
11 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 |
|
8
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +3 |
Lens and Lorient Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Aug 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Aug 2026 - Ligue 1
16 Aug 2026 - Trophée des Champions
8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
28 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Aug 2026 - Ligue 1
16 Aug 2026 - Trophée des Champions
8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
1 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
22 May 2026 - French Cup
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Aug 2026 - Ligue 1
28 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2026 - Ligue 1
2 May 2026 - Ligue 1
24 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Aug 2026 - Ligue 1
22 Aug 2026 - Ligue 1
15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
4 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Aug 2026 - Ligue 1
4 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
17 May 2026 - Ligue 1
26 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
18 Apr 2026 - Ligue 1
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Aug 2026 - Ligue 1
15 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
8 Aug 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
11 Jul 2026 - Clubs Friendlies
10 May 2026 - Ligue 1
Lens vs Lorient Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
33 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
14 Mar 2026 - Ligue 1
2 Nov 2025 - Ligue 1
3 May 2024 - Ligue 1
4 Nov 2023 - Ligue 1
21 May 2023 - Ligue 1
9 Feb 2023 - French Cup
Lens against Lorient Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
M. Gorgelin
DefenderS. Sagnan
J. Gradit
MidfielderM. Soares
F. Ivanovic
A. Bulatovic
M. Cuisance
O. Edouard
F. Sotoca
B. Kamara
DefenderN. Obaretin
A. Georgen
MidfielderI. Jensen
T. Le Bris
A. Ebong
T. Aiyegun
S. Faye
I. Balde
Missing players
M. Nawrocki
J. Todibo
S. Abdulhamid
J. Chavez
S. Baidoo
ForwardJ. Kadile
B. Fadiga
Most goals and assists
Lens
Lorient
F. Thauvin
(3 Goals)
J. Makengo
(1 Goals)
, 
M. Kone
(1 Goals)
, 
N. Mbamba
(1 Goals)
,
I. Balde
(1 Goals)
, 
I. Jensen
(1 Goals)
,
G. Bernardeau
(1 Goals)
,
F. Thauvin
(7 Assists)
P. Katseris
(3 Assists)
Lens - Lorient Key Points
- Lens managed one clean sheet in their last five home league games.
- Across their last six home matches Lens posted five wins.
- Lens are unbeaten at home against Lorient in six matches.
- Lorient won just once in their last eight away matches.
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Our Lens vs Lorient Prediction
Lens will be pushed by the urge to rise again after suffering an unlikely defeat at Strasbourg last time out. They will be banking on their good run against this opponent as well as their own form.
Lens have recorded key wins in recent matches and will draw confidence in their home form against Lorient. The only downside in their run up to this encounter is that they haven’t managed a lot of clean sheets. Lorient will be aware of that and want to take advantage. Our prediction for Lens v Lorient is for Lens to win & BTTS.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Lens Lorient
| Lens vs Lorient | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lens wins | 1.53 | 1.60 | +4.6% |
| Draw | 4.70 | 4.60 | -2.1% |
| Lorient wins | 6.61 | 6.41 | -3.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Lens is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 4.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 65.4% and is now 62.5% (-2.9%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
