Germany - Bundesliga
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by Sridhar Bhamidi in Bundesliga Predictions
Bayern Munich could be crowned Bundesliga champions if they win against Leipzig when the sides clash in a Matchday 32 fixture on Saturday. This match between the fifth-placed Die Roten Bullen and the league-leading Die Bayern comes with our prediction of over 3.5 goals.
Leipzig’s 49 points put them just a point above Borussia Dortmund and two points behind Freiburg. Bayern have 75 points and are eight points above Leverkusen.
A 4-0 away defeat at Eintracht Frankfurt last weekend was a hammer blow for Leipzig as they now find themselves out of Champions League qualification spots. With only three points separating them from the eighth-placed Werder, another adverse result could see them move out of European qualification places altogether.
Leipzig can be stubborn here, as they are unbeaten in three recent home league games (W2, D1) and were defeated just once at this venue in the league since last December.
Bayern thrashed Mainz 3-0 at home last weekend to move them just one win away from winning the title. They have four wins from their last five Bundesliga fixtures, scoring 15 goals in the process.
There will be some concerns about their away form, though, as Bayern have drawn three of their last seven away Bundesliga fixtures.
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The Best Betting Odds for Leipzig v Bayern Munich Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4 | 4.33 | 1.73 |
|
|
4.6 | 4.6 | 1.6 |
|
|
4.4 | 4.4 | 1.62 |
|
|
4 | 4.33 | 1.73 |
|
|
4 | 3.1 | 1.83 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Leipzig and Bayern Munich?
Our prediction for the Leipzig vs Bayern Munich match is: over 3.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 03/05/2025 between Leipzig and Bayern Munich in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 26.55% for a win of Leipzig against Bayern Munich with odds of 5 at 22bet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Leipzig vs Bayern Munich is 27.93% with odds of 4.9 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 45.52% chance ⭐ for a win of Bayern Munich vs Leipzig with odds of 1.83 at Ladbrokes.
Leipzig - Bayern Munich Prediction and Best Odds:
| Leipzig Bayern Munich Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Bayern Munich wins | 45.52% | 1.83 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 69.47% | 1.28 at Bwin |
| Both Team To Score | 68.33% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Bayern Munich | 18.35% | 5.5 at Bet365 |
Leipzig vs Bayern Munich Form
Leipzig and Bayern Munich's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
82 | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 67 |
|
7
|
51 | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 5 |
Leipzig and Bayern Munich Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
19 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
11 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
5 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
2 Apr 2025 - DFB Pokal
29 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
5 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
15 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
1 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
26 Feb 2025 - DFB Pokal
23 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
11 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
2 Apr 2025 - DFB Pokal
29 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
8 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
14 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
19 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
16 Apr 2025 - Champions League
12 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
8 Apr 2025 - Champions League
4 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
12 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
8 Apr 2025 - Champions League
29 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
8 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
5 Mar 2025 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
16 Apr 2025 - Champions League
4 Apr 2025 - Bundesliga
15 Mar 2025 - Bundesliga
11 Mar 2025 - Champions League
28 Feb 2025 - Bundesliga
Leipzig vs Bayern Munich Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
20 Dec 2024 - Bundesliga
24 Feb 2024 - Bundesliga
30 Sep 2023 - Bundesliga
12 Aug 2023 - Super Cup
20 May 2023 - Bundesliga
20 Jan 2023 - Bundesliga
Leipzig against Bayern Munich Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Missing players
P. Gulacsi
DefenderB. Henrichs
W. Orban
E. Bitshiabu
MidfielderX. Schlager
T. Buchmann
H. Ito
D. Upamecano
R. Guerreiro
MidfielderA. Davies
J. Musiala
ForwardH. Kane
Most goals and assists
Leipzig
Bayern Munich
B. Sesko
(21 Goals)
H. Kane
(38 Goals)
L. Openda
(7 Assists)
, 
X. Simons
(7 Assists)
M. Olise
(17 Assists)
Leipzig - Bayern Munich Key Points
- Bayern’s matches this season average 3.84 goals per fixture, a joint-league high.
- Six of Bayern’s last eight league matches have produced over 3.5 goals.
- Three of Leipzig’s last four Bundesliga fixtures returned at least four goals.
- In three of Bayern’s last four away league matches, there have been at least four goals scored.
- Bayern scored a league-high 90 goals this season, an average of 2.90 per fixture.
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Our Leipzig vs Bayern Munich Prediction
The Bundesliga title could be decided this week, with Bayern needing just a win to make sure the title returns to Munich. Leipzig have a bigger incentive to win here, as they no longer look like top four contenders and could even get dragged out of the European qualification places. A win here will calm the nerves, but their recent form isn’t encouraging enough. Bayern are more likely to go for a big statement win, despite the potential absence of Harry Kane. Goals could flow here, and our Leipzig vs Bayern Munich prediction is over 3.5.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Leipzig Bayern Munich
| Leipzig vs Bayern Munich | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leipzig wins | 4.75 | 4 | -15.8% |
| Draw | 4.33 | 4.33 | 0% |
| Bayern Munich wins | 1.62 | 1.73 | +6.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Bayern Munich is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 6.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 61.7% and is now 57.8% (-3.9%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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