Italy - Serie A
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Serie A Predictions
High-flying Cagliari could move into the top three spots with a win on Friday against Lecce in the matchday four fixture of the 2025-26 Serie A campaign. This match at Stadio Via del Mare between the 20th-placed Salentini and the eighth-placed Islanders comes with our prediction of an away win.
Lecce are yet to win in this league campaign, and a win here has the incentive of moving into the top ten spots. The visitors have an even better incentive, as a win could propel them into the top three.
The hosts are one of the six sides yet to win (D1, L2) in this league campaign and have scored just one goal. That came in a 4-1 league defeat away at Atalanta last weekend. That keeps them winless in the league after drawing 0-0 at Genoa and losing 2-0 to Milan at home.
Both their competitive home games have produced exactly two goals, as Lecce won 2-0 against Juve Stabia in the Copa Italia but lost to Milan in the league.
Cagliari won 2-0 at home against Parma last time, bouncing back from the draw and defeat on matchdays one and two. They were made to sweat even in the cup competition, as their win over Virtus Entella came via penalties.
Limited Offer. Currently at Betway
The Best Betting Odds for Lecce v Cagliari Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.88 | 2.88 | 2.75 |
|
|
2.88 | 2.88 | 2.63 |
|
|
2.8 | 2.8 | 2.7 |
|
|
2.88 | 2.88 | 2.75 |
|
|
2.8 | 2.95 | 2.75 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Lecce and Cagliari?
Our prediction for the Lecce vs Cagliari match is: Cagliari wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 19/09/2025 between Lecce and Cagliari in Serie A :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 53.65% for a win of Lecce against Cagliari with odds of 2.88 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Lecce vs Cagliari is 24.12% with odds of 2.95 at Unibet.
- Our prediction model gives a 22.23% chance ⭐ for a win of Cagliari vs Lecce with odds of 2.77 at LSbet.
Lecce - Cagliari Prediction and Best Odds:
| Lecce Cagliari Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Lecce wins | 53.65% | 2.88 at Bet365 |
| Under 2.5 | 65.6% | 1.83 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 47.08% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Lecce/Lecce | 23% | 4.75 at Bet365 |
Lecce vs Cagliari Form
Lecce and Cagliari's standings in the Serie A
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
14
|
10 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -5 |
|
15
|
10 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -6 |
Lecce and Cagliari Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Sept 2025 - Serie A
29 Aug 2025 - Serie A
23 Aug 2025 - Serie A
15 Aug 2025 - Coppa Italia
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Aug 2025 - Serie A
15 Aug 2025 - Coppa Italia
3 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
18 May 2025 - Serie A
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Sept 2025 - Serie A
23 Aug 2025 - Serie A
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
25 May 2025 - Serie A
11 May 2025 - Serie A
27 Apr 2025 - Serie A
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Sept 2025 - Serie A
30 Aug 2025 - Serie A
24 Aug 2025 - Serie A
16 Aug 2025 - Coppa Italia
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Sept 2025 - Serie A
24 Aug 2025 - Serie A
16 Aug 2025 - Coppa Italia
2 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
18 May 2025 - Serie A
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Aug 2025 - Serie A
9 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
23 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
23 May 2025 - Serie A
10 May 2025 - Serie A
Lecce vs Cagliari Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
67 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
19 Jan 2025 - Serie A
31 Aug 2024 - Serie A
5 May 2024 - Serie A
6 Jan 2024 - Serie A
12 Jul 2020 - Serie A
25 Nov 2019 - Serie A
Lecce against Cagliari Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 3 - 2 - 1
Missing players
G. Jean
MidfielderF. Marchwinski
B. Pierret
H. Rafia
B. Radunovic
ForwardZ. Luvumbo
Most goals and assists
Lecce
Cagliari
M. Berisha
(2 Goals)
, 
K. N’Dri
(2 Goals)
A. Belotti
(2 Goals)
,
M. Felici
(2 Goals)
R. Sottil
(1 Assists)
, 
D. Melo Veiga
(1 Assists)
, 
T. Morente
(1 Assists)
,
A. Sala
(1 Assists)
,
A. Gallo
(1 Assists)
,
M. Berisha
(1 Assists)
M. Felici
(1 Assists)
, 
A. Obert
(1 Assists)
,
L. Pavoletti
(1 Assists)
, 
M. Adopo
(1 Assists)
,
M. Palestra
(1 Assists)
,
G. Gaetano
(1 Assists)
Lecce - Cagliari Key Points
- Lecce scored only one goal in their three league matches this season.
- Lecce lost their two recent Serie A fixtures.
- At home, Lecce lost six of their eight recent league games.
- Cagliari saw under 2.5 goals scored in their last four league matches.
- Lecce lost each of their last four Serie A matches played on a Friday.
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Our Lecce vs Cagliari Prediction
It hasn’t been an auspicious start for Lecce, as they could only score one goal in their first three matchdays. That came in a heavy 4-1 defeat against Atalanta, underlining the need to improve their output. Cagliari posted their first win of the league campaign last time out but are in a better space compared to their hosts. They still have a mountain to climb on the road, having lost their three recent league trips.
Lecce’s poor recent record could bite them, and our Lecce vs Cagliari prediction is Cagliari wins the match.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Lecce Cagliari
| Lecce vs Cagliari | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lecce wins | 2.3 | 2.88 | +25.2% |
| Draw | 3.1 | 2.88 | -7.1% |
| Cagliari wins | 3.2 | 2.75 | -14.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Lecce is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 25.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 43.5% and is now 34.7% (-8.8%)
Get up to €100 to bet on the Lecce vs. Cagliari game
You can get yourself up to €150 in matched bets for the battle between Lecce and Cagliari when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on Serie A!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
