Lazio vs Fiorentina Prediction & Betting Tips - Serie A

Italy - Serie A

Lazio
07/01/2026 14:45
Fiorentina

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5 goals and Fiorentina wins

 
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 by Kennedy Kechula in Serie A Predictions

Fiorentina will hope to extend their improving run when they travel to Lazio for their next Serie A match. Lazio sit ninth going into this game, while Fiorentina are 19th. Read on to find our prediction of the match.

Lazio’s hopes for a top six finish remain high despite suffering a 2-0 defeat to Napoli last time out. By that loss they were left winless in three matches, having drawn the earlier two.

As they seek to bounce back, the Biancocelesti will still be concerned by their poor run in this fixture. They have posted three straight defeats in their latest meetings with Fiorentina. Lazio have also failed to win at home in their last three matches, firing blanks in two.

Lazio’s unimpressive run coincides with Fiorentina picking up vital points as they look to salvage their season. La Viola failed to win any of their first 15 league matches but have since posted victory in two of the last three.

They are coming off a 1-0 win against Cremonese, which put them three points below safety. This could be their moment, as they are matched with 17th-placed Genoa on goal difference.

Genoa will be traveling to AC Milan next. Fiorentina will also be looking to win their first away match in the league. They have suffered four straight losses on the road.

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The Best Betting Odds for Lazio v Fiorentina Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
2.6 2.9 3.1
Betfred
2.5 3 3
William Hill
2.45 2.88 3
Unibet
2.45 3 3.1
Betway
2.6 2.9 3
Check all Lazio vs Fiorentina odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Lazio and Fiorentina?

Our prediction for the Lazio vs Fiorentina match is: under 2.5 goals and Fiorentina wins.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 07/01/2026 between Lazio and Fiorentina in Serie A :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 53.28% for a win of Lazio against Fiorentina with odds of 2.64 at 888Starz.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Lazio vs Fiorentina is 24.95% with odds of 3.11 at 888Starz.
  • Our prediction model gives a 21.76% chance ⭐ for a win of Fiorentina vs Lazio with odds of 3.2 at Bwin.

Lazio - Fiorentina Prediction and Best Odds:

Lazio Fiorentina Prediction Probability Odds
Lazio wins 53.28% 2.64 at 888Starz
Under 2.5 66.1% 2.15 at Tonybet
Both Team To Score 41.25% 2 at Unibet
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Lazio 28.22% 6 at Bet365

Lazio vs Fiorentina Form

Lazio and Fiorentina's standings in the Serie A

Teams Pts P W D L GD
9
Lazio
Lazio
24 18 6 6 6 4
18
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
12 18 2 6 10 -10

Lazio and Fiorentina Last Matches

Lazio
Lazio Last matches
W D W D D L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
0% Over 2.5
100% Under 2.5

4 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
0 :  2
Napoli

27 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Udinese
1 :  1
Lazio

20 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Lazio
0 :  0
Cremonese

13 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Parma
0 :  1
Lazio

7 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Lazio
1 :  1
Bologna

4 Dec 2025 - Coppa Italia

Lazio
1 :  0
AC Milan
W W W D D L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.5 Total goals
17% BTTS
1 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
0% Over 2.5
100% Under 2.5

4 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Lazio
0 :  2
Napoli

20 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Lazio
0 :  0
Cremonese

7 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Lazio
1 :  1
Bologna

4 Dec 2025 - Coppa Italia

Lazio
1 :  0
AC Milan

23 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Lazio
2 :  0
Lecce

3 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Lazio
2 :  0
Cagliari
D D L L W D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1 Total goals
17% BTTS
0.33 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
0% Over 2.5
100% Under 2.5

27 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Udinese
1 :  1
Lazio

13 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Parma
0 :  1
Lazio

29 Nov 2025 - Serie A

AC Milan
1 :  0
Lazio

9 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Inter Milan
2 :  0
Lazio

30 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Pisa SC
0 :  0
Lazio

19 Oct 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
0 :  0
Lazio
Fiorentina
Fiorentina Last matches
W L L W L W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

4 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  0
Cremonese

27 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Parma
1 :  0
Fiorentina

21 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina
5 :  1
Udinese

18 Dec 2025 - Conference League

Lausanne-Sport
1 :  0
Fiorentina

14 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  2
Hellas Verona

11 Dec 2025 - Conference League

Fiorentina
2 :  1
Dynamo Kyiv
D L W L W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

4 Jan 2026 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  0
Cremonese

21 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina
5 :  1
Udinese

14 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  2
Hellas Verona

11 Dec 2025 - Conference League

Fiorentina
2 :  1
Dynamo Kyiv

27 Nov 2025 - Conference League

Fiorentina
0 :  1
AEK Athens

22 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Fiorentina
1 :  1
Juventus
L D L L L L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

27 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Parma
1 :  0
Fiorentina

18 Dec 2025 - Conference League

Lausanne-Sport
1 :  0
Fiorentina

6 Dec 2025 - Serie A

Sassuolo
3 :  1
Fiorentina

30 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Atalanta
2 :  0
Fiorentina

9 Nov 2025 - Serie A

Genoa
2 :  2
Fiorentina

6 Nov 2025 - Conference League

1 Fsv Mainz 05
2 :  1
Fiorentina

Lazio vs Fiorentina Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Lazio

33 %

Draw

17 %

Fiorentina

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.67
Total goals
67%
BTTS
1.5
Goals scored (home team)
1.17
Goals scored (away team)
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5

26 Jan 2025 - Serie A

Lazio
1 :  2
Fiorentina

22 Sept 2024 - Serie A

Fiorentina
2 :  1
Lazio

26 Feb 2024 - Serie A

Fiorentina
2 :  1
Lazio

30 Oct 2023 - Serie A

Lazio
1 :  0
Fiorentina

29 Jan 2023 - Serie A

Lazio
1 :  1
Fiorentina

10 Oct 2022 - Serie A

Fiorentina
0 :  4
Lazio

Lazio vs Fiorentina last Lineups

Lazio

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

94
I. Provedel
77
A. Marusic
34
M. Gila
13
A. Romagnoli
3
L. Pellegrini
8
M. Guendouzi
32
D. Cataldi
26
T. Basic
22
M. Cancellieri
14
T. Noslin
10
M. Zaccagni
91
R. Piccoli
10
A. Gudmundsson
65
F. Parisi
27
C. Ndour
44
N. Fagioli
8
R. Mandragora
2
Dodo
6
L. Ranieri
15
P. Comuzzo
5
M. Pongracic
43
D. De Gea

Formation : 3 - 5 - 2

Fiorentina

Missing players

Lazio
Lazio
Defender

S. Gigot

E. Hysaj

A. Marusic

Patric

Midfielder

F. Dele-Bashiru

Forward

B. Dia

T. Castellanos

T. Noslin

Fiorentina
Fiorentina
Defender

T. Lamptey

Midfielder

J. Fazzini

A. Sabiri

A. Richardson

Forward

E. Dzeko

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Lazio
CD Huachipato Fiorentina
Top Goalscorer
Italy M. Cancellieri (3 Goals)
Italy M. Zaccagni (3 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Italy M. Kean (6 Goals)
Best assists
Argentina T. Castellanos (3 Assists)
Best assists
Italy N. Fagioli (2 Assists)
Brazil Dodo (2 Assists)

Lazio and Fiorentina Stats in Serie A

Lazio
Lazio
Fiorentina
Fiorentina
33%
Wins
11%
33%
Draw
33%
33%
Losses
56%
1.78
Total goals per match
2.56
1
Goals scored per match
1
0.78
Goals conceded per match
1.56
17%
Over 2.5
56%
83%
Under 2.5
44%
17%
BTTS
61%
50%
Clean Sheet
17%

Lazio - Fiorentina Key Points

  1. Each of Lazio’s last 10 matches had under 2.5 goals.
  2. Fiorentina beat Lazio in each of their last three meetings.
  3. Fiorentina have posted two wins in their last three outings.
  4. Lazio are winless in their last three matches, losing the latest.
  5. Three of Fiorentina’s last four matches ended in under 2.5 goals.
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Our Lazio vs Fiorentina Prediction

Fiorentina are looking to repeat a feat they last achieved in 1985—beating Lazio in four straight meetings. Though they have struggled a bit on the road, it is hard not to feel they will extend their recent impressive run of form.

La Viola have two wins in the last three matches and should be confident enough to go for an away win. They meet Lazio at a time their hosts are really struggling and even failing to score in the last two home games. Our prediction for Lazio v Fiorentina is under 2.5 goals and Fiorentina wins.

Prediction :

 

Under 2.5 goals and Fiorentina wins

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Lazio vs Fiorentina Prediction