Newcastle vs Leeds Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Premier League Predictions
Newcastle United will play host to Leeds United in the two sides’ next Premier League match. This encounter is scheduled for Wednesday at St. James Park, with Newcastle looking to make the most of playing at home. Newcastle United go into this game having risen to ninth, while Leeds United are 16th. Read on to find our prediction of this match.
With their ambitions set for Europe, Newcastle United have reaped well from the last two rounds as competing teams dropped points. With 29 points, they are just two points below the top five, after fifth-placed Chelsea went winless in four league games.
Leeds United, on their part, are unbeaten in seven league matches and have opened up an eight-point gap from the relegation zone. They will look to carry this impressive showing to their 102nd meeting with Newcastle. The initial meetings ended in 22 draws, with Newcastle winning 40 and Leeds 39.
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Newcastle v Leeds Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.65 | 4 | 5.4 |
|
|
1.62 | 3.8 | 5.75 |
|
|
1.65 | 3.88 | 5.25 |
|
|
1.6 | 3.9 | 6 |
|
|
1.63 | 3.85 | 5.2 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Newcastle and Leeds?
Our prediction for the Newcastle vs Leeds match is: Newcastle United wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 07/01/2026 between Newcastle and Leeds in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 50.7% for a win of Newcastle against Leeds with odds of 1.65 at Stake.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Newcastle vs Leeds is 41.26% with odds of 4.1 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 8.04% chance ⭐ for a win of Leeds vs Newcastle with odds of 6 at Bet365.
Newcastle - Leeds Prediction and Best Odds:
| Newcastle Leeds Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Newcastle wins | 50.7% | 1.65 at Stake |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57.59% | 2 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 69.58% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Newcastle | 29.36% | 4.5 at Bet365 |
Newcastle vs Leeds Form
Newcastle and Leeds's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
12
|
49 | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | -2 |
|
14
|
47 | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | -7 |
Newcastle and Leeds Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jan 2026 - Premier League
30 Dec 2025 - Premier League
26 Dec 2025 - Premier League
20 Dec 2025 - Premier League
17 Dec 2025 - Carabao Cup
14 Dec 2025 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jan 2026 - Premier League
20 Dec 2025 - Premier League
17 Dec 2025 - Carabao Cup
6 Dec 2025 - Premier League
2 Dec 2025 - Premier League
22 Nov 2025 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Dec 2025 - Premier League
26 Dec 2025 - Premier League
14 Dec 2025 - Premier League
10 Dec 2025 - Champions League
29 Nov 2025 - Premier League
25 Nov 2025 - Champions League
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jan 2026 - Premier League
1 Jan 2026 - Premier League
28 Dec 2025 - Premier League
20 Dec 2025 - Premier League
14 Dec 2025 - Premier League
6 Dec 2025 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jan 2026 - Premier League
20 Dec 2025 - Premier League
6 Dec 2025 - Premier League
3 Dec 2025 - Premier League
23 Nov 2025 - Premier League
24 Oct 2025 - Premier League
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Jan 2026 - Premier League
28 Dec 2025 - Premier League
14 Dec 2025 - Premier League
29 Nov 2025 - Premier League
9 Nov 2025 - Premier League
1 Nov 2025 - Premier League
Newcastle vs Leeds Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
67 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
30 Aug 2025 - Premier League
13 May 2023 - Premier League
31 Dec 2022 - Premier League
22 Jan 2022 - Premier League
17 Sept 2021 - Premier League
26 Jan 2021 - Premier League
Newcastle - Leeds: Form Analysis
Newcastle United reaped well from results elsewhere even as they produced the desired results in their latest two games. They claimed a 3-1 win at Burnley, then returned home to collect three points in a 2-0 victory over Crystal Palace.
Based on their performances, a third straight league win doesn’t seem to be beyond reach. The Magpies have a superb run at home, currently on nine wins in their last 11 matches there. They are unbeaten in those 11 games, and in each of the last nine, they scored exactly two goals. Heading into this match, Newcastle have only suffered two defeats in the last 10 outings.
Newcastle have only lost to Arsenal, Liverpool, and Barcelona at home this season.
Leeds United have been on the rise, though there is one piece of the puzzle still lacking in their game. They take into this encounter a seven-match unbeaten run, but with only two wins. In their latest outing, Leeds couldn’t hold on to their lead against Manchester United; that clash ended 1-1.
Though they haven't lost any of the last three away matches, performances on their travels have left a lot to be desired. Leeds’ only win on the road came against the side currently at the bottom of the standings, Wolverhampton Wanderers.
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Newcastle against Leeds Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 3 - 5 - 1 - 1
Substitutes
A. Ramsdale
DefenderK. Trippier
S. Botman
T. Livramento
A. Murphy
MidfielderJ. Willock
J. Murphy
J. Ramsey
Y. Wissa
K. Darlow
DefenderS. Bornauw
S. Byram
MidfielderJ. Harrison
A. Tanaka
N. Okafor
J. Piroe
L. Nmecha
G. Wilfried
Missing players
D. Burn
ForwardA. Elanga
W. Osula
J. Bogle
ForwardD. James
Newcastle & Leeds Squad Analysis
Though their 2-0 win against Palace looks comfortable, Newcastle had to sweat for it. Once again it was Bruno Guimaraes who inspired the late win, with the opening goal and an all-round superb performance. The Brazilian has now scored in the Magpies' last two matches and will carry a confident aura heading to this game.
The hosts will still be without Anthony Elanga and dependable defender Dan Burn, both nursing injuries. They can, however, count on Harvey Barnes, who has six career goals against Leeds.
Leeds will welcome back Ethan Ampadu, who was suspended for the last match.
Dominic Calvert-Lewin has hit top form coming into this encounter. He has seven goals in Leeds’ last eight matches, and yet Newcastle happens to be one of his favorite opponents. The English forward has scored six times against Newcastle United and will hope to extend his record here.
Former Newcastle man Sean Longstaff has recovered from a calf injury and will be pushing for game time. In the last outing, he was named among the subs.
Most goals and assists
Newcastle
Leeds
B. Guimaraes
(9 Goals)
D. Calvert-Lewin
(14 Goals)
B. Guimaraes
(5 Assists)
B. Aaronson
(5 Assists)
Newcastle - Leeds Key Points
- Leeds United are winless in seven away league matches, losing four.
- Newcastle are unbeaten in five games against Leeds; four ended in draws.
- Newcastle United are unbeaten in their last 11 home matches, winning nine.
- In their 11 away matches in all competitions this season, Leeds won just once.
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Our Newcastle vs Leeds Prediction
Both teams take into this game unbeaten runs and are looking to protect them. While they’ve produced a combined 12 draws this season, we don’t expect this one to end in shared spoils. Newcastle United have been on a roll at home, only beaten by some of the top teams in England and Europe.
We don’t see Leeds breaking the Magpies’ recent run, especially as they haven't won a lot on the road. Our prediction for Newcastle United v Leeds United is that Newcastle United wins.
Newcastle vs Leeds Alternative Predictions
BTTS
Across their last 10 matches, Newcastle United managed just one clean sheet, and they only failed to score in two. Leeds United haven't managed many shutouts either. They registered only one in their last 10 matches, in a 0-0 draw with Liverpool.
That was also the only time in 10 matches that they failed to score. As Newcastle are missing a number of their defensive players, Leeds will fancy their chances. In our second prediction, therefore, we say both teams will score.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Newcastle Leeds
| Newcastle vs Leeds | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle wins | 1.75 | 1.65 | -5.7% |
| Draw | 3.75 | 4.1 | +9.3% |
| Leeds wins | 5 | 6 | +20.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Newcastle is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 5.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 57.1% and is now 60.6% (3.5%)
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Newcastle vs Leeds - FAQs
The Newcastle United v Leeds United match will be played on Wednesday, 7th January.
The Newcastle United v Leeds United match will be played at St. James’ Park.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
