Burnley vs Manchester United Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
England - Premier League
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by Devesh Jaganath | in Premier League Predictions
Two teams treading turbulent tides meet at Turf Moor in midweek on Matchday 21, when Burnley play host to Manchester United in the Premier League. The Clarets are second-bottom in the league standings, while the Red Devils are in sixth place coming into this clash. Check out our match prediction below!
Man United fans entered 2026 hoping that the New Year would bring some form of stability back to Old Trafford. However, it has been the complete opposite, as Monday morning marked the end of Ruben Amorim’s tenure, with the club opting to sack the Portuguese tactician after 14 months at the helm.
Scott Parker, meanwhile, seems to still have the backing of the Burnley board for the time being, but having not won a match since October, there is undoubted pressure mounting on his shoulders. Both these sides desperately need a positive result here, albeit for different reasons - let’s get into the key stats!
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Burnley v Manchester United Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.9 | 3.95 | 1.75 |
|
|
4.72 | 3.88 | 1.72 |
|
|
4.9 | 3.76 | 1.72 |
|
|
4.75 | 3.9 | 1.7 |
|
|
4.7 | 3.7 | 1.72 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Burnley and Manchester United?
Our prediction for the Burnley vs Manchester United match is: Manchester United wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 07/01/2026 between Burnley and Manchester United in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 9.82% for a win of Burnley against Manchester United with odds of 5 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Burnley vs Manchester United is 35.51% with odds of 4.04 at 888Starz.
- Our prediction model gives a 54.67% chance ⭐ for a win of Manchester United vs Burnley with odds of 1.75 at Stake.
Burnley - Manchester United Prediction and Best Odds:
| Burnley Manchester United Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Manchester United wins | 54.67% | 1.75 at Stake |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50.83% | 1.9 at Betwinner |
| Both Team To Score | 65.83% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Manchester United/Manchester United | 31.76% | 2.75 at Bet365 |
Burnley vs Manchester United Form
Burnley and Manchester United's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
71 | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | +19 |
|
19
|
22 | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | -37 |
Burnley and Manchester United Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Jan 2026 - Premier League
30 Dec 2025 - Premier League
27 Dec 2025 - Premier League
20 Dec 2025 - Premier League
19 Dec 2025 - U23 Premier League Cup
13 Dec 2025 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Dec 2025 - Premier League
27 Dec 2025 - Premier League
13 Dec 2025 - Premier League
3 Dec 2025 - Premier League
28 Nov 2025 - U23 Premier League Cup
22 Nov 2025 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Jan 2026 - Premier League
20 Dec 2025 - Premier League
19 Dec 2025 - U23 Premier League Cup
6 Dec 2025 - Premier League
29 Nov 2025 - Premier League
25 Nov 2025 - National League Cup
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jan 2026 - Premier League
30 Dec 2025 - Premier League
26 Dec 2025 - Premier League
21 Dec 2025 - Premier League
15 Dec 2025 - Premier League
8 Dec 2025 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Dec 2025 - Premier League
26 Dec 2025 - Premier League
15 Dec 2025 - Premier League
4 Dec 2025 - Premier League
24 Nov 2025 - Premier League
25 Oct 2025 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Jan 2026 - Premier League
21 Dec 2025 - Premier League
8 Dec 2025 - Premier League
30 Nov 2025 - Premier League
8 Nov 2025 - Premier League
1 Nov 2025 - Premier League
Burnley vs Manchester United Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
33 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
30 Aug 2025 - Premier League
27 Apr 2024 - Premier League
23 Sept 2023 - Premier League
21 Dec 2022 - Carabao Cup
8 Feb 2022 - Premier League
30 Dec 2021 - Premier League
Burnley - Manchester United: Form Analysis
Burnley’s top-flight survival hopes took another major blow over the weekend, when they suffered a 2-0 loss away to Brighton & Hove Albion - their 14th defeat in 20 league games this season.
That result also marked the Clarets’ 11th consecutive league match without victory (D2 L9), and was the eighth time they conceded two or more goals during this winless run, which dates back to October 26.
The hosts have only earned a single point from their last six home league games, which is the worst record in the division across this period. They have not beaten United at Turf Moor since August 2009.
Burnley lost to this opponent 3-2 in the reverse fixture at the end of August!
Meanwhile, Ruben Amorim’s axing followed a disappointing 1-1 draw away to Leeds at the weekend, which saw Manchester United slip to sixth place, leapfrogged by Chelsea in the league standings.
The Red Devils have lost just one of their last eight league matches (W3 D4 L1), but they have now drawn seven games this season (35%) - the third-most of any team in the top flight to date.
Additionally, the draw at Elland Road took United’s goals conceded tally to 30 for the season, which is the most of the top 14 teams in the Prem. They have yet to keep a clean sheet on the road this term.
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Burnley against Manchester United Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
M. Weiss
DefenderO. Sonne
Q. Hartman
H. Ekdal
ForwardA. Barnes
L. Foster
L. Tchaouna
J. Anthony
J. Bruun Larsen
A. Bayindir
DefenderL. Yoro
T. Malacia
H. Maguire
MidfielderM. Mount
K. Mainoo
S. Lacey
J. Fletcher
ForwardJ. Zirkzee
Missing players
C. Roberts
J. Worrall
J. Beyer
MidfielderJ. Cullen
ForwardZ. Amdouni
M. De Ligt
Burnley & Manchester United Squad Analysis
The Clarets have a lengthy casualty list at present, with Jordan Beyer, Zeki Amdouni, Josh Cullen, and Joe Worrall sidelined, while Connor Roberts and Zian Flemming are listed as major doubts.
Maxime Esteve lasted just 14 minutes on his return to action last week against Newcastle and missed the trip to Brighton at the weekend, with Scott Parker refusing to risk starting the centre-back.
Esteve could make the squad this week, while Hannibal Mejbri and Lyle Foster are likely to be back with the team in the coming days after Tunisia and South Africa were eliminated from the 2025 AFCON.
Darren Fletcher will take charge of Man United on an interim basis!
The former Red Devils’ midfielder is widely expected to revert to a four-at-the-back formation with immediate effect, which is something that many United fans had been hoping for Amorim to do before his departure.
However, the new boss is missing several key players, including defensive duo Harry Maguire and Matthijs de Ligt through injury, while Bryan Mbeumo, Amad Diallo and Noussair Mazraoui are still at the AFCON.
It will be interesting to see if Kobbie Mainoo returns to the fray after his turbulent time under Amorim’s leadership. Mason Mount resumed training this week and should be in contention to start in midweek.
Most goals and assists
Burnley
Manchester United
Z. Flemming
(11 Goals)
B. Mbeumo
(11 Goals)
, 
B. Sesko
(11 Goals)
Q. Hartman
(5 Assists)
B. Fernandes
(21 Assists)
Burnley - Manchester United Key Points
- Burnley are winless in their last 11 league matches.
- Burnley have lost five of their last six home league games (D1).
- Burnley have failed to score in four of their last six home league matches.
- Man United have only lost one of their last eight league games.
- Man United are unbeaten in their last eight matches against this opponent across all competitions.
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Our Burnley vs Manchester United Prediction
After the loss to Brighton, Burnley are now six points from safety. While they will feel that this is the ideal time to face United, riding an 11-match winless streak makes it difficult to back them with any sort of confidence.
For Man United, this is about the best fixture they could have asked for following this week’s events. With both sides in desperate need of a positive result, we are expecting a close contest, but we fancy the Red Devils to get the job done. Our Burnley vs Manchester United prediction is Manchester United wins.
Burnley vs Manchester United Alternative Predictions
Over 2.5
Burnley have conceded two or more goals in nine of their last 12 league games, while Manchester United have failed to keep a clean sheet on the road this season.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Burnley Manchester United
| Burnley vs Manchester United | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley wins | 4.3 | 5 | +16.3% |
| Draw | 3.8 | 4.04 | +6.3% |
| Manchester United wins | 1.74 | 1.75 | +0.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Manchester United is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 0.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 57.5% and is now 57.1% (-0.3%)
Burnley vs Manchester United - FAQs
The Premier League match between Burnley and Manchester United will take place on January 7 at 20:15 GMT.
The Premier League match between Burnley and Manchester United will be broadcast on Sky Sports in the UK.
Alternatively, you can follow all the action on our Premier League livescore tool.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
