Europe - Europa League
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by Devesh Jaganath | in Europa League Predictions
The Europa League Playoff round first leg encounter between Lech Poznan and Genk will be played on Thursday at Enea Stadion. The winner of this tie between the Kolejorz and De Smurfen will enter the Europa League main draw, while the loser will be transferred to the Conference League. Let’s get into the match prediction.
Lech Poznan are now aiming to book their spot in Europe’s second-tier cup competition after being eliminated from the Champions League qualifiers by Red Star Belgrade last week.
The Railwaymen played out a 1-1 draw over the weekend against Kielce in the Ekstraklasa and are now ninth in the league standings with seven points after their first four games of the season.
The hosts have a mixed home record this term, with two wins, one draw and two defeats in five games to date. They also failed to keep a clean sheet in any of those matches.
Meanwhile, Genk are making their first appearance in this season's European qualifying, having finished third in the Belgian Pro League last term.
However, the Blue and Whites have stumbled out the blocks this season, losing two and drawing one of their first three league games before notching up a 2-1 win over OHL this past weekend.
The visitors have played three away games this season, and all of them ended with both teams scoring. They have not kept an away clean sheet in a competitive match since early March.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
The Best Betting Odds for KKS Lech Poznan v Genk Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.2 | 3.6 | 2.1 |
|
|
3 | 3.4 | 2.2 |
|
|
3.2 | 3.4 | 2 |
|
|
2.8 | 3.3 | 2.3 |
|
|
3.05 | 3.55 | 2.14 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between KKS Lech Poznan and Genk?
Our prediction for the KKS Lech Poznan vs Genk match is: over 2.5 & BTTS.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/08/2025 between KKS Lech Poznan and Genk in Europa League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 32.23% for a win of KKS Lech Poznan against Genk with odds of 3.4 at Melbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between KKS Lech Poznan vs Genk is 16.77% with odds of 3.65 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 51% chance ⭐ for a win of Genk vs KKS Lech Poznan with odds of 2.37 at Shangrila.
KKS Lech Poznan - Genk Prediction and Best Odds:
| KKS Lech Poznan Genk Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Genk wins | 51% | 2.37 at Shangrila |
| Over 2.5 goals | 71.23% | 1.89 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 83.33% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Genk/Genk | 25.74% | 3.35 at Unibet |
KKS Lech Poznan vs Genk Form
KKS Lech Poznan and Genk Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Aug 2025 - Ekstraklasa
12 Aug 2025 - Champions League
6 Aug 2025 - Champions League
2 Aug 2025 - Ekstraklasa
30 Jul 2025 - Champions League
26 Jul 2025 - Ekstraklasa
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Aug 2025 - Ekstraklasa
6 Aug 2025 - Champions League
2 Aug 2025 - Ekstraklasa
22 Jul 2025 - Champions League
18 Jul 2025 - Ekstraklasa
13 Jul 2025 - Super Cup
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Aug 2025 - Champions League
30 Jul 2025 - Champions League
26 Jul 2025 - Ekstraklasa
18 May 2025 - Ekstraklasa
11 May 2025 - Ekstraklasa
27 Apr 2025 - Ekstraklasa
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Aug 2025 - Jupiler Pro League
10 Aug 2025 - Jupiler Pro League
3 Aug 2025 - Jupiler Pro League
27 Jul 2025 - Jupiler Pro League
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
4 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Aug 2025 - Jupiler Pro League
19 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
25 May 2025 - Jupiler Pro League
11 May 2025 - Jupiler Pro League
27 Apr 2025 - Jupiler Pro League
20 Apr 2025 - Jupiler Pro League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Aug 2025 - Jupiler Pro League
10 Aug 2025 - Jupiler Pro League
27 Jul 2025 - Jupiler Pro League
4 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
28 Jun 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
18 May 2025 - Jupiler Pro League
KKS Lech Poznan against Genk Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 2 - 1
Most goals and assists
KKS Lech Poznan
Genk
M. Ishak
(13 Goals)
O. Hyeon-gyu
(8 Goals)
L. Palma
(5 Assists)
K. Karetsas
(7 Assists)
KKS Lech Poznan - Genk Key Points
- Eight of Lech Poznan’s nine games this season have ended with both teams scoring.
- Eight of Lech Poznan’s last 10 competitive home games have ended with both teams scoring.
- Four of Genk’s five games this season have ended with both teams scoring.
- Genk have failed to keep a clean sheet in their last eight competitive away games.
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Our KKS Lech Poznan vs Genk Prediction
Lech Poznan carry plenty of attacking threat, and that has been necessary this season given their defensive frailties, which were evident here at home against Red Star in the UCL qualifiers.
Genk are the favourites in this tie, but they’ve made an unimpressive start to the season. Based on the visitors' away record combined with the hosts' recent performances at this venue, this match looks likely to deliver a few goals. Our Lech Poznan vs Genk prediction is over 2.5 & BTTS.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis KKS Lech Poznan Genk
| KKS Lech Poznan vs Genk | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| KKS Lech Poznan wins | 2.7 | 3.2 | +18.5% |
| Draw | 3.3 | 3.6 | +9.1% |
| Genk wins | 2.4 | 2.1 | -12.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Genk is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 12.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 41.7% and is now 47.6% (6.0%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the KKS Lech Poznan vs. Genk game!
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Try your luck on this year's Europa League! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
