Turkey - Super Lig
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by Devesh Jaganath | in Super Lig Predictions
Sunday’s final curtain in the Super Lig will see Kasimpasa taking on Fenerbahce at the Recep Tayyip Erdogan Stadyumu. The Apaches are in 12th place in the league standings, while the Yellow Canaries are second. Let’s get into the match prediction.
Kasimpasa enjoyed an excellent season in 2023-24, finishing fifth, but they failed to follow up last term, only managing 10th place, nine points behind where they ended the previous campaign.
The Apaches have not made the best start to this season either, recording just one win in five games so far (W1 D1 L3) following a goalless draw away to Samsunspor last weekend.
The hosts have lost both home matches this term and are now winless in the top flight at this venue in five, which is a significant drop-off after going eight games unbeaten before this run.
Meanwhile, Fenerbahce opted to part ways with Jose Mourinho after failing to qualify for the Champions League when they were ousted by Portuguese powerhouse Benfica.
Domenico Tedesco was brought in to replace the “Special One” and has yet to taste defeat in his new role, having won his first match against Trabzonspor before playing to a 2-2 draw against Alanyaspor last weekend.
The visitors are unbeaten in away league games this season and only lost twice on the road in the top flight last term. They have also won their last 12 matches against this opponent across all competitions.
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The Best Betting Odds for Kasimpasa Istanbul v Fenerbahce Istanbul Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7.5 | 4.75 | 1.35 |
|
|
8.5 | 5 | 1.3 |
|
|
7.5 | 4.6 | 1.36 |
|
|
7 | 5 | 1.3 |
|
|
7 | 4.8 | 1.38 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Kasimpasa Istanbul and Fenerbahce Istanbul?
Our prediction for the Kasimpasa Istanbul vs Fenerbahce Istanbul match is: Fenerbahce wins & over 1.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/09/2025 between Kasimpasa Istanbul and Fenerbahce Istanbul in Super Lig :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 29.25% for a win of Kasimpasa Istanbul against Fenerbahce Istanbul with odds of 8.5 at Betfred.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Kasimpasa Istanbul vs Fenerbahce Istanbul is 17.6% with odds of 5 at Betfred.
- Our prediction model gives a 53.15% chance ⭐ for a win of Fenerbahce Istanbul vs Kasimpasa Istanbul with odds of 1.38 at Unibet.
Kasimpasa Istanbul - Fenerbahce Istanbul Prediction and Best Odds:
| Kasimpasa Istanbul Fenerbahce Istanbul Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahce Istanbul wins | 53.15% | 1.38 at Unibet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62.92% | 1.62 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 67.5% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Fenerbahce Istanbul/Fenerbahce Istanbul | 19.26% | 2.1 at Ladbrokes |
Kasimpasa Istanbul vs Fenerbahce Istanbul Form
Kasimpasa Istanbul and Fenerbahce Istanbul's standings in the Super Lig
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
28 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 15 |
|
15
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -6 |
Kasimpasa Istanbul and Fenerbahce Istanbul Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Sept 2025 - Super Lig
13 Sept 2025 - Super Lig
30 Aug 2025 - Super Lig
18 Aug 2025 - Super Lig
9 Aug 2025 - Super Lig
30 May 2025 - Super Lig
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Aug 2025 - Super Lig
18 Aug 2025 - Super Lig
30 May 2025 - Super Lig
18 May 2025 - Super Lig
5 May 2025 - Super Lig
19 Apr 2025 - Super Lig
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Sept 2025 - Super Lig
13 Sept 2025 - Super Lig
9 Aug 2025 - Super Lig
24 May 2025 - Super Lig
10 May 2025 - Super Lig
13 Apr 2025 - Super Lig
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Sept 2025 - Super Lig
14 Sept 2025 - Super Lig
31 Aug 2025 - Super Lig
27 Aug 2025 - Champions League
23 Aug 2025 - Super Lig
20 Aug 2025 - Champions League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Sept 2025 - Super Lig
14 Sept 2025 - Super Lig
23 Aug 2025 - Super Lig
20 Aug 2025 - Champions League
12 Aug 2025 - Champions League
30 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Aug 2025 - Super Lig
27 Aug 2025 - Champions League
16 Aug 2025 - Super Lig
6 Aug 2025 - Champions League
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
26 May 2025 - Super Lig
Kasimpasa Istanbul vs Fenerbahce Istanbul Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
16 Feb 2025 - Super Lig
9 Jan 2025 - Turkiye Kupasi
15 Sept 2024 - Super Lig
24 Feb 2024 - Super Lig
8 Oct 2023 - Super Lig
29 Jan 2023 - Super Lig
Players list
A. Gianniotis
DefenderC. Winck
Frimpong
N. Opoku
MidfielderCafu
M. Fall
A. Baldursson
H. Hajradinovic
ForwardH. Gueye
F. Diabate
Ederson
DefenderM. Muldur
J. Oosterwolde
M. Skriniar
C. Soyuncu
MidfielderB. Elmaz
I. Yuksek
Y. En-Nesyri
ForwardC. Tosun
S. Szymanski
K. Akturkoglu
Substitutes
A. Yanar
DefenderT. Aydin
E. Tasdemir
J. Espinoza
MidfielderA. Mujde
M. Fall
C. Ustundag
F. Diabate
Y. Eratilla
K. Kanatsizkus
I. Egribayat
DefenderM. Muldur
R. Becao
A. Brown
MidfielderS. Szymanski
B. Elmaz
O. Aydin
C. Tosun
Y. En-Nesyri
N. Dorgeles
Most goals and assists
Kasimpasa Istanbul
Fenerbahce Istanbul
C. Winck
(3 Goals)
, 
H. Gueye
(3 Goals)
Y. En-Nesyri
(6 Goals)
M. Ben Ouanes
(4 Assists)
K. Akturkoglu
(3 Assists)
Kasimpasa Istanbul - Fenerbahce Istanbul Key Points
- Kasimpasa have only won one of their five league games this season.
- Kasimpasa are winless in their last five home league matches.
- Fenerbahce are unbeaten after their five league games this season.
- Fenerbahce have scored two or more goals in six of their last seven away league matches.
- Fenerbahce have won their last 12 competitive games against this opponent.
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Our Kasimpasa Istanbul vs Fenerbahce Istanbul Prediction
Kasimpasa have made an underwhelming start to the season, and there is no solid reason to suggest a turnaround is expected here, with the side winless in their last five league games at this venue.
Fenerbahce will be bitterly disappointed to have only picked up one point against Alanyaspor last week, but they have won their last 12 in a row against this opponent, and we expect them to add to that tally with another three points from this one. Our Kasimpasa vs Fenerbahce prediction is Fenerbahce wins & over 1.5.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Kasimpasa Istanbul Fenerbahce Istanbul
| Kasimpasa Istanbul vs Fenerbahce Istanbul | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kasimpasa Istanbul wins | 5 | 7.5 | +50.0% |
| Draw | 3.8 | 4.75 | +25.0% |
| Fenerbahce Istanbul wins | 1.53 | 1.35 | -11.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Fenerbahce Istanbul is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 11.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 65.4% and is now 74.1% (8.7%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
