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Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka Prediction & Betting Tips - WTA US Open

WTA - WTA US Open

WTA 13 Czech Republic
Karolina Muchova
03/09/2025 19:00
WTA 24 Japan
Naomi Osaka

Prediction :

 

Osaka to win in three sets

 
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 by Daniel Ngulu | in Tennis Predictions

Naomi Osaka and Karolina Muchova are set for another clash at the US Open. The two will face off at the quarter-final, to mark their fifth meeting. The winner here will face Amanda Anisimova or Iga Swiatek next. Read on for our prediction of the match.

These two are facing off for the second time this year, Osaka having trounced Muchova at the Australian Open. It will be the third straight meeting at the majors, after Muchova’s win in Flushing Meadows.

Muchova has been to three semis this year and is also seeking a third last-four appearance here. Her 2-1 win over Marta Kostyuk in the fourth round marked a fourth straight three-set win, meaning she’s played five hours more than Osaka. Muchova is 14th in the live rankings.

Osaka hasn’t lost a quarter-final this season and will be hoping to extend the same here. She came into this tournament right from a run to the final in Montreal and hopes for the same.

A four-time Grand Slam winner, Osaka is on the chase for a third US Open title. This is the first time she’s come this far at Flushing Meadows since winning her latest title, in 2020.

The Japanese is coming off a straight-sets win over Cori Gauff and has only dropped one set. This win lifted her to a 31-12 run so far, and she’s now 20th in the live rankings.

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The Best Betting Odds for Karolina Muchova v Naomi Osaka Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
3 1.4
William Hill
2.75 1.44
Betway
3 1.38
Ladbrokes
2.8 1.4
Unibet
3.05 1.41
Check all Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka odds
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Who will win the Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka Tennis game?

Our prediction for the Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka match is: Osaka to win in three sets.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka game on 03/09/2025 of the current WTA US Open season:

  • Karolina Muchova has a 38.63% chance to win against Naomi Osaka according to Unibet ⭐ with the odds of 3.05.
  • Naomi Osaka has a 61.37% probability of winning facing Karolina Muchova ⭐ with odds of 1.44 at William Hill.

Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka Best Prediction and Odds

Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Karolina Muchova has a 38.63 % chance to win.

PredictionChance to win
Karolina Muchova38.63 %
Naomi Osaka61.37 %

Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka Form

Karolina Muchova and Naomi Osaka Last Matches

Karolina Muchova Last matches
W L W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

1 Sep 2025 - WTA US Open

Marta Kostyuk
1 :  2
Karolina Muchova

30 Aug 2025 - WTA US Open

Linda Noskova
1 :  2
Karolina Muchova

28 Aug 2025 - WTA US Open

Sorana Cirstea
1 :  2
Karolina Muchova

25 Aug 2025 - WTA US Open

Venus Williams
1 :  2
Karolina Muchova

12 Aug 2025 - WTA Cincinnati Open

Varvara Gracheva
2 :  0
Karolina Muchova

10 Aug 2025 - WTA Cincinnati Open

Caroline Garcia
0 :  2
Karolina Muchova
Naomi Osaka Last matches
W L W W W W
Wins

5/6 (83%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

1 Sep 2025 - WTA US Open

Naomi Osaka
2 :  0
Coco Gauff

30 Aug 2025 - WTA US Open

Daria Kasatkina
1 :  2
Naomi Osaka

28 Aug 2025 - WTA US Open

Hailey Baptiste
0 :  2
Naomi Osaka

26 Aug 2025 - WTA US Open

Greet Minnen
0 :  2
Naomi Osaka

7 Aug 2025 - WTA National Bank Open

Victoria Mboko
2 :  1
Naomi Osaka

6 Aug 2025 - WTA National Bank Open

Naomi Osaka
2 :  0
Clara Tauson

Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Karolina Muchova

50 %

Naomi Osaka

50 %

14 Jan 2025 - WTA Australian Open

Karolina Muchova
1 :  2
Naomi Osaka

29 Aug 2024 - WTA US Open

Naomi Osaka
0 :  2
Karolina Muchova
Compare Karolina Muchova and Naomi Osaka with our comparison tool.

Karolina Muchova - Naomi Osaka Key Points

  1. Muchova lost six times in her last 13 matches.
  2. Osaka has won 31 of her 43 matches this season.
  3. Osaka has suffered one loss only in the last 11 matches.
  4. Muchova failed to win a set just once in her last nine matches.
  5. Muchova has spent five hours more on the courts than Osaka here.
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Our Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka Prediction

For the third straight game these two players are meeting at a Grand Slam. Osaka won the latest, but last year when they met at the US Open, Muchova carried the day. This tie is balanced at 2-2, but that’s in exclusion of their 2022 meeting in Miami, where Muchova pulled out.

Recent form here dictates that Osaka is the favorite, as she guns for a second semi-final in as many tournaments. She is also considerably fresher, and this could work perfectly for her. Our prediction for Karolina Muchova v Naomi Osaka is for Osaka to win in three sets.

Prediction :

 

Osaka to win in three sets

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Karolina Muchova vs Naomi Osaka Prediction
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