International - East Asian Championship
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by Geoffrey Ejiga | in Football Predictions
Japan prepares to take on Hong Kong in Game 2 of the 2025 East Asian Championship. The Samurai Blue are looking to extend their excellent World Cup qualification run into this tournament. Meanwhile, The Strength hopes to strong-arm their first goal and, possibly, their first win against Japan in 26 years. Read on to discover our best Japan vs Hong Kong Match prediction.
Japan are heading into this game after an outstanding WC performance, where they won seven of ten games and scored 30 while conceding just three. Analysts even believe that the upcoming matchup against Hong Kong has all the elements of Japan's most recent game, a 6-0 thrashing of the 123rd-ranked Indonesia.
In truth, Hong Kong has succumbed to Japan in all four games they played in the last 26 years, losing 6-0, 5-0, 4-0, and 6-0. Hong Kong's recent form has also been unimpressive. During the WC qualification round, Hong Kong scored in only three of eight games, winning only one match.
Unsurprisingly, Japan are outright favorites to win Hong Kong. However, the most profitable play here is a “no goal goal” bet, with the clean sheet expected to be on the Japanese side. Notably, Japan has kept 11 clean sheets in 14 matches, while both teams didn't score in four of Hong Kong's last five games.
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The Best Betting Odds for Japan v Hong Kong Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.03 | 17 | 51 |
|
|
1.02 | 19 | 41 |
|
|
1.01 | 17 | 34 |
|
|
1.02 | 19 | 56 |
|
|
1 | 15 | 151 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Japan and Hong Kong?
Our prediction for the Japan vs Hong Kong match is: Both Teams to Score - No.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 08/07/2025 between Japan and Hong Kong in East Asian Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 64.99% for a win of Japan against Hong Kong with odds of 1.04 at BC Game.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Japan vs Hong Kong is 25.33% with odds of 26 at 22bet.
- Our prediction model gives a 9.68% chance ⭐ for a win of Hong Kong vs Japan with odds of 151 at Vbet.
Japan - Hong Kong Prediction and Best Odds:
| Japan Hong Kong Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Japan wins | 64.99% | 1.04 at BC Game |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56.12% | 1.23 at Bwin |
| Both Team To Score | 19.05% | 2.9 at Unibet |
| Half-time / Full-time : Japan/Japan | 35.17% | 1.25 at Ladbrokes |
Japan vs Hong Kong Form
Japan and Hong Kong's standings in the East Asian Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
|
4
|
0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -7 |
Japan and Hong Kong Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jun 2025 - World Cup
5 Jun 2025 - World Cup
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
20 Mar 2025 - World Cup
19 Nov 2024 - World Cup
15 Nov 2024 - World Cup
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jun 2025 - World Cup
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
20 Mar 2025 - World Cup
15 Oct 2024 - World Cup
5 Sep 2024 - World Cup
11 Jun 2024 - World Cup
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Jun 2025 - World Cup
19 Nov 2024 - World Cup
15 Nov 2024 - World Cup
10 Oct 2024 - World Cup
10 Sep 2024 - World Cup
6 Jun 2024 - World Cup
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jun 2025 - AFC Asian Cup, Qualification Group A
5 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
30 May 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
25 Mar 2025 - AFC Asian Cup, Qualification Group A
19 Mar 2025 - International Friendlies
19 Nov 2024 - International Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jun 2025 - AFC Asian Cup, Qualification Group A
5 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
30 May 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Mar 2025 - International Friendlies
19 Nov 2024 - International Friendlies
14 Nov 2024 - International Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Mar 2025 - AFC Asian Cup, Qualification Group A
10 Oct 2024 - International Friendlies
5 Sep 2024 - International Friendlies
11 Jun 2024 - World Cup
26 Mar 2024 - World Cup
14 Jan 2024 - Asian Cup
Japan - Hong Kong Key Points
- Japan has a solid defence, conceding just three goals in ten WC qualification matches.
- Hong Kong have failed to score a single goal in their last four games against Japan.
- Japan have kept 11 clean sheets in their last 14 matches.
- Despite Hong Kong scoring in three of their last five games, both teams didn't score in four of those matches.
- Hong Kong only scored in three of their eight World Cup qualification matches, and both teams didn't score in six of those games.
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Our Japan vs Hong Kong Prediction
The 15th-ranked Japan will likely continue their dominance over the 153rd-ranked Hong Kong side. While this matchup might be a high-scoring one, we're expecting a one-sided display, with the goals flowing in from Japan only.
Both historical and recent data support this play, as The Strength has failed to score against Japan in 26 years, while the Samurai Blue recently kept 11 clean sheets in 14 games. Hence, our Japan vs Hong Kong prediction is Both Teams to Score - No.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Japan Hong Kong
| Japan vs Hong Kong | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Japan wins | 1.07 | 1.03 | -3.7% |
| Draw | 9.5 | 17 | +78.9% |
| Hong Kong wins | 29 | 51 | +75.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Japan is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 3.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 93.5% and is now 97.1% (3.6%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Japan vs. Hong Kong game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Japan and Hong Kong? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's East Asian Championship! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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