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by Daniel Ngulu | in ATP Italian Open Predictions
The 2025 Rome Masters will be the final one for Fabio Fognini, the former world number nine, has announced. He will, however, hope it doesn’t end with a first-round loss to debutant Jacob Fearnley. The two face off for the first time ever, and below is our prediction of the match.
Fernley steps out for the first time ever at the Rome Masters. He has the chance to make this his opponent’s last match at the event.
The Brit arrives here having won four of his last five matches. His latest outing was a third round match against Grigor Dimitrov in Madrid, which he lost 2-0. He has only lost four of his last 13 matches.
Fognini will be playing his 38th match at the Rome Masters and carries into this one a 19-18 record at the tournament. When he made his debut here in 2006, he lost in the first round.
There are indications he may also finish his lengthy dalliance with this tournament with a first-round defeat. This and the second round are the Italian’s most troubled rounds, having lost six times in each.
His best was in 2018, when he made the quarter-finals. Fognini suffered first-round exits in his last two events – the Mauthausen Challenger and Madrid Masters. At ATP tournament main draws, he has three straight defeats.
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The Best Betting Odds for Jacob Fearnley v Fabio Fognini Match
Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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1.44 | 2.75 |
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1.44 | 2.7 |
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1.38 | 2.8 |
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1.42 | 2.7 |
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1.45 | 2.77 |
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Who will win the Jacob Fearnley vs Fabio Fognini Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Jacob Fearnley vs Fabio Fognini match is: Jacob Fearnley wins the match in three sets.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Jacob Fearnley vs Fabio Fognini game on 08/05/2025 of the current ATP Italian Open season:
- Jacob Fearnley has a 65.39% chance to win against Fabio Fognini according to BC Game ⭐ with the odds of 1.47.
- Fabio Fognini has a 34.61% probability of winning facing Jacob Fearnley ⭐ with odds of 2.85 at Tonybet.
Jacob Fearnley vs Fabio Fognini Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Jacob Fearnley has a 65.39 % chance to win.
Prediction | Chance to win |
---|---|
Jacob Fearnley | 65.39 % |
Fabio Fognini | 34.61 % |
Jacob Fearnley vs Fabio Fognini Form
Jacob Fearnley and Fabio Fognini Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
28 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
26 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
24 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
22 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
21 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
17 Apr 2025 - ATP Barcelona
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
29 Apr 2025 - Mauthausen, Austria, Qualifying
23 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
22 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
21 Apr 2025 - ATP Mutua Madrid Open
7 Apr 2025 - ATP Monte Carlo Masters
31 Mar 2025 - ATP Grand Prix Hassan II
Jacob Fearnley - Fabio Fognini Key Points
- Fognini has lost seven of his last 10 fixtures.
- Fearnley has lost only four of his last 13 matches.
- Fearnley dropped at least a set in six of 10 matches.
- In his last seven matches on clay, Fognini lost five times.
- Fognini lost his last three main draw matches at the tour level.
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Our Jacob Fearnley vs Fabio Fognini Prediction
Fearnley doesn’t command as much experience as Fognini, but he makes up for it with youthful energy. The two are aged 14 years apart, and Fearnley has the advantage, being on a consistent recent run.
He has four wins in his last five matches, while Fognini comes into the match having lost seven of nine. He also suffered straight defeats in his last three main draw matches in ATP events. Our prediction for Jacob Fearnley v Fabio Fognini is that Jacob Fearnley wins the match in three sets.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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