Italy vs Spain Prediction & Betting Tips - Euro
Europe - Euro
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by Steve Ashfield | in Euro Predictions
Italy and Spain are set to face off in what has been billed a final before the final at the Euro 2020. This semi final clash is a repeat of the 2012 final when the two nations met and Spain thrashed Italy 4-0. Four players who made the squad in that game nine years ago are still active – Italy have Leonardo Bonucci, Giorgio Chiellini and Salvatore Sirigu, while Sergio Busquets is still doing the business for Spain. This is set to be one epic game. Italy are coming from a 2-1 win over Belgium and have so far been the best team at this competition, conceding just two goals so far. The only setback against Belgium, apart from failing to keep a clean sheet, would be the loss of Leonardo Spinazzola to injury. The Roma defender isn’t expected to be back in time for the semifinal. Italy have won each of their matches at this competition; their win over Belgium was their 13th straight, and 33rd straight unbeaten outing. The fact that they managed to do their business in 90 minutes should give them an advantage over a Spain side that had to go all the way to penalties. Italy haven’t scored as many goals as Spain in this competition but have been able to finish off opponents with an incisive attack and sturdy defending. Rarely have they been under threat, as even when conceding, they were already two goals in the lead.
Spain may be among the last four, but they have struggled a lot to kill off matches in this competition, even when dominating possession. The only time they had a semblance of comfort was in their 5-0 win over Slovakia in their final group game. They did score five against Croatia as well, but they had very shaky moments as the Croats came from 3-1 down to draw 3-3 and send the game to extra time. The weight of going to extra time in their last two matches will for sure weigh in here, and especially having gone all the way to penalties against Switzerland in their last game. Spain took the lead via an own goal against the Swiss but still struggled to add to it, and after Switzerland’s equalizer they were reduced to 10 men with 13 minutes to go but still Spain struggled to break them down. They needed the lottery of penalties to break the tie, and they will find it hard against this inspired Italian side. While they have very talented forwards and a creative band of midfielders, Spain have suffered from wastefulness in attack and any more of such at this stage will be punished by this Italian side.
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Italy vs Spain Form
Italy and Spain Last Matches
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Jul 2021 - Euro
26 Jun 2021 - Euro
20 Jun 2021 - Euro
16 Jun 2021 - Euro
11 Jun 2021 - Euro
4 Jun 2021 - International Friendlies
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Jun 2021 - Euro
20 Jun 2021 - Euro
16 Jun 2021 - Euro
4 Jun 2021 - International Friendlies
28 May 2021 - International Friendlies
25 Mar 2021 - World Cup
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Jul 2021 - Euro
11 Jun 2021 - Euro
31 Mar 2021 - World Cup
28 Mar 2021 - World Cup
18 Nov 2020 - UEFA Nations League
11 Oct 2020 - UEFA Nations League
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Jul 2021 - Euro
28 Jun 2021 - Euro
23 Jun 2021 - Euro
19 Jun 2021 - Euro
14 Jun 2021 - Euro
4 Jun 2021 - International Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Jun 2021 - Euro
14 Jun 2021 - Euro
4 Jun 2021 - International Friendlies
31 Mar 2021 - World Cup
25 Mar 2021 - World Cup
17 Nov 2020 - UEFA Nations League
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Jul 2021 - Euro
28 Jun 2021 - Euro
23 Jun 2021 - Euro
28 Mar 2021 - World Cup
14 Nov 2020 - UEFA Nations League
11 Nov 2020 - International Friendlies
Italy vs Spain Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
50 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
2 Sept 2017 - World Cup
6 Oct 2016 - World Cup
Italy against Spain Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Substitutes
A. Meret
S. Sirigu
DefenderA. Florenzi
A. Bastoni
F. Acerbi
R. Toloi
B. Cristante
M. Locatelli
M. Pessina
F. Bernardeschi
D. Berardi
A. Belotti
R. Sanchez
D. De Gea
DefenderD. Llorente
J. Gaya
M. Llorente
P. Torres
F. Ruiz
Rodri
Thiago
A. Traore
A. Morata
G. Moreno
Most goals and assists
Italy
Spain
C. Immobile
(2 Goals)
,
L. Insigne
(2 Goals)
,
M. Locatelli
(2 Goals)
,
M. Pessina
(2 Goals)
,
F. Chiesa
(2 Goals)
A. Morata
(3 Goals)
M. Verratti
(2 Assists)
D. Olmo
(3 Assists)
Italy - Spain Key Points
- Italy have five wins in five in this competition.
- Spain have two outright wins at Euro 2020
- Italy have conceded just two goals in the five matches at Euro 2020
- Spain have conceded five goals in the five matches at Euro 2020
- Italy have 12 clean sheets in their last 15 matches.
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Our Italy vs Spain Prediction
Italy have a great run and they haven’t disappointed after going into each of their matches as favorites at this competition. They have five straight wins here, and 13 overall, while they are unbeaten in 33. They are very strong at the back, with 12 clean sheets in 15 matches while Spain are prone to mistakes and have a rather wasteful attack. Spain’s conversion rate has left a lot to be desired, despite the creativity in their midfield and they meet an Italy defence in a not so generous mood. Based on form ahead of this game, we are backing Italy to win.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
