Italy vs Portugal Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League

Europe - UEFA Nations League

Italy
17/11/2018 14:45
Portugal

Prediction :

 

Less than 2.5 goals

 
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 by Steve Ashfield | in UEFA Nations League Predictions

Italy know their job in this home UEFA Nations League game against Portugal. They have to win this match to maintain any hope of winning this group, anything less will mean Portugal are the group winners with one match to play. The Italians have four points from their first three games, two points behind Portugal who have a game in hand. Poland are already doomed to finish bottom and be relegated to League B, so Italy know they can give it their all in this game. The problem is they aren't in good form and have only won two of their last 11 games, beating Saudi Arabia and winning away in Poland in this group and that was with a 92nd minute winner. Goals are a big problem for them and they have only managed to score twice in a game, once in the last 15 games and none in the last six.

Portugal only need to avoid defeat here and even if they were beaten, would only need to beat Poland at home on Sunday to win the group. They will again be without Cristiano Ronaldo but haven't missed him that much with three wins and a draw so far this season. They have only lost two of their last 20 games and have won their last two games against Italy which is a big improvement considering they had lost the previous ten. Italy have gone 13 home games without defeat but the lack of goals and poor form makes it hard to back them to win. Go for under 2.5 goals to be scored in the game.

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Italy vs Portugal Form

Italy and Portugal's standings in the UEFA Nations League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1 Portugal
8 4 2 2 0 +2
2 Italy
5 4 1 2 1 0

Italy and Portugal Last Matches

Italy
Italy Last matches
L D D L D W
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
67% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

14 Oct 2018 - UEFA Nations League

Poland
0 :  1
Italy

10 Oct 2018 - International Friendlies

Italy
1 :  1
Ukraine

10 Sept 2018 - UEFA Nations League

Portugal
1 :  0
Italy

7 Sept 2018 - UEFA Nations League

Italy
1 :  1
Poland

4 Jun 2018 - International Friendlies

Italy
1 :  1
Netherlands

1 Jun 2018 - International Friendlies

France
3 :  1
Italy
D W W D D D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

10 Oct 2018 - International Friendlies

Italy
1 :  1
Ukraine

7 Sept 2018 - UEFA Nations League

Italy
1 :  1
Poland

4 Jun 2018 - International Friendlies

Italy
1 :  1
Netherlands

28 May 2018 - International Friendlies

Italy
2 :  1
Saudi Arabia

23 Mar 2018 - International Friendlies

Italy
2 :  0
Argentina

13 Nov 2017 - World Cup

Italy
0 :  0
Sweden
W L D L L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

14 Oct 2018 - UEFA Nations League

Poland
0 :  1
Italy

10 Sept 2018 - UEFA Nations League

Portugal
1 :  0
Italy

1 Jun 2018 - International Friendlies

France
3 :  1
Italy

27 Mar 2018 - International Friendlies

England
1 :  1
Italy

10 Nov 2017 - World Cup

Sweden
1 :  0
Italy

9 Oct 2017 - World Cup

Albania
0 :  1
Italy
Portugal
Portugal Last matches
D L D W W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

14 Oct 2018 - International Friendlies

Scotland
1 :  3
Portugal

11 Oct 2018 - UEFA Nations League

Poland
2 :  3
Portugal

10 Sept 2018 - UEFA Nations League

Portugal
1 :  0
Italy

6 Sept 2018 - International Friendlies

Portugal
1 :  1
Croatia

30 Jun 2018 - World Cup

Uruguay
2 :  1
Portugal

25 Jun 2018 - World Cup

Iran
1 :  1
Portugal
D W D W D W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

10 Sept 2018 - UEFA Nations League

Portugal
1 :  0
Italy

6 Sept 2018 - International Friendlies

Portugal
1 :  1
Croatia

20 Jun 2018 - World Cup

Portugal
1 :  0
Morocco

15 Jun 2018 - World Cup

Portugal
3 :  3
Spain

7 Jun 2018 - International Friendlies

Portugal
3 :  0
Algeria

28 May 2018 - International Friendlies

Portugal
2 :  2
Tunisia
W D D L W W
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

14 Oct 2018 - International Friendlies

Scotland
1 :  3
Portugal

11 Oct 2018 - UEFA Nations League

Poland
2 :  3
Portugal

30 Jun 2018 - World Cup

Uruguay
2 :  1
Portugal

25 Jun 2018 - World Cup

Iran
1 :  1
Portugal

2 Jun 2018 - International Friendlies

Belgium
0 :  0
Portugal

26 Mar 2018 - International Friendlies

Netherlands
0 :  3
Portugal

Italy vs Portugal Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Italy

0 %

Draw

0 %

Portugal

100 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

1
Total goals
0%
BTTS
0
Goals scored
1
Goals conceded
0%
Over 2.5
100%
Under 2.5

10 Sept 2018 - UEFA Nations League

Portugal
1 :  0
Italy

Italy against Portugal Lineups: Starting 11

Italy

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

22
G. Donnarumma
16
A. Florenzi
19
L. Bonucci
3
G. Chiellini
4
C. Biraghi
6
M. Verratti
8
Jorginho
18
N. Barella
14
F. Chiesa
17
C. Immobile
10
L. Insigne
11
B. Silva
23
A. Silva
7
Bruma
18
R. Neves
14
W. Carvalho
20
Pizzi
19
M. Rui
6
J. Fonte
3
R. Dias
2
J. Cancelo
1
R. Patricio

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Portugal

Substitutes

Italy
Italy
Goalkeeper

A. Cragno

S. Sirigu

Defender

Emerson

F. Acerbi

M. De Sciglio

D. Rugani

Midfielder

R. Gagliardini

V. Grifo

L. Pellegrini

M. Verratti 81'

Forward

M. Politano

D. Berardi

F. Chiesa 87'

K. Lasagna

C. Immobile 74'

Portugal
Portugal
Goalkeeper

B. Pimparel

Defender

L. Neto

Cedric

R. Guerreiro

Bruma 85'

D. Pereira

A. Silva 90'

Midfielder

B. Fernandes

R. Sanches

Joao Mario

Pizzi 68'

Forward

Eder

G. Guedes

R. Silva

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Italy
CD Huachipato Portugal
Top Goalscorer
Italy Jorginho (1 Goals)
Italy C. Biraghi (1 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Portugal A. Silva (3 Goals) Portugal Cristiano Ronaldo (3 Goals)
Best assists
Italy K. Lasagna (1 Assists)
Best assists
Portugal B. Silva (2 Assists)

Italy - Portugal Key Points

  1. Six of the last seven Italy home games have had under 2.5 goals scored in them.
  2. Italy have only managed to score twice in a game once in the last 15 games and not at all in the last six.
  3. The last two games played between these two sides have both ended 1-0.
  4. Three of the last four Italy home games against Portugal have had under 2.5 goals scored in them.
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Our Italy vs Portugal Prediction

Italy have to go out and try to win this game but their form isn't good and hasn't been for a fair while.  They struggle for goals but still have a good home record despite all their problems. Portugal know a draw will be enough to win them the group and the tip here is to go for under 2.5 goals in the game.

Prediction :

 

Less than 2.5 goals

 
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Italy vs Portugal Prediction