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15 November 2020 - 14:45 

- Day 5

Europe - UEFA Nations League

Italy
VS
Poland

Prediction :

Italy wins the match

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Italy vs Poland Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League

 by Daniel Ngulu | in UEFA Nations League Prediction

Italy and Poland are the top dogs in Group 1 of League A and a tough battle is expected in Italy when the two nations face off on Match Day 5 of the Nations League. Italy tops the group on seven points and Poland are second with six. The two sides had winning outings in friendly matches ahead of this game and either side will be hoping to be top of the group after this clash. The tight nature of this group may shake it up greatly should these sides draw. Italy are coming from a 4-0 win over Estonia in a friendly match, which handed them their 20th straight unbeaten outing, with 15 wins therein. They have won three of their last five matches and have four clean sheets therein. Since their loss to France at home in 2016, Italy have not suffered a home loss in 24 straight matches and have found their gloss back after missing the 2018 World Cup. They head here with seven clean sheets in 11 home matches and have scored in each of their last 10 home games. In the Nations League, Italy have some improvement to make though; they have two wins and four draws in the last six matches in the competition. They have never scored more than a goal in their eight Nations League matches, and in three they have failed to score completely. At home, they have failed to win any of their four Nations League matches – all have ended in draws.

Poland, on the other hand, are coming from a 2-0 win over Ukraine in a friendly and this is the form they will want to carry to Italy. Unbeaten in the last five matches, with four wins in there, they will feel confident enough to take on this challenge. They have three straight clean sheets and have scored 12 goals in the last five matches. The only time Poland failed to score in their last five matches, it was against Italy, a game that ended 0-0. Poland heads here unbeaten in the last three Nations League games with two wins therein and have failed to score in three of their eight Nations League games, just like Italy. Away from home, they have one win in four Nations League games and with no clean sheet in the four. While it has been a good run recently for the Poles, head to head form with Italy doesn’t favor them here, having won just one of their last seven meetings with Italy. They have also failed to score in five of the seven matches against Italy, while keeping just two clean sheets.

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Italy vs Poland Form

Italy and Poland's standings in the UEFA Nations League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1
Italy
Italy
12 6 3 3 0 5
3
Poland
Poland
7 6 2 1 3 0

Italy and Poland Last Matches

Italy
Italy Last matches
D W W D D W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
2.5
BTTS
33%
Goals scored
2.17
Goals conceded
0.33
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5
67%

11 Nov 2020 - International Friendlies

Italy
4 :  0
Estonia

14 Oct 2020 - UEFA Nations League

Italy
1 :  1
Netherlands

11 Oct 2020 - UEFA Nations League

Poland
0 :  0
Italy

7 Oct 2020 - International Friendlies

Italy
6 :  0
Moldova

7 Sep 2020 - UEFA Nations League

Netherlands
0 :  1
Italy

4 Sep 2020 - UEFA Nations League

Italy
1 :  1
Bosnia Herzegovina
Poland
Poland Last matches
L W W D W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

Total goals
2.5
BTTS
33%
Goals scored
2
Goals conceded
0.5
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5
50%

11 Nov 2020 - International Friendlies

Poland
2 :  0
Ukraine

14 Oct 2020 - UEFA Nations League

Poland
3 :  0
Bosnia Herzegovina

11 Oct 2020 - UEFA Nations League

Poland
0 :  0
Italy

7 Oct 2020 - International Friendlies

Poland
5 :  1
Finland

7 Sep 2020 - UEFA Nations League

Bosnia Herzegovina
1 :  2
Poland

4 Sep 2020 - UEFA Nations League

Netherlands
1 :  0
Poland

Italy against Poland : Head to Head (H2H)

Italy

33 %

Draw

67 %

Poland

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

Total goals
1
BTTS
33%
Goals scored (Team 1)
0.67
Goals scored (Team 2)
0.33
Over 2.5
0%
Under 2.5
100%

11 Oct 2020 - UEFA Nations League

Poland
0 :  0
Italy

14 Oct 2018 - UEFA Nations League

Poland
0 :  1
Italy

7 Sep 2018 - UEFA Nations League

Italy
1 :  1
Poland
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Italy against Poland Lineups: Starting 11

Italy

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

21
G. Donnarumma
16
A. Florenzi
15
F. Acerbi
19
A. Bastoni
3
Emerson
18
N. Barella
8
Jorginho
5
M. Locatelli
20
F. Bernardeschi
9
A. Belotti
10
L. Insigne
9
R. Lewandowski
21
K. Jozwiak
8
K. Linetty
19
S. Szymanski
17
J. Moder
10
G. Krychowiak
16
A. Reca
5
J. Bednarek
15
K. Glik
18
B. Bereszynski
1
W. Szczesny

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Poland

Italy - Poland Key Points

  1. Italy are unbeaten in 24 home matches.
  2. Poland are unbeaten in the last five matches.
  3. Italy have seven clean sheets in 11 home matches.
  4. Italy have 15 wins and five draws in their last 20 matches.
  5. Poland have failed to score in five of seven matches against Italy.
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Our Italy vs Poland Prediction

Italy have found their mojo after missing the 2018 World Cup and they have been in blistering form at home. They have dominated Poland in past matches and this will give them a psychological edge here. With a run of 20 unbeaten matches and 24 unbeaten at home, Italy will look at this as a chance to extend their lead in the group. They have seven clean sheets in 11 home matches, and will only need an improvement on their attacking in Nations League matches. They have failed to score more than one in their eight Nations League games so far, but facing a Poland side without a clean sheet in four away Nations League matches presents an opportunity for Italy. Poland may be underdogs here, but with a run of five matches unbeaten, they come with good quality. However, they have just one win in four away Nations League matches and Italy may not be the best hunting ground as they look to address that shortcoming. With their run against Italy, and especially in goal scoring, we don’t think they will prevail here, and a win for Italy seems likeliest.

Prediction :

Italy wins the match

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Italy vs Poland Prediction

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