Italy vs Germany Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League
by Daniel Ngulu | in UEFA Nations League Prediction
A big battle is in the offing as Italy prepares to host Germany in League A, Group 3 of the UEFA Nations League. Any point in this group will be worth the fight, with England and Hungary also pooled here. Italy have a lot to prove here; they are playing this game on the back of a second straight failure to qualify for the World Cup, but at the same time, they are the European champions. They advanced to the finals in the last Nations League competition but could only finish third despite playing at home. They go into this game having beaten Turkey 3-2 in a friendly match in their last outing. That was Italy’s third win in 10 matches; they don’t take to this clash a very strong run, having managed one win in the last four games. In their last six matches, they have one clean sheet only and the same is the case in their last six home matches. Italy have two wins in six home games, the most comfortable being the 5-0 win over Lithuania.
Germany on the other hand, have been a different side since their 2-0 defeat to England which also saw them eliminated from the 2020 European Championships. They haven’t lost since, going unbeaten in nine matches and they are among teams that booked their 2022 World Cup very early. In six of their last nine matches, they have kept clean sheets and in eight of those nine matches, they have scored two or more goals. In their last five away matches, Germany have only drawn with the Netherlands; they won each of the earlier four, and scored two or more goals in the four games. Their form in the Nations League has however been patchy; the last time they played in this competition they were smacked 6-0 by Spain. Times have changed definitely and we don’t foresee them suffering such a heavy loss in the near future, but they need to improve on their away run in this competition. In the last five away matches in the Nations League, they have one win.
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The Best Betting Odds for Italy v Germany Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.8 | 3.75 | 1.85 |
|
|
3.95 | 3.65 | 1.9 |
|
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Who will win the Italy vs Germany Football match?
The best predictions and winner betting odds for the match between Italy and Germany of UEFA Nations League on 6/4/22 :
- There is a probability of % ⭐ for Italy to win this match against Germany ⚽ with odds of 3.95 found at NetBet.
- Bet365 ⭐ has the best odds for a draw prediction ⚽️ at 3.75 which implies a probability of %.
- Currently, the best odds ⭐ for Germany to win the match are about 1.9 at NetBet. That means a probability of %.
Italy - Germany Prediction and Best Odds:
| Italy vs Germany prediction | Win Probability | Best Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Italy is favoured to win | % | 3.95 |
| Draw | % | 3.75 |
| Germany wins the game | % | 1.9 |
Italy vs Germany Form
Italy and Germany's standings in the UEFA Nations League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
|
3
|
7 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 |
Italy and Germany Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Jun 2022 - Finalissima 2022
29 Mar 2022 - International Friendlies
24 Mar 2022 - World Cup
15 Nov 2021 - World Cup
12 Nov 2021 - World Cup
10 Oct 2021 - UEFA Nations League
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Mar 2022 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2022 - International Friendlies
14 Nov 2021 - World Cup
11 Nov 2021 - World Cup
11 Oct 2021 - World Cup
8 Oct 2021 - World Cup
Italy against Germany : Head to Head (H2H)
15 Nov 2016 - International Friendlies
Italy against Germany Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
I. Provedel
G. Promel
Italy - Germany Key Points
- Italy have three wins in their last 10 matches.
- Italy have one clean sheet in the last six matches.
- Germany have one loss in 10 matches.
- Germany have scored two or more goals in eight of their last nine games.
- Germany have six clean sheets in their last 10 matches.
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Our Italy vs Germany Prediction
Italy’s last win over Germany was in the 2012 European Championships. After that they have met four times and Germany have one win, with three ending in draws. Going into this game, Germany will be keen on extending this unbeaten run against Italy. They have also done well in their recent games and will be favorites here, even though they play away from home. Back Germany to win this.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
