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Italy vs Georgia Prediction & Betting Tips - EuroBasket

Europe - EuroBasket

Italy
30/08/2025 08:00
Georgia

Prediction :

 

Mamukelashvili Over 16.5 Points

 
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 by Geoffrey Ejiga | in EuroBasket Predictions

Italy faces Georgia in a crucial Eurobasket matchup where both teams are looking to build momentum after contrasting opening results in the tournament. The Italians are licking their wounds from their 75-66 defeat to Greece and need a positive response, while Georgia come in riding high after their 83-69 victory over Spain that announced their arrival on the big stage. Discover our best Italy vs Georgia match prediction below.

Georgia's confidence should be sky-high after that impressive opening win, and much of their success can be traced to Alexander "Sandro" Mamukelashvili's outstanding individual form. His 19-point performance against Spain continued a remarkable scoring streak.

Since returning to international duty, he's been consistently productive, posting 22 points against Czechia in their friendly before backing that up with another 19 points against Spain. And Italy's defensive struggles only make it more likely that he'll clear his line. 

Italy’s loss to Greece highlighted some concerning trends that have been developing over their last few outings. They've been allowing 75+ points in four of their last five games, which creates exactly the kind of environment where skilled scorers can thrive. Mamukelashvili has shown he can exploit these situations effectively, clearing 16.5 points in three of his last four games across all competitions.

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The Best Betting Odds for Italy v Georgia Match

Bookmaker 1 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.43 2.9
William Hill
1.4 2.75
Betway
1.4 2.9
Ladbrokes
1.4 2.7
Unibet
1.42 2.85
Check all Italy vs Georgia odds
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Who will win the Italy vs Georgia Basketball game?

Our prediction for the Italy vs Georgia match is: Mamukelashvili Over 16.5 Points.

The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Italy vs Georgia game on 30/08/2025 of the current EuroBasket season:

  • Italy has a 58.9% chance to pick up the win against Georgia according to Bwin ⭐ with the odds of 1.44.
  • There is a probability of 41.1% ⭐ for Georgia to win vs Italy with odds of 2.9 at Bet365.

Italy vs Georgia Form

Italy and Georgia's standings in the EuroBasket

Teams Pts P W L Series
2
Georgia
Georgia
2 1 1 0 1
4
Italy
Italy
1 1 0 1 -1

Italy and Georgia Last Matches

Italy
Italy Last matches
W W W L L L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

28 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket

Greece
75 :  66
Italy

22 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Greece
76 :  74
Italy

21 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Latvia
83 :  68
Italy

14 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Italy
84 :  72
Argentina

9 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Italy
91 :  75
Latvia

2 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Italy
87 :  61
Iceland
W L L W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

14 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Italy
84 :  72
Argentina

9 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Italy
91 :  75
Latvia

2 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Italy
87 :  61
Iceland

23 Feb 2025 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Italy
67 :  71
Hungary

25 Nov 2024 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Italy
74 :  81
Iceland

22 Feb 2024 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Italy
87 :  80
Turkiye
W W W L L L
Wins

3/6 (50%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

28 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket

Greece
75 :  66
Italy

22 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Greece
76 :  74
Italy

21 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Latvia
83 :  68
Italy

20 Feb 2025 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Turkiye
67 :  80
Italy

22 Nov 2024 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Iceland
71 :  95
Italy

1 Sep 2023 - Basketball World Cup

Serbia
76 :  78
Italy
Georgia
Georgia Last matches
W L L L L W
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

28 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket

Georgia
83 :  69
Spain

21 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Czechia
100 :  87
Georgia

14 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Poland
94 :  89
Georgia

10 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Lithuania
77 :  54
Georgia

24 Feb 2025 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Serbia
63 :  54
Georgia

21 Feb 2025 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Georgia
62 :  60
Denmark
L L W W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

28 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket

Georgia
83 :  69
Spain

21 Feb 2025 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Georgia
62 :  60
Denmark

24 Nov 2024 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Georgia
81 :  64
Finland

30 Aug 2023 - Basketball World Cup

Georgia
70 :  59
Venezuela

28 Aug 2023 - Basketball World Cup

Georgia
67 :  88
Slovenia

7 Sep 2022 - EuroBasket

Georgia
73 :  81
Montenegro
L W L L L L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

21 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Czechia
100 :  87
Georgia

14 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Poland
94 :  89
Georgia

10 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games

Lithuania
77 :  54
Georgia

24 Feb 2025 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Serbia
63 :  54
Georgia

21 Nov 2024 - European Championship, Qualification Group G

Finland
83 :  90
Georgia

3 Sep 2023 - Basketball World Cup

Australia
100 :  84
Georgia

Italy - Georgia Key Points

  1. Mamukelashvili has cleared this line in both games since returning to international duty, scoring 22 against Czechia and 19 against Spain.
  2. Mamukelashvili has scored 17+ points in three of his last four FIBA Eurobasket games and in four of his last six appearances.
  3. In all competitions, Mamukelashvili has cleared 16.5 points in three of his last four games while reaching double figures in all four.
  4. Italy has conceded 75+ points in four of their last five games, showing defensive vulnerability.
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Our Italy vs Georgia Prediction

Individual confidence can be everything in tournament basketball, and Mamukelashvili arrives at this game with his shooting touch perfectly tuned. His recent return to international duty has been stellar, averaging 20+ points already. 

Georgia's impressive win over Spain should give their entire team belief, but Mamukelashvili in particular looked comfortable operating in that game. And with Italy's defensive issues providing the ideal backdrop for him to continue that form, Mamukelashvili should easily clear his points line. Hence, our Italy vs Georgia prediction is Mamukelashvili Over 16.5 Points.

Prediction :

 

Mamukelashvili Over 16.5 Points

 
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Use £/€50 free bets for the Italy vs. Georgia game!

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Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Italy and Georgia? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Italy vs Georgia Prediction
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