Europe - EuroBasket
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by Geoffrey Ejiga | in EuroBasket Predictions
Italy faces Georgia in a crucial Eurobasket matchup where both teams are looking to build momentum after contrasting opening results in the tournament. The Italians are licking their wounds from their 75-66 defeat to Greece and need a positive response, while Georgia come in riding high after their 83-69 victory over Spain that announced their arrival on the big stage. Discover our best Italy vs Georgia match prediction below.
Georgia's confidence should be sky-high after that impressive opening win, and much of their success can be traced to Alexander "Sandro" Mamukelashvili's outstanding individual form. His 19-point performance against Spain continued a remarkable scoring streak.
Since returning to international duty, he's been consistently productive, posting 22 points against Czechia in their friendly before backing that up with another 19 points against Spain. And Italy's defensive struggles only make it more likely that he'll clear his line.
Italy’s loss to Greece highlighted some concerning trends that have been developing over their last few outings. They've been allowing 75+ points in four of their last five games, which creates exactly the kind of environment where skilled scorers can thrive. Mamukelashvili has shown he can exploit these situations effectively, clearing 16.5 points in three of his last four games across all competitions.
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The Best Betting Odds for Italy v Georgia Match
Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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1.43 | 2.9 |
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1.4 | 2.75 |
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1.4 | 2.9 |
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1.4 | 2.7 |
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1.42 | 2.85 |
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Who will win the Italy vs Georgia Basketball game?
Our prediction for the Italy vs Georgia match is: Mamukelashvili Over 16.5 Points.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Italy vs Georgia game on 30/08/2025 of the current EuroBasket season:
- Italy has a 58.9% chance to pick up the win against Georgia according to Bwin ⭐ with the odds of 1.44.
- There is a probability of 41.1% ⭐ for Georgia to win vs Italy with odds of 2.9 at Bet365.
Italy vs Georgia Form
Italy and Georgia's standings in the EuroBasket
Teams | Pts | P | W | L | Series |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2
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2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
4
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1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -1 |
Italy and Georgia Last Matches

3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
28 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket
22 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games
21 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games
14 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games
9 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games
2 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
14 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games
9 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games
2 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games
23 Feb 2025 - European Championship, Qualification Group G
25 Nov 2024 - European Championship, Qualification Group G
22 Feb 2024 - European Championship, Qualification Group G
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
28 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket
22 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games
21 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games
20 Feb 2025 - European Championship, Qualification Group G
22 Nov 2024 - European Championship, Qualification Group G
1 Sep 2023 - Basketball World Cup

2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
28 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket
21 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games
14 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games
10 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games
24 Feb 2025 - European Championship, Qualification Group G
21 Feb 2025 - European Championship, Qualification Group G
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
28 Aug 2025 - EuroBasket
21 Feb 2025 - European Championship, Qualification Group G
24 Nov 2024 - European Championship, Qualification Group G
30 Aug 2023 - Basketball World Cup
28 Aug 2023 - Basketball World Cup
7 Sep 2022 - EuroBasket
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
21 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games
14 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games
10 Aug 2025 - International Friendly Games
24 Feb 2025 - European Championship, Qualification Group G
21 Nov 2024 - European Championship, Qualification Group G
3 Sep 2023 - Basketball World Cup
Italy - Georgia Key Points
- Mamukelashvili has cleared this line in both games since returning to international duty, scoring 22 against Czechia and 19 against Spain.
- Mamukelashvili has scored 17+ points in three of his last four FIBA Eurobasket games and in four of his last six appearances.
- In all competitions, Mamukelashvili has cleared 16.5 points in three of his last four games while reaching double figures in all four.
- Italy has conceded 75+ points in four of their last five games, showing defensive vulnerability.
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Our Italy vs Georgia Prediction
Individual confidence can be everything in tournament basketball, and Mamukelashvili arrives at this game with his shooting touch perfectly tuned. His recent return to international duty has been stellar, averaging 20+ points already.
Georgia's impressive win over Spain should give their entire team belief, but Mamukelashvili in particular looked comfortable operating in that game. And with Italy's defensive issues providing the ideal backdrop for him to continue that form, Mamukelashvili should easily clear his points line. Hence, our Italy vs Georgia prediction is Mamukelashvili Over 16.5 Points.
Use £/€50 free bets for the Italy vs. Georgia game!
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Try your luck on this year's EuroBasket! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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