Italy vs Australia Prediction & Betting Tips - Women's World Cup
World - Women's World Cup
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by Ita Emmanuel | in Women's World Cup Predictions
This 2026 FIBA Women's World Cup Round of 16 clash sees 14th-ranked Italy square off against World No. 3 and Asian champions Australia. Italy have lost two of their three World Cup games against higher-ranked opponents and are likely to struggle against Australia, who won two of their three fixtures by comfortable margins. Hence, our prediction backs Australia to cover the handicap.
Italy opened their 2026 FIBA Women's World Cup campaign with a nine-point victory over 17th-ranked Czech Republic and that result would turn out to be their only win in the group stage. Both of their subsequent fixtures against higher-ranked opponents ended in defeat, including a 71–51 defeat to World No. 4 China in their final group game.
While this will be their first competitive meeting with Australia, they have lost three of their four previous friendlies against the reigning FIBA Asia Cup champions.
Australia came off second-best in their final Group C clash against European champions Belgium, losing 80–68. However, back-to-back successes in their opening games, both by impressive margins, were enough to secure their spot in the knockout stages.
Moreover, Sandy Brondello’s team have been in excellent form since 2024. They have won 16 of their last 17 games during that period.
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Italy v Australia Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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3.7 | 1.3 |
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3.16 | 1.36 |
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3.5 | 1.27 |
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3.3 | 1.26 |
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|
3.3 | 1.26 |
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Who will win the Italy vs Australia Basketball game?
Our prediction for the Italy vs Australia match is: Australia –6.5 handicap.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Italy vs Australia game on 09/09/2026 of the current Women's World Cup season:
- Italy has a 36.14% chance to pick up the win against Australia according to Shangrila ⭐ with the odds of 4.
- There is a probability of 63.86% ⭐ for Australia to win vs Italy with odds of 1.36 at 22bet.
Italy vs Australia Form
Italy and Australia Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
7 Sept 2026 - Women's World Cup
6 Sept 2026 - Women's World Cup
4 Sept 2026 - Women's World Cup
28 Aug 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women
21 Aug 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women
16 Aug 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
7 Sept 2026 - Women's World Cup
6 Sept 2026 - Women's World Cup
21 Aug 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women
15 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
11 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
27 Jun 2025 - Eurobasket Women
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
4 Sept 2026 - Women's World Cup
28 Aug 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women
16 Aug 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women
15 Aug 2026 - International Friendly Games, Women
17 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
14 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
7 Sept 2026 - Women's World Cup
6 Sept 2026 - Women's World Cup
4 Sept 2026 - Women's World Cup
17 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
15 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
14 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
4 Sept 2026 - Women's World Cup
17 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
14 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
12 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
19 Jul 2025 - FIBA Asia Cup, Women
13 Jul 2025 - FIBA Asia Cup, Women
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
7 Sept 2026 - Women's World Cup
6 Sept 2026 - Women's World Cup
15 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
11 Mar 2026 - FIBA World Cup Qualification, Women, Belgrade A
20 Jul 2025 - FIBA Asia Cup, Women
15 Jul 2025 - FIBA Asia Cup, Women
Players list
M. Villa
C. Verona
C. Zandalasini
L. Cubaj
I. Borlase
J. Melbourne
S. Talbot
I. Bourne
Substitutes
V. Blasigh
F. Pasa
S. Reid
M. Goodchild
A. Smith
C. Bibby
Italy - Australia Key Points
- Italy have suffered heavy defeats in two of their three World Cup games.
- Italy are 1–3 against Australia.
- Australia have won two of their three World Cup games by impressive margins.
- Australia have won 16 of their last 17 games.
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Our Italy vs Australia Prediction
Italy’s only win at this World Cup came against lower-ranked Czech Republic, with both of their subsequent outings against higher-ranked opponents ending in defeat. We are not expecting much from them against an Australia side that sits 11 places above them in the world rankings.
Meanwhile, Australia have been difficult to beat since 2024 and have won two of their three games in the World Cup by convincing margins. They will also draw confidence from their superior head-to-head record against Italy while looking to ace this contest. Our Italy vs Australia prediction: Australia –6.5 handicap.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
