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by Kennedy Kechula | in World Cup Predictions
Israel will play host to Italy in their next 2026 World Cup qualifier as both nations look to end their absence from the global showpiece. Battling in Group I, a playoff place looks like the realistic target for these two, as Norway maintain a firm grip at the top. Read on to find our prediction for the match.
As playing in Israel remains risky, the hosts will take this game to Hungary. Israel are in a great position to qualify for the World Cup for their first time in five decades, as they’ve had a good run so far.
They enter this game off the back of a 4-0 win against Moldova, which ensured they stay second, three points ahead of Italy and three behind Norway.
Gennaro Gattuso started his reign as Italy coach with a 5-0 win against Estonia. The four-time world champions will want to keep the momentum, as defeat here would be detrimental.
They’ve missed the last two World Cup finals, and Gattuso is the man trusted to end that spell. The Italians come here with a game in hand and looking to make the most of it.
A win will move them to the playoff position, and they’ll be positive about this, having beaten Israel in each of their last four meetings. A side in transition, Italy have won just two of their last six matches, but they’ll be the favorites here.
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The Best Betting Odds for Israel v Italy Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7.5 | 5 | 1.38 |
|
|
8 | 5 | 1.36 |
|
|
7 | 4.8 | 1.36 |
|
|
6 | 5 | 1.36 |
|
|
7.5 | 5.3 | 1.35 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Israel and Italy?
Our prediction for the Israel vs Italy match is: Italy to win and over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 08/09/2025 between Israel and Italy in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 32.5% for a win of Israel against Italy with odds of 8 at Betfred.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Israel vs Italy is 10.37% with odds of 5.3 at Unibet.
- Our prediction model gives a 57.13% chance ⭐ for a win of Italy vs Israel with odds of 1.41 at LSbet.
Israel - Italy Prediction and Best Odds:
| Israel Italy Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Italy wins | 57.13% | 1.41 at LSbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 66.13% | 1.5 at Bwin |
| Both Team To Score | 57.29% | 1.75 at Bet365 |
| Half-time / Full-time: Italy/Italy | 26.23% | 2 at Ladbrokes |
Israel vs Italy Form
Israel and Italy's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
15 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 10 |
|
3
|
9 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -4 |
Israel and Italy Last Matches
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sept 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
6 Jun 2025 - World Cup
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
22 Mar 2025 - World Cup
17 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jun 2025 - International Friendlies
25 Mar 2025 - World Cup
22 Mar 2025 - World Cup
17 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
10 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
9 Sept 2024 - UEFA Nations League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sept 2025 - World Cup
6 Jun 2025 - World Cup
14 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
14 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
6 Sept 2024 - UEFA Nations League
11 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sept 2025 - World Cup
9 Jun 2025 - World Cup
6 Jun 2025 - World Cup
23 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
20 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
17 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sept 2025 - World Cup
9 Jun 2025 - World Cup
20 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
17 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
14 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
10 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Jun 2025 - World Cup
23 Mar 2025 - UEFA Nations League
14 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
9 Sept 2024 - UEFA Nations League
6 Sept 2024 - UEFA Nations League
29 Jun 2024 - Euro
Israel vs Italy Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
14 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
9 Sept 2024 - UEFA Nations League
5 Sept 2017 - World Cup
5 Sept 2016 - World Cup
Israel against Italy Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Most goals and assists
Israel
Italy
D. Peretz
(3 Goals)
M. Retegui
(5 Goals)
Israel - Italy Key Points
- Israel’s last five games produced 18 goals.
- Italy are unbeaten in all their seven meetings with Israel.
- Italy scored seven goals in their last two matches.
- Five of Israel’s last eight home matches ended in defeat.
- In the last two meetings between these nations, over 2.5 goals were scored.
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Our Israel vs Italy Prediction
Israel haven't had the privilege to host their matches at home owing to the unrest in the Middle East. In the last eight such games, they lost five times, and meeting an Italy side on the rise is likely to extend their woes. Italy have two straight wins and are unbeaten against Israel.
The former world champions are charged up after their emphatic win against Estonia. The missing spark under Luciano Spalletti is back in Gattuso’s reign, and we expect them to prevail. Our prediction for Israel v Italy is for Italy to win and over 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Israel Italy
| Israel vs Italy | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Israel wins | 8 | 7.5 | -6.3% |
| Draw | 4.5 | 5 | +11.1% |
| Italy wins | 1.4 | 1.38 | -1.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Italy is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 1.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 71.4% and is now 72.5% (1.0%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Israel vs. Italy game!
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Try your luck on this year's World Cup! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
