Nigeria vs Mozambique Prediction & Betting Tips - AFCON
Africa - AFCON
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by Geoffrey Ejiga | in AFCON Predictions
Next up for the Super Eagles in the AFCON is a RO16 game against Mozambique. It's been nothing short of entertainment for Nigeria, one of the only two teams to win all their group games. The question now is, will Nigeria beat The Mambas, or will the snakes get the better of the eagles this time? Read our match prediction below.
Along with Algeria, Nigeria remains the only team with a perfect start for the 2025 AFCON. The Super Eagles are determined to go all the way and win it this time after losing to Ivory Coast in the final of the 2024 edition. The three-time AFCON winners Uganda 3-1 with their second team on the final day, following their 3-2 win over Tunisia and 2-1 opening day victory over Tanzania.
They now eye a quarterfinal spot as they hunt for their first major title since 2013. But a win over Mozambique is first in order. For The Mambas, reaching the RO16 has already been an achievement, after losing two of their three games to Cameroon and Ivory Coast. Their silver lining was a 3-2 win over Gabon, who lost all three group games.
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Nigeria v Mozambique Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.32 | 5.2 | 9.2 |
|
|
1.29 | 5.5 | 10.5 |
|
|
1.3 | 5.5 | 9.7 |
|
|
1.29 | 5.5 | 10 |
|
|
1.31 | 5 | 9 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Nigeria and Mozambique?
Our prediction for the Nigeria vs Mozambique match is: Nigeria Over 1.5 Goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 05/01/2026 between Nigeria and Mozambique in AFCON :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 68.22% for a win of Nigeria against Mozambique with odds of 1.33 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Nigeria vs Mozambique is 15.2% with odds of 5.5 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 16.58% chance ⭐ for a win of Mozambique vs Nigeria with odds of 11 at LSbet.
Nigeria - Mozambique Prediction and Best Odds:
| Nigeria Mozambique Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Nigeria wins | 68.22% | 1.33 at Tonybet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59.61% | 1.89 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 61.9% | 2.2 at LSbet |
| Half-time / Full-time : Nigeria/Nigeria | 32.02% | 1.91 at Bet365 |
Nigeria vs Mozambique Form
Nigeria and Mozambique Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Dec 2025 - AFCON
27 Dec 2025 - AFCON
23 Dec 2025 - AFCON
16 Dec 2025 - International Friendlies
16 Nov 2025 - World Cup
13 Nov 2025 - World Cup
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Dec 2025 - AFCON
23 Dec 2025 - AFCON
16 Nov 2025 - World Cup
13 Nov 2025 - World Cup
14 Oct 2025 - World Cup
6 Sept 2025 - World Cup
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Dec 2025 - AFCON
16 Dec 2025 - International Friendlies
10 Oct 2025 - World Cup
9 Sept 2025 - World Cup
12 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
5 Aug 2025 - African Nations Championship
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Dec 2025 - AFCON
28 Dec 2025 - AFCON
24 Dec 2025 - AFCON
17 Dec 2025 - International Friendlies
17 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
14 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Dec 2025 - AFCON
9 Oct 2025 - World Cup
8 Sept 2025 - World Cup
10 Jun 2025 - COSAFA Cup
7 Jun 2025 - COSAFA Cup
20 Mar 2025 - World Cup
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Dec 2025 - AFCON
24 Dec 2025 - AFCON
17 Dec 2025 - International Friendlies
17 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
14 Nov 2025 - International Friendlies
14 Oct 2025 - World Cup
Nigeria - Mozambique: Form Analysis
Nigeria is arguably the best team in the tournament so far, after having won all three group games. They did so, scoring the most goals in the group stage (8), while creating the most big chances by Round 3.
You can almost feel the anger in their game after failing to qualify for the World Cup in a qualification final loss to DR Congo on penalties.
Even with that defeat, the Nigerian senior team hasn't lost its last 13 games (outside friendlies) by full-time.
Mozambique would be wishing they could say the same. While they made it to the RO16, they only did so thanks to the 3-2 win against Gabon, as they lost the other two games.
That win now marks The Mambas’ first and only victory in their last six games. And in their last 14 senior team games, Mozambique have only won four, while losing eight matches.
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Nigeria against Mozambique Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 1 - 2
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Substitutes
A. Obasogie
F. Uzoho
DefenderO. Igoh
Z. Sanusi
C. Awaziem
MidfielderF. Dele-Bashiru
M. Usman
R. Onyedika
N. Tocukvu
S. Chukwueze
E. Akinsanmiro
S. Lawal
C. Ejuke
M. Simon
P. Onuachu
K. Zavala
I. Urrubal
Infren
E. Dove
MidfielderChamboco
M. Kambala
F. Jone
J. Bonde
K. Abdala
G. Vilanculos
ForwardChamito
O. Oscar
M. Alexandre Garcia
S. Ratifo
Nigeria & Mozambique Squad Analysis
Several players have been widely impressive for the Super Eagles, but Ademola Lookman has been the best so far.
Lookman has four goal contributions, which is the joint-highest in the tournament so far. But his run is the most impressive after having only played the opening two games.
Lookman scored the winner against Tanzania before contributing two assists and a goal against Tunisia in the 3-2 win.
Alongside him is Victor Osimhen, who netted a goal and dropped an assist against Tunisia. That's just the kind of performers you'd expect from two of the past three African Player of the Year winners.
The Mambas also boast a deadly attacker in their ranks who goes by the name Geny Catamo. The Sporting CP man assisted the opener against Gabon, then followed through with the second goal of the game.
Catamo also netted the opening goal against Cameroon, which now puts him at three G/A for the tournament and five in his last four games.
Most goals and assists
Nigeria
Mozambique
A. Lookman
(4 Goals)
,
V. Osimhen
(4 Goals)
G. Catamo
(2 Goals)
A. Lookman
(4 Assists)
W. Quembo
(1 Assists)
,
G. Catamo
(1 Assists)
,
Infren
(1 Assists)
Nigeria - Mozambique Key Points
- Nigeria has scored the second most goals in the 2025 AFCON (8).
- Nigeria scored 2+ goals in all three games (the only team).
- Nigeria has created the second most big chances (15), while playing one game fewer than Senegal, who top that list.
- Mozambique conceded in all three tournament games and 2+ goals in two of those matches.
- Mozambique has conceded 2+ goals in four of their last five games and in eight of their last 12.
- Nigeria has scored 2+ goals in six of its last seven games outside friendlies.
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Our Nigeria vs Mozambique Prediction
Nigeria finished the group stages with the most goals, which is no surprise with the likes of Osimhen and Lookman in the lineups. They've consistently scored goals, netting multiple even against the toughest defences.
Tunisia, who set a world record by qualifying for the World Cup without conceding a single goal, were victims of Nigeria, who scored three by the 67th minute. And with The Mambas conceding in all games so far, and 2+ in eight of their last 12, the Super Eagles should net multiple once more. Hence, our Nigeria vs Mozambique prediction is Nigeria Over 1.5 Goals.
Nigeria vs Mozambique Alternative Predictions
Nigeria Half Time/Full Time
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Nigeria Mozambique
| Nigeria vs Mozambique | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nigeria wins | 1.39 | 1.33 | -4.3% |
| Draw | 4.3 | 5.5 | +27.9% |
| Mozambique wins | 8.2 | 11 | +34.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Nigeria is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 4.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 71.9% and is now 75.2% (3.2%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
