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by Devesh Jaganath | in NBA Predictions
The NBA Playoff series between the Indiana Pacers and the Cleveland Cavaliers heads to the Gainbridge Fieldhouse for Game 3 on Friday night. The Pacers have a commanding 2-0 lead against the Cavs - let’s get into the match prediction.
The Indiana Pacers have got themselves into a solid position to reach a second consecutive Eastern Conference final, having won both away games in Cleveland over the past week.
Indiana started Game 2 poorly, but their pace was relentless, and the Cavs were visibly tiring late, which forced them into mistakes and allowed the Pacers to overturn a 20-point deficit.
Tyrese Haliburton and Aaron Nesmith both scored 23 points. But it was another all-around effort that got the Pacers the win, with six players ending the night in double-digits.
Meanwhile, the Cleveland Cavaliers are in serious trouble. They are two games down and missing key players due to injury, most notably Darius Garland and Evan Mobley.
Mobley was named the league’s best defender this year, and without him, the Pacers scored 105 points in the final three quarters of the last game. Their defence was also evidently fragile in the closing moments of the match.
Garland’s absence has put added scoring weight on Donovan Mitchell, who, despite putting up 48 points in Game 2, was clearly tiring in the fourth quarter. Indiana went on an 8-0 run in the final minute before Haliburton’s buzzer-beater for the win.
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The Best Betting Odds for Indiana Pacers v Cleveland Cavaliers Match
Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
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2.8 | 1.45 |
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2.75 | 1.44 |
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2.7 | 1.44 |
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2.8 | 1.44 |
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2.7 | 1.49 |
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Who will win the Indiana Pacers vs Cleveland Cavaliers Basketball game?
Our prediction for the Indiana Pacers vs Cleveland Cavaliers match is: Indiana Pacers +3.5.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Indiana Pacers vs Cleveland Cavaliers game on 09/05/2025 of the current NBA season:
- Indiana Pacers has a 53.32% chance to pick up the win against Cleveland Cavaliers according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 2.8.
- There is a probability of 46.68% ⭐ for Cleveland Cavaliers to win vs Indiana Pacers with odds of 1.49 at Tonybet.
Indiana Pacers vs Cleveland Cavaliers Form
Indiana Pacers and Cleveland Cavaliers Last Matches

5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
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5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
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5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
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4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
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Indiana Pacers vs Cleveland Cavaliers Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
17 %
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Indiana Pacers - Cleveland Cavaliers Key Points
- The Pacers have won seven of the last 10 games between these sides.
- The Pacers have covered the spread in their last five Playoff games against this opponent.
- The Pacers have covered the spread in six of their last nine games.
- The Cavaliers have lost their last five Playoff semi-final games.
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Our Indiana Pacers vs Cleveland Cavaliers Prediction
There are several contrasting reports around the status of Garland, Mobley and Hunter, but at the time of writing, all three are listed as questionable, which is not good news for Cavs fans.
Given the above, it’s extremely surprising to see Cleveland installed as the favourites. Add to that the Pacers have won seven of their last 10 between these sides and have covered the last five Playoff games against the Cavs, and the free points look very tough to pass up. Our Indiana Pacers vs Cleveland Cavaliers prediction is Indiana Pacers +3.5.
If your team in the Indiana Pacers and Cleveland Cavaliers game takes a 20-point lead, you win!
If you want to place a bet on the moneyline in the Indiana Pacers vs Cleveland Cavaliers game, then bet365 is the place to do it. If the team that you have bet on takes a 20-point lead in the game, then bet365 will pay your bet out as a winner. If your team goes on to lose, you are still a winner.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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