Argentina - Liga Profesional Argentina
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Football Predictions
Independiente have a date with River Plate in the fourth round of the Clausura in Group B. While River Plate are gunning for a win to go top of the pool, hosts Independiente are still stuck at the bottom. Here we have a prediction for this match.
Independiente have endured a tough start, getting from bad to worse after failing to build on their opening draw. Back-to-back losses have left them rock bottom with just one point from a possible nine.
As if struggles in the league aren’t enough, they are also coming off a 2-0 defeat in the Copa Argentina. Their latest loss has them on three straight defeats and a four-match winless run. They also failed to score in the last two matches.
River Plate are enjoying a much more stable run. In the Copa Argentina, they are coming off a 3-0 away win against San Martin. This was their third win in four matches, and their only loss in regular time in their last 10 matches was at the Club World Cup.
A 0-0 draw with San Lorenzo in their last league match halted their perfect start, leaving River Plate second in the standings.
They have a game in hand on the leaders, San Lorenzo, and a win here will see them go top after four rounds.
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The Best Betting Odds for Independiente v River Plate Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.9 | 2.9 | 2.7 |
|
|
2.88 | 2.88 | 2.5 |
|
|
2.9 | 2.9 | 2.45 |
|
|
2.88 | 2.88 | 2.6 |
|
|
3.3 | 2.95 | 2.4 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Independiente and River Plate?
Our prediction for the Independiente vs River Plate match is: River Plate wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 09/08/2025 between Independiente and River Plate in Liga Profesional Argentina :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 26.17% for a win of Independiente against River Plate with odds of 3.3 at Unibet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Independiente vs River Plate is 30.27% with odds of 3.05 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 43.57% chance ⭐ for a win of River Plate vs Independiente with odds of 2.7 at Bet365.
Independiente - River Plate Prediction and Best Odds:
| Independiente River Plate Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| River Plate wins | 43.57% | 2.7 at Bet365 |
| Under 2.5 | 52.05% | 1.88 at 22bet |
| Both Team To Score | 25.42% | 2.12 at Unibet |
| Half-time / Full-time: River Plate/River Plate | 18.01% | 4.33 at Bet365 |
Independiente vs River Plate Form
Independiente and River Plate's standings in the Liga Profesional Argentina
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 |
|
14
|
2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 |
Independiente and River Plate Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Aug 2025 - Copa Argentina
27 Jul 2025 - Liga Profesional Argentina
20 Jul 2025 - Liga Profesional Argentina
13 Jul 2025 - Liga Profesional Argentina
29 Jun 2025 - Copa Argentina
28 May 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Jul 2025 - Liga Profesional Argentina
28 May 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
24 May 2025 - Liga Profesional Argentina
15 May 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
11 May 2025 - Liga Profesional Argentina
27 Apr 2025 - Liga Profesional Argentina
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Aug 2025 - Copa Argentina
27 Jul 2025 - Liga Profesional Argentina
13 Jul 2025 - Liga Profesional Argentina
29 Jun 2025 - Copa Argentina
19 May 2025 - Liga Profesional Argentina
6 May 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Aug 2025 - Copa Argentina
27 Jul 2025 - Liga Profesional Argentina
19 Jul 2025 - Liga Profesional Argentina
13 Jul 2025 - Liga Profesional Argentina
25 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
21 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Jul 2025 - Liga Profesional Argentina
13 Jul 2025 - Liga Profesional Argentina
21 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
17 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
27 May 2025 - Copa Libertadores
20 May 2025 - Liga Profesional Argentina
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Aug 2025 - Copa Argentina
19 Jul 2025 - Liga Profesional Argentina
25 Jun 2025 - Club World Cup
8 May 2025 - Copa Libertadores
23 Apr 2025 - Copa Libertadores
18 Apr 2025 - Liga Profesional Argentina
Independiente vs River Plate Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
50 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
8 Feb 2025 - Liga Profesional Argentina
1 Sep 2024 - Liga Profesional Argentina
9 Mar 2024 - Copa De La Superliga
25 Oct 2023 - Copa De La Superliga
23 Apr 2023 - Liga Profesional Argentina
5 Sep 2021 - Liga Profesional Argentina
Independiente against River Plate Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Most goals and assists
Independiente
River Plate
G. Avalos
(9 Goals)
F. Colidio
(9 Goals)
P. Galdames
(3 Assists)
,
M. Gimenez
(3 Assists)
,
D. Tarzia
(3 Assists)
,
S. Montiel
(3 Assists)
G. Montiel
(4 Assists)
Independiente - River Plate Key Points
- Independiente lost their last three matches.
- River Plate are unbeaten in the last four matches.
- River Plate lost just one of their last 13 away matches.
- River Plate are unbeaten in seven games against Independiente.
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Our Independiente vs River Plate Prediction
Independiente are coming off a home defeat, and this could serve a second such result. They do not have a very good run in this fixture, failing to win any of their last seven meetings with River Plate.
Having lost their last three matches will not lift their confidence levels either. This will not be helped by the fact that River Plate are coming here in great form; unbeaten in the last four, with three wins. Our prediction for Independiente v River Plate is that River Plate wins the match.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Independiente River Plate
| Independiente vs River Plate | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Independiente wins | 2.6 | 2.9 | +11.5% |
| Draw | 3.2 | 2.9 | -9.4% |
| River Plate wins | 2.8 | 2.7 | -3.6% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- River Plate is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 3.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 35.7% and is now 37.0% (1.3%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Independiente vs. River Plate game!
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Try your luck on this year's Liga Profesional Argentina! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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