South America - Copa Sudamericana
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by Kennedy Kechula | in Football Predictions
Independiente del Valle will host Ecuadorian rivals Mushuc Runa in the first leg of the two teams’ Copa Sudamericana round of 16 tie. This is the first nondomestic meeting between these two teams. Read on for our prediction of this match.
Independiente haven’t lost in three meetings with Mushuc. They have won three times in this stretch, most recently in May in the Ecuadorian LigaPro. Javier Rabanal’s men are having a strong season.
They sit top of the domestic league and, aside from the Sudamericana, are also fighting it out in the Copa Ecuador. Los Negriazules, who’ve won CONMEBOL’s second-tier club competition twice, drew 0-0 with Manta over the weekend to stretch to 16 games unbeaten.
Mushuc topped their group to qualify for the knockout rounds for the first time. Fabian Frias’s men ended the group campaign with 16 points, winning five of six games.
No other team won as many or finished with as many points. They will hope to maintain this momentum and offset their domestic struggles. El Ponchito are in danger of relegation in the LigaPro as they sit rock bottom after 24 games.
Mushuc haven’t won in 13 consecutive outings and are currently on a five-match losing streak. They were defeated 2-1 at home by Libertad last time out.
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The Best Betting Odds for CSD Independiente Del Valle v Mushuc Runa SC Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
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1.44 | 4.33 | 7.5 |
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1.4 | 4 | 7.5 |
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1.44 | 4 | 7.5 |
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1.43 | 4.2 | 7 |
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1.4 | 4.3 | 8 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between CSD Independiente Del Valle and Mushuc Runa SC?
Our prediction for the CSD Independiente Del Valle vs Mushuc Runa SC match is: both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 12/08/2025 between CSD Independiente Del Valle and Mushuc Runa SC in Copa Sudamericana :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 71.49% for a win of CSD Independiente Del Valle against Mushuc Runa SC with odds of 1.46 at LSbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between CSD Independiente Del Valle vs Mushuc Runa SC is 24.15% with odds of 4.33 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 4.36% chance ⭐ for a win of Mushuc Runa SC vs CSD Independiente Del Valle with odds of 8 at Unibet.
CSD Independiente Del Valle - Mushuc Runa SC Prediction and Best Odds:
| CSD Independiente Del Valle Mushuc Runa SC Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| CSD Independiente Del Valle wins | 71.49% | 1.46 at LSbet |
| Under 2.5 | 50.08% | 1.8 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 64.17% | 2.3 at Ladbrokes |
| Half-time / Full-time : CSD Independiente Del Valle/CSD Independiente Del Valle | 36.09% | 2.2 at Bet365 |
CSD Independiente Del Valle vs Mushuc Runa SC Form
CSD Independiente Del Valle and Mushuc Runa SC Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Aug 2025 - Liga Pro
6 Aug 2025 - Copa Ecuador
2 Aug 2025 - Liga Pro
27 Jul 2025 - Liga Pro
22 Jul 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
18 Jul 2025 - Liga Pro
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Aug 2025 - Liga Pro
18 Jul 2025 - Liga Pro
15 Jul 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
5 Jul 2025 - Liga Pro
14 Jun 2025 - Liga Pro
27 May 2025 - Copa Libertadores
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Aug 2025 - Liga Pro
6 Aug 2025 - Copa Ecuador
27 Jul 2025 - Liga Pro
22 Jul 2025 - Copa Sudamericana
11 Jul 2025 - Liga Pro
29 Jun 2025 - Liga Pro
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Aug 2025 - Liga Pro
6 Aug 2025 - Copa Ecuador
3 Aug 2025 - Liga Pro
27 Jul 2025 - Liga Pro
20 Jul 2025 - Liga Pro
13 Jul 2025 - Liga Pro
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Aug 2025 - Liga Pro
27 Jul 2025 - Liga Pro
5 Jul 2025 - Liga Pro
22 Jun 2025 - Liga Pro
1 Jun 2025 - Liga Pro
17 May 2025 - Liga Pro
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Aug 2025 - Copa Ecuador
3 Aug 2025 - Liga Pro
20 Jul 2025 - Liga Pro
13 Jul 2025 - Liga Pro
27 Jun 2025 - Liga Pro
15 Jun 2025 - Liga Pro
CSD Independiente Del Valle vs Mushuc Runa SC Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
17 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
23 May 2025 - Liga Pro
5 Oct 2024 - Liga Pro
18 Apr 2024 - Liga Pro
6 Aug 2023 - Liga Pro
25 Feb 2023 - Liga Pro
16 Oct 2022 - Liga Pro
CSD Independiente Del Valle against Mushuc Runa SC Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Most goals and assists
CSD Independiente Del Valle - Mushuc Runa SC Key Points
- Only once in their last 26 games have Independiente failed to score
- Mushuc have scored in all seven outings in the Copa Sudamericana
- Five of Independiente's last six continental matches have seen them concede
- Five of the last six meetings between Independiente and Mushuc had both teams score.
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Our CSD Independiente Del Valle vs Mushuc Runa SC Prediction
Our prediction for Independiente del Valle v Mushuc Runa is for both teams to score. This match sees two teams that know each other pretty well face off in a knockout round tie outside their domestic borders. We therefore should witness an exciting battle as the two teams bring their domestic rivalry onto the continental stage.
Both teams scored as Independiente won the first leg league match against Mushuc at home back in May. This has basically characterised this fixture recently. It is also worth noting that the two teams are strong attacking teams, especially Mushuc in the Sudamericana.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis CSD Independiente Del Valle Mushuc Runa SC
| CSD Independiente Del Valle vs Mushuc Runa SC | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| CSD Independiente Del Valle wins | 1.36 | 1.44 | +5.9% |
| Draw | 4.75 | 4.33 | -8.8% |
| Mushuc Runa SC wins | 7.5 | 7.5 | 0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- CSD Independiente Del Valle is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 5.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 73.5% and is now 69.4% (-4.1%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the CSD Independiente Del Valle vs. Mushuc Runa SC game!

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Try your luck on this year's Copa Sudamericana! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.