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CSD Independiente Del Valle vs Mushuc Runa SC Prediction & Betting Tips - Copa Sudamericana

South America - Copa Sudamericana

CSD Independiente Del Valle
12/08/2025 20:30
Mushuc Runa SC

Prediction :

 

Both teams to score

 
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 by Kennedy Kechula | in Football Predictions

Independiente del Valle will host Ecuadorian rivals Mushuc Runa in the first leg of the two teams’ Copa Sudamericana round of 16 tie. This is the first nondomestic meeting between these two teams. Read on for our prediction of this match.

Independiente haven’t lost in three meetings with Mushuc. They have won three times in this stretch, most recently in May in the Ecuadorian LigaPro. Javier Rabanal’s men are having a strong season.

They sit top of the domestic league and, aside from the Sudamericana, are also fighting it out in the Copa Ecuador. Los Negriazules, who’ve won CONMEBOL’s second-tier club competition twice, drew 0-0 with Manta over the weekend to stretch to 16 games unbeaten.

Mushuc topped their group to qualify for the knockout rounds for the first time. Fabian Frias’s men ended the group campaign with 16 points, winning five of six games.

No other team won as many or finished with as many points. They will hope to maintain this momentum and offset their domestic struggles. El Ponchito are in danger of relegation in the LigaPro as they sit rock bottom after 24 games.

Mushuc haven’t won in 13 consecutive outings and are currently on a five-match losing streak. They were defeated 2-1 at home by Libertad last time out.

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The Best Betting Odds for CSD Independiente Del Valle v Mushuc Runa SC Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.38 5.25 7
Betfred
1.33 4.6 8
William Hill
1.36 4.5 7.5
Betway
1.38 4.75 7
Unibet
1.38 4.75 7
Check all CSD Independiente Del Valle vs Mushuc Runa SC odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between CSD Independiente Del Valle and Mushuc Runa SC?

Our prediction for the CSD Independiente Del Valle vs Mushuc Runa SC match is: both teams to score.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 12/08/2025 between CSD Independiente Del Valle and Mushuc Runa SC in Copa Sudamericana :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 71.57% for a win of CSD Independiente Del Valle against Mushuc Runa SC with odds of 1.39 at Betwinner.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between CSD Independiente Del Valle vs Mushuc Runa SC is 24.15% with odds of 5.25 at Bet365.
  • Our prediction model gives a 4.29% chance ⭐ for a win of Mushuc Runa SC vs CSD Independiente Del Valle with odds of 8.25 at Betobet.

CSD Independiente Del Valle vs Mushuc Runa SC Form

CSD Independiente Del Valle and Mushuc Runa SC Last Matches

CSD Independiente Del Valle
CSD Independiente Del Valle Last matches
W D W W W D
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

9 Aug 2025 - Serie A

Manta FC
0 :  0
CSD Independiente Del Valle

6 Aug 2025 - Copa Ecuador

Imbabura Sporting Club
0 :  1
CSD Independiente Del Valle

2 Aug 2025 - Serie A

CSD Independiente Del Valle
1 :  0
CD El Nacional

27 Jul 2025 - Serie A

CD Cuenca
0 :  3
CSD Independiente Del Valle

22 Jul 2025 - Copa Sudamericana

Vasco Da Gama
1 :  1
CSD Independiente Del Valle

18 Jul 2025 - Serie A

CSD Independiente Del Valle
2 :  1
SD Aucas
W D D W W W
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

2 Aug 2025 - Serie A

CSD Independiente Del Valle
1 :  0
CD El Nacional

18 Jul 2025 - Serie A

CSD Independiente Del Valle
2 :  1
SD Aucas

15 Jul 2025 - Copa Sudamericana

CSD Independiente Del Valle
4 :  0
Vasco Da Gama

5 Jul 2025 - Serie A

CSD Independiente Del Valle
1 :  1
Barcelona SC

14 Jun 2025 - Serie A

CSD Independiente Del Valle
1 :  1
Libertad Loja

27 May 2025 - Copa Libertadores

CSD Independiente Del Valle
2 :  1
Barcelona SC
W W D W W D
Wins

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

9 Aug 2025 - Serie A

Manta FC
0 :  0
CSD Independiente Del Valle

6 Aug 2025 - Copa Ecuador

Imbabura Sporting Club
0 :  1
CSD Independiente Del Valle

27 Jul 2025 - Serie A

CD Cuenca
0 :  3
CSD Independiente Del Valle

22 Jul 2025 - Copa Sudamericana

Vasco Da Gama
1 :  1
CSD Independiente Del Valle

11 Jul 2025 - Serie A

CSD Macara
1 :  2
CSD Independiente Del Valle

29 Jun 2025 - Serie A

Universidad Catolica
0 :  3
CSD Independiente Del Valle
Mushuc Runa SC
Mushuc Runa SC Last matches
D L L L L L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

9 Aug 2025 - Serie A

Mushuc Runa SC
1 :  2
Libertad Loja

6 Aug 2025 - Copa Ecuador

Guayaquil City FC
3 :  1
Mushuc Runa SC

3 Aug 2025 - Serie A

LDU Quito
2 :  1
Mushuc Runa SC

27 Jul 2025 - Serie A

Mushuc Runa SC
0 :  1
CD Tecnico Universitario

20 Jul 2025 - Serie A

Emelec
1 :  0
Mushuc Runa SC

13 Jul 2025 - Serie A

Vinotinto FC Ecuador
1 :  1
Mushuc Runa SC
L L L D L L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
2.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

9 Aug 2025 - Serie A

Mushuc Runa SC
1 :  2
Libertad Loja

27 Jul 2025 - Serie A

Mushuc Runa SC
0 :  1
CD Tecnico Universitario

5 Jul 2025 - Serie A

Mushuc Runa SC
1 :  1
Universidad Catolica

22 Jun 2025 - Serie A

Mushuc Runa SC
0 :  5
Barcelona SC

1 Jun 2025 - Serie A

Mushuc Runa SC
2 :  3
CD El Nacional

17 May 2025 - Serie A

Mushuc Runa SC
2 :  5
Orense SC
L L D L L L
Wins

0/6 (0%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
67% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

6 Aug 2025 - Copa Ecuador

Guayaquil City FC
3 :  1
Mushuc Runa SC

3 Aug 2025 - Serie A

LDU Quito
2 :  1
Mushuc Runa SC

20 Jul 2025 - Serie A

Emelec
1 :  0
Mushuc Runa SC

13 Jul 2025 - Serie A

Vinotinto FC Ecuador
1 :  1
Mushuc Runa SC

27 Jun 2025 - Serie A

CD Cuenca
1 :  0
Mushuc Runa SC

15 Jun 2025 - Serie A

Delfin SC
3 :  1
Mushuc Runa SC

CSD Independiente Del Valle vs Mushuc Runa SC Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

CSD Independiente Del Valle

67 %

Draw

17 %

Mushuc Runa SC

17 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.33
Total goals
67%
BTTS
1.5
Goals scored (home team)
0.83
Goals scored (away team)
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

23 May 2025 - Serie A

CSD Independiente Del Valle
2 :  1
Mushuc Runa SC

5 Oct 2024 - Serie A

Mushuc Runa SC
1 :  1
CSD Independiente Del Valle

18 Apr 2024 - Serie A

CSD Independiente Del Valle
2 :  1
Mushuc Runa SC

6 Aug 2023 - Serie A

Mushuc Runa SC
1 :  0
CSD Independiente Del Valle

25 Feb 2023 - Serie A

CSD Independiente Del Valle
3 :  1
Mushuc Runa SC

16 Oct 2022 - Serie A

Mushuc Runa SC
0 :  1
CSD Independiente Del Valle
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato CSD Independiente Del Valle
CD Huachipato Mushuc Runa SC
Top Goalscorer
Argentina C. Spinelli (16 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Ecuador C. Orejuela Quinonez (7 Goals)
Best assists
Ecuador L. Loor (2 Assists)
Best assists
Ecuador C. Orejuela Quinonez (3 Assists)

CSD Independiente Del Valle - Mushuc Runa SC Key Points

  1. Only once in their last 26 games have Independiente failed to score
  2. Mushuc have scored in all seven outings in the Copa Sudamericana
  3. Five of Independiente's last six continental matches have seen them concede
  4. Five of the last six meetings between Independiente and Mushuc had both teams score.
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Our CSD Independiente Del Valle vs Mushuc Runa SC Prediction

Our prediction for Independiente del Valle v Mushuc Runa is for both teams to score. This match sees two teams that know each other pretty well face off in a knockout round tie outside their domestic borders. We therefore should witness an exciting battle as the two teams bring their domestic rivalry onto the continental stage.

Both teams scored as Independiente won the first leg league match against Mushuc at home back in May. This has basically characterised this fixture recently. It is also worth noting that the two teams are strong attacking teams, especially Mushuc in the Sudamericana.

Prediction :

 

Both teams to score

 
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

CSD Independiente Del Valle vs Mushuc Runa SC Prediction
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