Ignacio Buse vs Matteo Berrettini Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Rio Open
ATP - ATP Rio Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions
An unseeded player will be in the final of the Rio Open. This quarter-final sees Ignacio Buse take on Matteo Berrettini. There's just one seed left in this outdoor clay court tournament. Read our match prediction below.
Either Alejandro Tabilo or Thiago Agustin Tirante (both unseeded) will be the semi-final opponent for the winner.
Ignacio Buse is making an impressive Rio Open debut. He struggled in round one though, needing to come from a set down to defeat Igor Ribeiro Marcondes. The 21-year-old then faced third seed Joao Fonseca and again lost the first set only to recover for the victory.
Buse has risen to a career-high 74th in the live rankings. Last year saw him reach the last four in Gastad.
Matteo Berrettini is playing in his second Rio Open quarter-final. The Italian has won six ATP Tour clay court titles, the last in 2024. There's been plenty of injuries for the 29-year-old former top ten ranked player including this year.
He didn't play down under due to injury and returned last week with a second round in Buenos Aires.
This week has seen him beat two lucky losers, Tomas Barrios Vera and Dusan Lajovic, needing three sets in the latter.
We tip Berrettini (56th in the live rankings) to win this match.
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Ignacio Buse v Matteo Berrettini Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
|
2.66 | 1.48 |
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2.6 | 1.5 |
|
|
2.75 | 1.44 |
|
|
2.64 | 1.43 |
|
|
2.64 | 1.43 |
|
Who will win the Ignacio Buse vs Matteo Berrettini Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Ignacio Buse vs Matteo Berrettini match is: Matteo Berrettini wins.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Ignacio Buse vs Matteo Berrettini game on 20/02/2026 of the current ATP Rio Open season:
- Ignacio Buse has a 44.38% chance to win against Matteo Berrettini according to Bet365 ⭐ with the odds of 2.75.
- Matteo Berrettini has a 55.62% probability of winning facing Ignacio Buse ⭐ with odds of 1.51 at 888Starz.
Ignacio Buse vs Matteo Berrettini Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Ignacio Buse has a 44.38 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Ignacio Buse | 44.38 % |
| Matteo Berrettini | 55.62 % |
Ignacio Buse vs Matteo Berrettini Form
Ignacio Buse and Matteo Berrettini Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
16 Feb 2026 - ATP Rio Open
12 Feb 2026 - ATP Buenos Aires
10 Feb 2026 - ATP Buenos Aires
11 Oct 2025 - Stockholm Open
24 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open
22 Aug 2025 - ATP US Open
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
17 Feb 2026 - ATP Rio Open
11 Feb 2026 - ATP Buenos Aires
10 Feb 2026 - ATP Buenos Aires
23 Nov 2025 - Davis Cup
21 Nov 2025 - Davis Cup
19 Nov 2025 - Davis Cup
Ignacio Buse - Matteo Berrettini Key Points
- Berrettini is ranked 18 places above his opponent.
- Berrettini has won six ATP Tour clay court titles.
- Berrettini is a former quarter-finalist in this tournament.
- Buse is playing in his first ATP Tour quarter-final.
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Our Ignacio Buse vs Matteo Berrettini Prediction
It's been a big week for Ignacio Buse and this is his first time in the last eight of an ATP Tour tournament. He's had plenty of success on the lower tours but this is a big breakthrough for him in this unpredictable tournament in Rio.
To reach the last four, he must beat the far more experienced Matteo Berrettini.. Back fit again, the Italian has his eyes set on a seventh ATP Tour clay court title. This could well go to three sets but our Ignacio Buse v Matteo Berrettini prediction is Matteo Berrettini wins.
Get a retirement guarantee for the Ignacio Buse vs. Matteo Berrettini game!
When you place a bet on the match between Ignacio Buse and Matteo Berrettini you can get a retirement guarantee with bet365. This means that your bet will be paid out as a winner if your opponent retires.
It does not matter whether you bet on Ignacio Buse or Matteo Berrettini, if your opponent has to retire from the match with an injury, you will get paid as a winner!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
