WTA - WTA Doha
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by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions
The indoor hard court WTA Finals get underway this weekend. Iga Swiatek takes on Madison Keys in their opening match in the Serena Williams group. Also in this group are Amanda Anisimova and Elena Rybakina. Here's our match prediction.
The top two players in this round-robin group will qualify for the semi-finals. Iga Swiatek is seeded second for this tournament, five places ahead of her opponent. This will be Swiatek's 77th match of the year with 61 having been won, 40 on hard courts.
Three titles have been won by the Pole in 2025, including hard court triumphs in Cincinnati and most recently, Seoul. This will be her first match since October 10 when losing in the Wuhan quarter-final to Jasmine Paolinil.
Swiatek leads Keys 5-2 in previous meetings. However, on hard courts, it's Keys who leads 2-1.
Madison Keys won two hard court titles in the opening weeks of the year, including the Australian Open but hasn't reached any finals since then.. Injuries have disrupted her season but the American still has a 37-13 record for 2025, winning 24 out of 30 hard court matches.
Keys hasn't played since August when making an early exit in the US Open.
We tip over 18.5 games in this match.
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The Best Betting Odds for Iga Swiatek v Madison Keys Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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1.22 | 4.33 |
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1.22 | 4.2 |
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1.22 | 4.25 |
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1.22 | 4 |
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1.25 | 4.1 |
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Who will win the Iga Swiatek vs Madison Keys Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Iga Swiatek vs Madison Keys match is: more than 18.5 games.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Iga Swiatek vs Madison Keys game on 01/11/2025 of the current WTA Doha season:
- Iga Swiatek has a 67.65% chance to win against Madison Keys according to Unibet ⭐ with the odds of 1.25.
- Madison Keys has a 32.35% probability of winning facing Iga Swiatek ⭐ with odds of 4.33 at Bet365.
Iga Swiatek vs Madison Keys Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Iga Swiatek has a 67.65 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Iga Swiatek | 67.65 % |
| Madison Keys | 32.35 % |
Iga Swiatek vs Madison Keys Form
Iga Swiatek and Madison Keys Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
10 Oct 2025 - WTA Wuhan Open
9 Oct 2025 - WTA Wuhan Open
7 Oct 2025 - WTA Wuhan Open
1 Oct 2025 - WTA China Open
29 Sept 2025 - WTA China Open
26 Sept 2025 - WTA China Open
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
25 Aug 2025 - WTA US Open
13 Aug 2025 - WTA Cincinnati Open
11 Aug 2025 - WTA Cincinnati Open
9 Aug 2025 - WTA Cincinnati Open
5 Aug 2025 - WTA National Bank Open
3 Aug 2025 - WTA National Bank Open
Iga Swiatek vs Madison Keys Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
75 %
25 %
30 Apr 2025 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
23 Jan 2025 - WTA Australian Open
14 May 2024 - WTA Rome
2 May 2024 - WTA Mutua Madrid Open
Iga Swiatek - Madison Keys Key Points
- More than 18.5 games have been played in the last two Swiatek v Keys matches.
- The one hard court match between these two players in 2025 saw two of the sets go to either 7-5 or 7-6.
- Five of the last seven matches Keys has played have seen over 18.5 games played.
- A 7-5 or 7-6 set would help our prediction. Keys has played four in her last two matches.
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Our Iga Swiatek vs Madison Keys Prediction
Iga Swiatek failed to make it out of her round-robin group in last year's WTA Finals. This year has seen the Pole fail to regain her world number one ranking but three titles have been won, including that first ever Wimbledon title.
Madison Keys has won her last two hard court matches against Swiatek. Keys has also won one Grand Slam this year but missed plenty of tournaments due to injury. This could be close and our Iga Swiatek v Madison Keys prediction is more than 18.5 games.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
