Hubert Hurkacz vs Denis Shapovalov Prediction & Betting Tips - ATP Chengdu Open
ATP - ATP Chengdu Open
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by Steve Ashfield | in Tennis Predictions
Seventh seed Denis Shapovalov has only played in the Chengdu Open twice. His previous appearance was in 2019 and as then, he has made it to the last four and takes on fifth-seeded Hubert Hurkacz. Looking at recent matches and previous meetings, our prediction here is more than 22.5 games.
Hubert Hurkacz is making his debut in this outdoor hard court ATP 250 tournament. This is his first singles semi-final on this surface in 2026, though he did win the United Cup team tournament with Poland. To reach the last four, he has had three wins, two had more than 22.5 games played with a couple of tie-breaks.
He leads Shapovalov 5-1 in previous meetings (4-1 on this surface) and the last three have seen a tie-break played.
Denis Shapovalov was 50th in the latest rankings, just four places below Hurkacz.
The Canadian is hoping to reach his second ATP Tour outdoor hard court final, previously having done so in Los Cabos. He won his first two matches of this week in straight sets with victories over Tallon Griekspoor and Vit Kopriva. It was tougher in the quarter-finals as he came from a set down to defeat Adrian Mannarino.
More than 22.5 games have been played in three of his last four matches played over this format.
Limited Offer. Currently at Stake
Hubert Hurkacz v Denis Shapovalov Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|
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1.71 | 2.06 |
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1.74 | 2.12 |
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1.73 | 2.1 |
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1.73 | 2.12 |
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|
1.73 | 2.1 |
|
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Who will win the Hubert Hurkacz vs Denis Shapovalov Tennis game?
Our prediction for the Hubert Hurkacz vs Denis Shapovalov match is: more than 22.5 games.
The best winner predictions and betting odds for the Hubert Hurkacz vs Denis Shapovalov game on 28/09/2026 of the current ATP Chengdu Open season:
- Hubert Hurkacz has a 62.54% chance to win against Denis Shapovalov according to Shangrila ⭐ with the odds of 1.75.
- Denis Shapovalov has a 35.26% probability of winning facing Hubert Hurkacz ⭐ with odds of 2.2 at Betway.
Hubert Hurkacz vs Denis Shapovalov Best Prediction and Odds
Based on the bookmaker's betting lines in this match, Hubert Hurkacz has a 62.54 % chance to win.
| Prediction | Chance to win |
|---|---|
| Hubert Hurkacz | 62.54 % |
| Denis Shapovalov | 35.26 % |
Hubert Hurkacz vs Denis Shapovalov Form
Hubert Hurkacz and Denis Shapovalov Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
27 Sept 2026 - ATP Chengdu Open
26 Sept 2026 - ATP Chengdu Open
24 Sept 2026 - ATP Chengdu Open
2 Sept 2026 - ATP US Open
31 Aug 2026 - ATP US Open
15 Aug 2026 - ATP Cincinnati Open
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
27 Sept 2026 - ATP Chengdu Open
25 Sept 2026 - ATP Chengdu Open
24 Sept 2026 - ATP Chengdu Open
4 Sept 2026 - ATP US Open
2 Sept 2026 - ATP US Open
30 Aug 2026 - ATP US Open
Hubert Hurkacz vs Denis Shapovalov Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
100 %
0 %
31 May 2024 - ATP French Open
20 Jan 2023 - ATP Australian Open
Hubert Hurkacz - Denis Shapovalov Key Points
- Two of the three matches played by Hurkacz this week have seen more than 22.5 games played.
- A 7-5 or 7-6 set would help our prediction. Shapovalov has played at least one in four of his last five matches.
- Of Shapovalov's last four best-of-three sets matches, only one hasn't seen more than 22.5 games played.
- Hurkacz has played five 7-5 or 7-6 sets in his last four matches.
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Our Hubert Hurkacz vs Denis Shapovalov Prediction
The last three matches played between these two players have seen a tie-break played. A side bet on sets going to 7-6 may well be profitable. There were just four places separating these two players in the latest rankings. A close match is definitely possible here.
Both have already had one three set match in Chengdu this week. Looking at the statistics, we could well be in for a thriller in this semi-final. With that having been written, our Hubert Hurkacz v Denis Shapovalov prediction is more than 22.5 games.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
