Hamburg vs Stuttgart Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga
Germany - Bundesliga
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Bundesliga Predictions
Hamburg will be desperate to halt their recent slide of fortunes in the Bundesliga when they host top-five hopefuls Stuttgart in a matchday 12 fixture on Sunday. This match at Volksparstadion between the 14th-placed ‘Red Shorts’ and the fifth-placed ‘Reds’ comes with our prediction of an away win.
Ahead of this matchday, Hamburg’s nine points (W2, D3, L6) put them two points above the relegation zone. Stuttgart have 22 points (W7, D1, L3) and are outside the top four only on goal difference.
A 1-0 away defeat at Augsburg last weekend continued Hamburg’s slide down the table in recent weeks. They earned just one point from their last five league games (D1, L4), keeping them closer to the drop.
They had slightly better fortunes at home when winning back-to-back games in September-October but have since gone winless in two home fixtures (D1, L1) in the league.
Stuttgart thrashed Go Ahead Eagles 4-0 away from home in the Europa League fixture last week to make it three wins and a draw from their last four competitive games. The record is equally impressive in the league with six wins from their last eight games (D1, L1).
There’s still work to do on the road, as Stuttgart won only a single point from their last two league travels (D1, L1), although it came on the last trip.
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Hamburg v Stuttgart Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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2.8 | 3.65 | 2.55 |
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2.73 | 3.52 | 2.48 |
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|
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2.88 | 3.52 | 2.37 |
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2.7 | 3.5 | 2.45 |
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2.82 | 3.6 | 2.32 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Hamburg and Stuttgart?
Our prediction for the Hamburg vs Stuttgart match is: Stuttgart wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 30/11/2025 between Hamburg and Stuttgart in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 35.17% for a win of Hamburg against Stuttgart with odds of 3 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Hamburg vs Stuttgart is 15.03% with odds of 3.75 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 49.81% chance ⭐ for a win of Stuttgart vs Hamburg with odds of 2.55 at Stake.
Hamburg - Stuttgart Prediction and Best Odds:
| Hamburg Stuttgart Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Stuttgart wins | 49.81% | 2.55 at Stake |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64.26% | 1.85 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score: No | 53.13% | |
| Half-time : Hamburg / Full-time : Stuttgart | 21.37% | 24 at LSbet |
Hamburg vs Stuttgart Form
Hamburg and Stuttgart's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
62 | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | +22 |
|
13
|
38 | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | -14 |
Hamburg and Stuttgart Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
12 Nov 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
8 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
2 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
28 Oct 2025 - DFB Pokal
25 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Nov 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
8 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
25 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
5 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
20 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
29 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
2 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
28 Oct 2025 - DFB Pokal
18 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
28 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
13 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Nov 2025 - Europa League
22 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
9 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
6 Nov 2025 - Europa League
1 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
29 Oct 2025 - DFB Pokal
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
6 Nov 2025 - Europa League
26 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
5 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
25 Sept 2025 - Europa League
19 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Nov 2025 - Europa League
22 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
1 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
29 Oct 2025 - DFB Pokal
23 Oct 2025 - Europa League
18 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
Hamburg vs Stuttgart Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
25 %
0 %
75 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
5 Jun 2023 - Bundesliga
1 Jun 2023 - Bundesliga
28 May 2020 - 2. Bundesliga
26 Oct 2019 - 2. Bundesliga
Hamburg against Stuttgart Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Substitutes
D. Peretz
DefenderG. Gocholeishvili
G. Ramos
A. Soumahoro
MidfielderF. Vieira
J. Dompe
ForwardE. Sahiti
R. Konigsdorffer
F. Balde
F. Bredlow
DefenderF. Jeltsch
L. Assignon
M. Mittelstadt
J. Leweling
A. Stiller
A. Karazor
ForwardD. Undav
L. Jovanovic
Missing players
D. Elfadli
W. Omari
MidfielderB. Jatta
ForwardY. Poulsen
L. Jaquez
ForwardE. Demirovic
J. Diehl
Most goals and assists
Hamburg - Stuttgart Key Points
- Stuttgart have five wins from their last seven competitive games, losing only once.
- In the Bundesliga, Stuttgart posted six wins from their last eight league fixtures.
- Hamburg lost four of their last six competitive games, winning only once.
- In the league, Hamburg were beaten in four of their last five fixtures, drawing the other.
- Stuttgart won the last three matches against Hamburg in all competitions, the last of which was played in 2023.
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Our Hamburg vs Stuttgart Prediction
The newly promoted hosts are hurtling towards the danger zone with dire results in recent weeks. They can end this weekend in the relegation zone with a defeat here and unfavourable results elsewhere. Stuttgart could play their part in that factor, as they come here looking for a win to stay in the top-five race. The visitors are building good momentum in recent weeks and will fancy their chances of three points here.
A win for the visitors is on the cards, and our Hamburg vs Stuttgart prediction is Stuttgart wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Hamburg Stuttgart
| Hamburg vs Stuttgart | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hamburg wins | 2.95 | 3 | +1.7% |
| Draw | 3.55 | 3.75 | +5.6% |
| Stuttgart wins | 2.21 | 2.55 | +15.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Stuttgart is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 15.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 45.2% and is now 39.2% (-6.0%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.