Germany - Bundesliga
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by Sridhar Bhamidi | in Bundesliga Predictions
The struggling Hamburg side face the tough task of stopping the high-flying Borussia Dortmund as the sides meet on matchday ten of the 2025-26 Bundesliga campaign. This match on Saturday at Volksparkstadion between the 13th-placed ‘Die Rothosen’ and the third-placed ‘Die Borussen’ comes with our prediction of an away win.
Hamburg have eight points (W2, D2, L5) and are two points above the relegation zone ahead of this round. Dortmund’s 20 points (W6, D2, L1) see them start this matchday seven points behind leaders Bayern.
Hamburg lost 4-1 away at Koln in their last matchday, making it a third league defeat in a row. Those losses were sandwiched between a DFB Pokal win, but their league form remains a concern.
They scored only eight goals this season, but six have come at home. They still lost two of their four home league games this season and may struggle to get past Dortmund.
Dortmund were beaten 4-1 away at Manchester City in the midweek, which was their first loss after four wins in a row in all competitions. In the league, Dortmund have six wins from their last eight fixtures, losing only once.
That defeat came against leaders Bayern Munich, which came on the road. That also remains their only reverse in the last four league trips, with Dortmund winning the other three fixtures.
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The Best Betting Odds for Hamburg v Borussia Dortmund Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.7 | 3.9 | 1.91 |
|
|
3.75 | 3.75 | 1.9 |
|
|
3.8 | 3.8 | 1.85 |
|
|
3.6 | 4 | 1.88 |
|
|
3.85 | 3.95 | 1.82 |
|
What is the prediction for the football match between Hamburg and Borussia Dortmund?
Our prediction for the Hamburg vs Borussia Dortmund match is: Borussia Dortmund wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 08/11/2025 between Hamburg and Borussia Dortmund in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 31.23% for a win of Hamburg against Borussia Dortmund with odds of 3.85 at Unibet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Hamburg vs Borussia Dortmund is 11.35% with odds of 4 at Betway.
- Our prediction model gives a 57.42% chance ⭐ for a win of Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburg with odds of 1.95 at Bwin.
Hamburg - Borussia Dortmund Prediction and Best Odds:
| Hamburg Borussia Dortmund Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund wins | 57.42% | 1.95 at Bwin |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62.29% | 1.55 at William Hill |
| Both Team To Score | 45.83% | 1.55 at Ladbrokes |
| Half-time / Full-time: Borussia Dortmund/Borussia Dortmund | 27.6% | 3 at Bet365 |
Hamburg vs Borussia Dortmund Form
Hamburg and Borussia Dortmund's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
21 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 9 |
|
13
|
9 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -7 |
Hamburg and Borussia Dortmund Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
28 Oct 2025 - DFB Pokal
25 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
18 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
5 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
28 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
5 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
20 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
29 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
26 Jul 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
10 May 2025 - 2. Bundesliga
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Nov 2025 - Bundesliga
28 Oct 2025 - DFB Pokal
18 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
28 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
13 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
24 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Nov 2025 - Champions League
31 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
28 Oct 2025 - DFB Pokal
25 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
21 Oct 2025 - Champions League
18 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
4 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
1 Oct 2025 - Champions League
21 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
31 Aug 2025 - Bundesliga
10 Aug 2025 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Nov 2025 - Champions League
31 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
28 Oct 2025 - DFB Pokal
21 Oct 2025 - Champions League
18 Oct 2025 - Bundesliga
27 Sept 2025 - Bundesliga
Hamburg vs Borussia Dortmund Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
20 Sept 2017 - Bundesliga
Hamburg against Borussia Dortmund Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Missing players
W. Omari
MidfielderB. Jatta
F. Vieira
I. Pherai
Most goals and assists
Hamburg
Borussia Dortmund
R. Philippe
(3 Goals)
M. Muheim
(2 Assists)
J. Ryerson
(5 Assists)
Hamburg - Borussia Dortmund Key Points
- Hamburg lost their three recent Bundesliga matches.
- Dortmund won four of their last five competitive matches.
- In the Bundesliga, Dortmund won six of their last eight fixtures.
- Away from home, Dortmund won three of their last four league trips.
- Hamburg lost their five recent league matches against Dortmund.
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Our Hamburg vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction
Hamburg have struggled on their return to the Bundesliga, especially against the top sides. Their three matches against teams that started this round in the top seven have all ended in defeats. Dortmund are likely to present a stiff challenge too, as the visitors bring some impressive league form to this fixture. Their away form has been equally impressive, with their only defeat coming against league leaders Bayern Munich.
The visitors are likely to continue their impressive run, and our Hamburg vs Borussia Dortmund prediction is Borussia Dortmund wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Hamburg Borussia Dortmund
| Hamburg vs Borussia Dortmund | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hamburg wins | 4.5 | 3.7 | -17.8% |
| Draw | 4 | 3.9 | -2.5% |
| Borussia Dortmund wins | 1.73 | 1.91 | +10.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Borussia Dortmund is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 10.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 57.8% and is now 52.4% (-5.4%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
