Groningen vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction & Betting Tips - Eredivisie

Netherlands - Eredivisie

Groningen
10/05/2026 10:45
NEC Nijmegen

Prediction :

 

More than 3.5 goals

 
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 by Thobelani Moyo | in Eredivisie Predictions

Groningen and NEC Nijmegen will clash at Euroborg on matchday 33 of the Eredivisie. In this penultimate match, both sides will be aiming to return to winning ways and given their poor form heading into this clash, neither side can be trusted to step up. Given that the two sides have displayed clear attacking intent, there'll be plenty of goals, which is why our prediction points towards more than 3.5 goals.

Groningen are in tenth place in the league standings with 42 points, with their hopes of European football being undermined by a five-point gap.

Trots van het Noorden have dropped unnecessary points in the past few weeks. Without beating around the bush, they are winless in their last three league games and were the favourites in two of those encounters.

In their recent match, they suffered a 3-2 home defeat against Excelsior. That marked their second consecutive league defeat.

NEC Nijmegen have their sights set on a UEFA Champions League qualification spot. They already occupy third place and have maintained a one-point cushion over fourth-placed Ajax.

NEC are also plagued with inconsistency heading into this clash. A 1-1 home draw against Telstar marked their second successive draw by the same scoreline.

Not that it's a positive thing, but rather something detrimental, as they have gone four league games without a win, with just one win in six outings.

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Groningen v NEC Nijmegen Best Betting Odds

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Stake
2.75 3.75 2.32
Melbet
2.85 3.74 2.3
Betwinner
2.85 3.74 2.3
Bet365
2.8 3.7 2.35
Roobet
2.74 3.6 2.24
Check all Groningen vs NEC Nijmegen odds

What is the prediction for the football match between Groningen and NEC Nijmegen?

Our prediction for the Groningen vs NEC Nijmegen match is: more than 3.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/05/2026 between Groningen and NEC Nijmegen in Eredivisie :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 25.41% for a win of Groningen against NEC Nijmegen with odds of 2.9 at Tonybet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Groningen vs NEC Nijmegen is 33.64% with odds of 3.9 at LSbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 40.95% chance ⭐ for a win of NEC Nijmegen vs Groningen with odds of 2.37 at Tonybet.

Groningen - NEC Nijmegen Prediction and Best Odds:

Groningen NEC Nijmegen Prediction Probability Odds
NEC Nijmegen wins 40.95% 2.37 at Tonybet
Over 2.5 goals 55.05%
Both Team To Score 71.67%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: NEC Nijmegen 18.48% 6.5 at Bet365

Groningen vs NEC Nijmegen Form

Groningen and NEC Nijmegen's standings in the Eredivisie

Teams Pts P W D L GD
3 NEC Nijmegen
59 34 16 11 7 +24
9 Groningen
48 34 14 6 14 +4

Groningen and NEC Nijmegen Last Matches

Groningen
Groningen Last matches
D W W D L L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Losses

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

2 May 2026 - Eredivisie

Groningen
2 :  3
Excelsior

25 Apr 2026 - Eredivisie

Feyenoord
3 :  1
Groningen

11 Apr 2026 - Eredivisie

Groningen
0 :  0
Go Ahead Eagles

4 Apr 2026 - Eredivisie

Telstar
0 :  2
Groningen

22 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie

Groningen
3 :  0
AZ Alkmaar

13 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie

Zwolle
1 :  1
Groningen
L L W W D L
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

2 May 2026 - Eredivisie

Groningen
2 :  3
Excelsior

11 Apr 2026 - Eredivisie

Groningen
0 :  0
Go Ahead Eagles

22 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie

Groningen
3 :  0
AZ Alkmaar

7 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie

Groningen
3 :  1
Ajax

14 Feb 2026 - Eredivisie

Groningen
1 :  2
Utrecht

8 Feb 2026 - Eredivisie

Groningen
1 :  2
PSV Eindhoven
L L L D W L
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Losses

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

25 Apr 2026 - Eredivisie

Feyenoord
3 :  1
Groningen

4 Apr 2026 - Eredivisie

Telstar
0 :  2
Groningen

13 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie

Zwolle
1 :  1
Groningen

1 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie

Volendam
3 :  2
Groningen

22 Feb 2026 - Eredivisie

Twente
2 :  1
Groningen

31 Jan 2026 - Eredivisie

Sparta Rotterdam
2 :  0
Groningen
NEC Nijmegen
NEC Nijmegen Last matches
D W D L D D
Wins

1/6 (17%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

2 May 2026 - Eredivisie

NEC Nijmegen
1 :  1
Telstar

25 Apr 2026 - Eredivisie

Twente
1 :  1
NEC Nijmegen

19 Apr 2026 - KNVB beker

AZ Alkmaar
5 :  1
NEC Nijmegen

12 Apr 2026 - Eredivisie

NEC Nijmegen
1 :  1
Feyenoord

4 Apr 2026 - Eredivisie

Excelsior
0 :  2
NEC Nijmegen

22 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie

NEC Nijmegen
2 :  2
Heerenveen
L W W D D D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.5 Total goals
83% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

2 May 2026 - Eredivisie

NEC Nijmegen
1 :  1
Telstar

12 Apr 2026 - Eredivisie

NEC Nijmegen
1 :  1
Feyenoord

22 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie

NEC Nijmegen
2 :  2
Heerenveen

8 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie

NEC Nijmegen
3 :  0
Volendam

3 Mar 2026 - KNVB beker

NEC Nijmegen
3 :  2
PSV Eindhoven

28 Feb 2026 - Eredivisie

NEC Nijmegen
2 :  3
Fortuna Sittard
D D W W L D
Wins

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Losses

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

25 Apr 2026 - Eredivisie

Twente
1 :  1
NEC Nijmegen

19 Apr 2026 - KNVB beker

AZ Alkmaar
5 :  1
NEC Nijmegen

4 Apr 2026 - Eredivisie

Excelsior
0 :  2
NEC Nijmegen

14 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie

PSV Eindhoven
2 :  3
NEC Nijmegen

21 Feb 2026 - Eredivisie

Ajax
1 :  1
NEC Nijmegen

15 Feb 2026 - Eredivisie

Sparta Rotterdam
1 :  1
NEC Nijmegen

Groningen vs NEC Nijmegen Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Groningen

33 %

Draw

17 %

NEC Nijmegen

50 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

3.5
Total goals
50%
BTTS
1.17
Goals scored
2.33
Goals conceded
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

9 Nov 2025 - Eredivisie

NEC Nijmegen
2 :  0
Groningen

8 Feb 2025 - Eredivisie

Groningen
2 :  1
NEC Nijmegen

3 Nov 2024 - Eredivisie

NEC Nijmegen
6 :  0
Groningen

22 Apr 2023 - Eredivisie

Groningen
0 :  1
NEC Nijmegen

26 Aug 2022 - Eredivisie

NEC Nijmegen
1 :  1
Groningen

12 Mar 2022 - Eredivisie

Groningen
4 :  3
NEC Nijmegen

Groningen against NEC Nijmegen Lineups: Starting 11

Groningen

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

1
E. Vaessen
5
M. Rente
3
T. Blokzijl
4
D. Janse
43
M. Peersman
8
T. de Jonge
18
T. Land
17
D. van der Werff
10
Y. Taha El Idrissi
14
J. Schreuders
26
T. Van Bergen
30
B. Linssen
10
T. Chery
23
K. Sano
20
N. Lebreton
3
P. Sandler
6
D. Nejasmic
25
S. Ouaissa
24
D. Fonville
17
B. Nuytinck
14
E. Dasa
1
G. Crettaz

Formation : 3 - 4 - 1 - 2

NEC Nijmegen

Substitutes

Groningen
Groningen
Goalkeeper

L. Stubljar

H. Jurjus

Defender

E. Van der Laan

S. Bouland

T. Mercera

W. Prins

D. van der Werff 69'

Midfielder

B. Willumsson

T. Hernes

Y. Taha El Idrissi 69'

J. Dillema

M. Seuntjens

Forward

R. Mendes

R. Metu

T. Land 82'

NEC Nijmegen
NEC Nijmegen
Goalkeeper

J. Cillessen

Defender

T. Ouwejan

B. Onal

E. Dasa 60'

B. Pereira

P. Sandler 61'

J. Willems

Midfielder

W. Willumsson

D. Proper

I. Hansen-Aaroen

Forward

K. Ogawa

T. Chery 71'

Danilo

B. Nuytinck 60'

Y. el Kachati

B. Linssen 71'

Vura

Missing players

Groningen
Groningen
Defender

S. Resink

Forward

O. Zawada

NEC Nijmegen
NEC Nijmegen
Defender

A. Kaplan

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Groningen
CD Huachipato NEC Nijmegen
Top Goalscorer
Netherlands T. Van Bergen (9 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Netherlands B. Linssen (11 Goals)
Best assists
Netherlands Y. Taha El Idrissi (8 Assists)
Best assists
Japan K. Sano (8 Assists)

Groningen - NEC Nijmegen Key Points

  1. Groningen have seen their last two league games end with over 3.5 goals.
  2. Ten of NEC Nijmegen's last 16 away league games have produced over 3.5 goals.
  3. Groningen averages 1.56 goals per game at home, and NEC Nijmegen averages 2.19 goals per game away.
  4. NEC Nijmegen concedes 1.63 goals per game when playing away.
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Our Groningen vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction

NEC Nijmegen won 2-0 at home in the reverse fixture and are out to replicate the same performance. That alone will be a daunting task for a side that has not been in great form. The same applies to Groningen.

However, a high-scoring affair could be on the cards. The home team have scored in ten of their last 11 league games, while the visitors have been consistent scorers, scoring in 21 consecutive outings. NEC have also seen ten of their last 16 away league games produce over 3.5 goals. Our Groningen vs NEC Nijmegen prediction: more than 3.5 goals.

Prediction :

 

More than 3.5 goals

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Groningen NEC Nijmegen

Groningen vs NEC Nijmegen Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Groningen wins 2.7 2.9 +7.4%
Draw 3.75 3.9 +4.0%
NEC Nijmegen wins 2.3 2.37 +3.0%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • NEC Nijmegen is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 3.0% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 43.5% and is now 42.2% (-1.3%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Groningen vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction