Groningen vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction & Betting Tips - Eredivisie
Netherlands - Eredivisie
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by Thobelani Moyo | in Eredivisie Predictions
Groningen and NEC Nijmegen will clash at Euroborg on matchday 33 of the Eredivisie. In this penultimate match, both sides will be aiming to return to winning ways and given their poor form heading into this clash, neither side can be trusted to step up. Given that the two sides have displayed clear attacking intent, there'll be plenty of goals, which is why our prediction points towards more than 3.5 goals.
Groningen are in tenth place in the league standings with 42 points, with their hopes of European football being undermined by a five-point gap.
Trots van het Noorden have dropped unnecessary points in the past few weeks. Without beating around the bush, they are winless in their last three league games and were the favourites in two of those encounters.
In their recent match, they suffered a 3-2 home defeat against Excelsior. That marked their second consecutive league defeat.
NEC Nijmegen have their sights set on a UEFA Champions League qualification spot. They already occupy third place and have maintained a one-point cushion over fourth-placed Ajax.
NEC are also plagued with inconsistency heading into this clash. A 1-1 home draw against Telstar marked their second successive draw by the same scoreline.
Not that it's a positive thing, but rather something detrimental, as they have gone four league games without a win, with just one win in six outings.
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Groningen v NEC Nijmegen Best Betting Odds
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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2.75 | 3.75 | 2.32 |
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2.85 | 3.74 | 2.3 |
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|
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2.85 | 3.74 | 2.3 |
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|
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2.8 | 3.7 | 2.35 |
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|
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2.74 | 3.6 | 2.24 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Groningen and NEC Nijmegen?
Our prediction for the Groningen vs NEC Nijmegen match is: more than 3.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/05/2026 between Groningen and NEC Nijmegen in Eredivisie :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 25.41% for a win of Groningen against NEC Nijmegen with odds of 2.9 at Tonybet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Groningen vs NEC Nijmegen is 33.64% with odds of 3.9 at LSbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 40.95% chance ⭐ for a win of NEC Nijmegen vs Groningen with odds of 2.37 at Tonybet.
Groningen - NEC Nijmegen Prediction and Best Odds:
| Groningen NEC Nijmegen Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| NEC Nijmegen wins | 40.95% | 2.37 at Tonybet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55.05% | |
| Both Team To Score | 71.67% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: NEC Nijmegen | 18.48% | 6.5 at Bet365 |
Groningen vs NEC Nijmegen Form
Groningen and NEC Nijmegen's standings in the Eredivisie
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
59 | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | +24 |
|
9
|
48 | 34 | 14 | 6 | 14 | +4 |
Groningen and NEC Nijmegen Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 May 2026 - Eredivisie
25 Apr 2026 - Eredivisie
11 Apr 2026 - Eredivisie
4 Apr 2026 - Eredivisie
22 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie
13 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 May 2026 - Eredivisie
11 Apr 2026 - Eredivisie
22 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie
7 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie
14 Feb 2026 - Eredivisie
8 Feb 2026 - Eredivisie
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Apr 2026 - Eredivisie
4 Apr 2026 - Eredivisie
13 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie
1 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie
22 Feb 2026 - Eredivisie
31 Jan 2026 - Eredivisie
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 May 2026 - Eredivisie
25 Apr 2026 - Eredivisie
19 Apr 2026 - KNVB beker
12 Apr 2026 - Eredivisie
4 Apr 2026 - Eredivisie
22 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 May 2026 - Eredivisie
12 Apr 2026 - Eredivisie
22 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie
8 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie
3 Mar 2026 - KNVB beker
28 Feb 2026 - Eredivisie
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Apr 2026 - Eredivisie
19 Apr 2026 - KNVB beker
4 Apr 2026 - Eredivisie
14 Mar 2026 - Eredivisie
21 Feb 2026 - Eredivisie
15 Feb 2026 - Eredivisie
Groningen vs NEC Nijmegen Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
17 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
9 Nov 2025 - Eredivisie
8 Feb 2025 - Eredivisie
3 Nov 2024 - Eredivisie
22 Apr 2023 - Eredivisie
26 Aug 2022 - Eredivisie
12 Mar 2022 - Eredivisie
Groningen against NEC Nijmegen Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 1 - 2
Substitutes
L. Stubljar
H. Jurjus
DefenderE. Van der Laan
S. Bouland
T. Mercera
W. Prins
B. Willumsson
T. Hernes
J. Dillema
M. Seuntjens
ForwardR. Mendes
R. Metu
J. Cillessen
DefenderT. Ouwejan
B. Onal
B. Pereira
J. Willems
MidfielderW. Willumsson
D. Proper
I. Hansen-Aaroen
ForwardK. Ogawa
Danilo
Y. el Kachati
Vura
Missing players
S. Resink
ForwardO. Zawada
A. Kaplan
Most goals and assists
Groningen - NEC Nijmegen Key Points
- Groningen have seen their last two league games end with over 3.5 goals.
- Ten of NEC Nijmegen's last 16 away league games have produced over 3.5 goals.
- Groningen averages 1.56 goals per game at home, and NEC Nijmegen averages 2.19 goals per game away.
- NEC Nijmegen concedes 1.63 goals per game when playing away.
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Our Groningen vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction
NEC Nijmegen won 2-0 at home in the reverse fixture and are out to replicate the same performance. That alone will be a daunting task for a side that has not been in great form. The same applies to Groningen.
However, a high-scoring affair could be on the cards. The home team have scored in ten of their last 11 league games, while the visitors have been consistent scorers, scoring in 21 consecutive outings. NEC have also seen ten of their last 16 away league games produce over 3.5 goals. Our Groningen vs NEC Nijmegen prediction: more than 3.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Groningen NEC Nijmegen
| Groningen vs NEC Nijmegen | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Groningen wins | 2.7 | 2.9 | +7.4% |
| Draw | 3.75 | 3.9 | +4.0% |
| NEC Nijmegen wins | 2.3 | 2.37 | +3.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- NEC Nijmegen is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 3.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 43.5% and is now 42.2% (-1.3%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.